Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-03-06 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	269
Rep	269
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	247
Rep	166
Ind	0
Tos	125

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-6	0	-90	23	3	269	-90
Rep	+6	0	+90	0	0	0	22	2	179	+90
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
87	45	35	4	3

Analysis

If a fewer black electors don't vote Obama because crisis, he could lost all south. Same thing with Hispanics on Nevada or Colorado. 2008 was a high-level perform wich could be difficult to take again.
Ohio pay the price of the crisis.

For Iowa and Indiana, nothing is certain for Obama.

Anyway, I think Obama will win. Too much republican toss.

Member Comments

By: vt500ascott (D-TX) 2018-08-15 @ 14:05:17
Your horrible English does not have a French twang. Sounds more like Russian....

By: President_91 (D-ON) 2018-09-08 @ 17:10:28
LOL

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%	2	16	170	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	15/36	45/72	62.5%	1	18	295	T	372
2012 President	49/56	38/56	87/112	77.7%	1	245	561	T	760
Aggregate Predictions	110/127	74/127	184/254	72.4%

User Info

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