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Date of Prediction: 2012-09-08 Version:8

Prediction Map
Americanadian MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Americanadian MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos44
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-2-1-27272332-27
Rep+2+1+27000222179+27
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
98514052
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

RANK-STATE-EV-TOTAL EV-PARTY-STRENGTH

0---DC---(03)---(003)---DEM---STRONG
1---HI---(04)---(007)---DEM---STRONG
2---VT---(03)---(010)---DEM---STRONG
3---RI---(04)---(014)---DEM---STRONG
4---NY---(29)---(043)---DEM---STRONG
5---MD---(10)---(053)---DEM---STRONG
6---IL---(20)---(073)---DEM---STRONG
7---DE---(03)---(076)---DEM---STRONG
8---CA---(55)---(131)---DEM---STRONG
9---MA---(11)---(142)---DEM---STRONG
10--ME---(04)---(146)---DEM---STRONG
11--WA---(12)---(158)---DEM---STRONG
12--CT---(07)---(165)---DEM---LIKELY
13--NM---(05)---(170)---DEM---LIKELY
14--OR---(07)---(177)---DEM---LIKELY
15--NJ---(14)---(191)---DEM---LIKELY
16--MN---(10)---(201)---DEM---LIKELY
17--MI---(16)---(217)---DEM---LIKELY
18--PA---(20)---(237)---DEM---LIKELY
19--NH---(04)---(241)---DEM---LEAN
20--NV---(06)---(247)---DEM---LEAN
21--WI---(10)---(257)---DEM---LEAN
22--IA---(06)---(263)---DEM---LEAN
23--CO---(09)---(272)---DEM---LEAN
24--VA---(13)---(285)---DEM---LEAN
25--OH---(18)---(303)---DEM---LEAN
26--FL---(29)---(332)---DEM---SLIGHT

27--NC---(15)---(206)---GOP---SLIGHT
28--MO---(10)---(191)---GOP---LEAN
29--IN---(11)---(181)---GOP---LEAN
30--AZ---(11)---(170)---GOP---LEAN
31--MT---(03)---(159)---GOP---LIKELY
32--GA---(16)---(156)---GOP---LIKLEY
33--SC---(09)---(140)---GOP---LIKELY
34--TX---(38)---(131)---GOP---STRONG
35--SD---(03)---(093)---GOP---STRONG
36--ND---(03)---(090)---GOP---STRONG
37--WV---(05)---(087)---GOP---STRONG
38--TN---(11)---(082)---GOP---STRONG
39--AR---(06)---(071)---GOP---STRONG
40--AK---(03)---(065)---GOP---STRONG
41--MS---(06)---(062)---GOP---STRONG
42--KY---(08)---(056)---GOP---STRONG
43--LA---(08)---(048)---GOP---STRONG
44--KS---(06)---(040)---GOP---STRONG
45--NE---(05)---(034)---GOP---STRONG
46--AL---(09)---(029)---GOP---STRONG
47--OK---(07)---(020)---GOP---STRONG
48--ID---(04)---(013)---GOP---STRONG
49--WY---(03)---(009)---GOP---STRONG
50--UT---(06)---(006)---GOP---STRONG


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Americanadian (D-ON) 2012-09-09 @ 00:17:28 prediction Map
Post convention map

 By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-09-10 @ 09:00:17 prediction Map
Do you realize that if your map is accurate, then Nancy Pelosi will be Speaker again?

Frankly, I don't think things have gotten so much better since Nov, 2010 for that to happen.

 By: Americanadian (D-ON) 2012-09-11 @ 12:26:08 prediction Map

White Reign

I'm not so sure that the DEMs will take back the house with this map, but we can only hope!!!

:)

 By: Immortal Monk (D-CA) 2012-09-11 @ 14:31:05 prediction Map
I think the Democrats will actually pick up seats in the U.S. House because of Republican obstructionism--but who knows?

As for the U.S. Senate, I think Democrats will preserve their edge there.

I think 2012 will go down as a win for President Obama and the Democrats--though there will be a bright spot for moderate Republicans, too.


Last Edit: 2012-09-11 @ 14:36:09

 By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-09-11 @ 15:31:11 prediction Map
Immortal Monk,

Actually, this is do-or-die time for Wall Street Republicans: If with the most far-Left president ever as their opponent and with him owning the worst economic performance of any first-term president in 80 years, if an Eastern Liberal Establishment Republican can't win this one -- and win huge -- then they're going to have to hide out in the elevators with their cars.

As I've said before, this election is essentially a rerun of 1980, except the GOP has nominated a GHW Bush instead of a Ronald Reagan -- and then-Pres. Carter didn't blame Americans when foreigners attacked a U.S. embassy in the Mideast. http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/11/us-egypt-usa-protest-idUSBRE88A11N20120911?irpc=932

Last Edit: 2012-09-11 @ 15:36:13

 By: WhyteRain (I-TX) 2012-09-11 @ 15:49:47 prediction Map
Americanadian,

"White Reign"? That's cute. Are you trying to imply something or are you just too dumb to be able to spell my nick?

Anyway, when the House Democrats -- after suffering the worst midterm election defeat in GENERATIONS --re-elected the leftwing Jesus-freak Nancy Pelosi as their party leader, it was their way of saying, "We NEVER want to be in majority again!" That wish will certainly be granted.

 By: Flo (D-WY) 2013-10-18 @ 17:39:27 prediction Map
Great map! (We have the same one)


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 8 59 182T
P 2008 President 48/56 11/56 59/112 52.7% pie 17 243 1357T
Aggregate Predictions 104/112 53/112 157/224 70.1% pie


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