PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-03 Version:79

Prediction Map
nkpolitics1279 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
nkpolitics1279 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem275
 
Rep263
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem237
 
Rep205
 
Ind0
 
Tos96
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-6-1-84232275-84
Rep+6+1+84000222179+84
Ind0000000000


Analysis

2012 US Presidential Election.
Strong Lean Obama-D (MI-16,NM-5, and OR-7)=28ev(207ev)
Lean Obama-D (MN-10,PA-20, and WI-10)=40ev(247ev)
Slight Lean Obama-D (NH-4,OH-18, and NV-6)=28ev(275ev)
No Clear Favorite (IA-6,VA-13,CO-9,and FL-29.
Lean Romney-R (NC-15,MO-10,SC-9,and AZ-11)


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 110

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D by a 20 point margin or greater (DC-3,VT-3,HI-4,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,and MA-11)= 64ev.
Obama-D by a 15 to 20 point margin (DE-3 and IL-20)=23ev(87ev)
Obama-D by a 10 to 15 point margin (CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14)= 92ev(179ev)
Obama-D by a 5 to 10 point margin (NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,WI-10,and MI-16)= 48ev(227ev)
Romney-R by a 20 point margin or greater(UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,and KS-6)= 52ev
Romney-R by a 15 to 20 point margin(KY-8,TN-11,NE-5,WV-5,MS-6,and ND-3)= 38ev(90ev)
Romney-R by a 10 to 15 point margin(TX-38,SD-3,GA-16,MT-3,and IN-11)=71ev(161ev)
Romney-R by a 5 to 9 point margin(SC-9,MO-10,AZ-11,and NC-15)= 45ev(206ev)
The Tossup Races are CO-9,FL-29,IA-6,NV-6,NH-4,OH-18,PA-20,and VA-13.
Obama-D wins PA-20,NV-6,OH-18,and IA-6= 50ev(277ev)
Romney-R wins FL-29,VA-13,CO-9,and NH-4= 55ev(261ev)


Version: 109

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D is going to win-
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,MA-11,DE-3,CA-55,
ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,OR-7,WI-10,and MN-10.= 211ev
Romney-R is going to win-
UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,KY-8,TN-11,
NE-5,WV-5,MS-6,ND-3,SD-3,MT-3,TX-38,GA-16,SC-9,IN-11,
MO-10,and AZ-11= 191ev
Tossup/Obama Favored-
PA-20,MI-16,OH-18,and NV-6=60ev(271ev)
Tossup/Romney Favored
NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13=57ev(248ev)
No Clear Favorite States are
IA-6,NH-4,and CO-9.


Version: 108

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,MA-11,DE-3,and CA-55=142ev
Solid Romney-R
UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,KY-8,TN-11,NE-5,WV-5,and MS-6=87ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,and NM-5=184ev
Likely Romney-R
ND-3,TX-38,IN-11,GA-16,SD-3,and SC-9=167ev
Lean Obama-D
OR-7,MN-10,WI-10,and PA-20=231ev
Lean Romney-R
MT-3,MO-10,AZ-11,and NC-15=206ev
Tossup Obama-D
MI-16,NV-6,and OH-18=271ev
Tossup Romney
FL-29 and VA-13=248ev
No Clear Favorite
NH-4,IA-6,and CO-9.
Obama-D wins receiving between 270 to 290 ev.


Version: 107

2012 US Presidential Election
Less than 5 days till Election Days.
The states that Obama-D is likely to win by a double digit margin will add up to 178ev(This includes ME-1CD and Statewide,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14)
The states that Obama-D is likely to win by a high single digit margin gives Obama-D another 53ev(This includes ME-2CD,NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,WI-10,and PA-20)=231ev
The states that Obama-D will win by a narrow margin but outside the margin of error gives Obama-D another 40ev(This includes MI-16,NV-6,and OH-18)=271ev
Obama-D narrowly wins IA-6,NH-4,and to a greater extent CO-9=290ev
Romney-R is going to win the McCain States and IN-11 by a high single to double digit margin. =191ev
Romney-R narrowly wins NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13=248ev


Version: 106

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D wins OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,PA-20,OH-18,WI-10,and NV-6=87ev+184ev(271ev)
Romney-R wins NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13=57ev+191ev(248ev)
NH-4,IA-6,and CO-9 are too close to call.


Version: 105

Obama-D and Romney-R have an electoral vote base of 191ev
Obama-D (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MD-10,RI-4,IL-20,DE-3,MA-11,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,and OR-7)=191ev
Romney-R (UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,ND-3,IN-11,TX-38,SD-3,MO-10,GA-16,SC-9,MT-3,and AZ-11)=191ev
Lean Obama-D (MN-10,MI-16,and PA-20)=46ev(237ev)
Lean Romney-R (NC-15 and FL-29)=44ev(235ev)
Tossup Obama-D (WI-10,NV-6,and IA-6)=22ev(259ev)
Tossup Romney-R (VA-13,and CO-9)=22ev(257ev)
Obama-D wins OH-18 and NH-4 by a very narrow margin.


Version: 104

Obama-D wins DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MD-10,RI-4,IL-20,DE-3,MA-11,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,and NM-5 by a double digit margin. 184ev
Romney-R wins UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,NE-5,WV-5,MS-6,ND-3,KY-8,TN-11,IN-11,MO-10,and SD-3 by a double digit margin. 114ev
Obama-D wins OR-7,MN-10,PA-20,MI-16,and NV-6 by a high single digit margin. 59ev(243ev)
Romney-R wins TX-38,GA-16,SC-9,AZ-11,and MT-3 by a high single digit margin. 77ev(191ev)
Tossup Obama-D WI-10,IA-6,and NH-4=20ev(263ev)
Tossup Romney-R NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13=57ev(248ev)


Version: 103

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,MA-11,DE-3,and CA-55=142ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14=37ev(179ev)
Lean Obama-D
NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,and MI-16=38ev(217ev)
Tossup Obama-D
PA-20,WI-10,NV-6 and OH-18=54ev(271ev)
Solid Romney-R
UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AR-6,AK-3,KS-6,NE-5,WV-5,LA-6,MS-6,ND-3,SD-3,KY-8,TN-11,and TX-38=131ev
Likely Romney-R
IN-11,SC-9,GA-16,and MO-10=46ev(177ev)
Lean Romney-R
MT-3,AZ-11,NC-15,and FL-29=58ev(235ev)
Tossup Romney-R
VA-13,CO-9,IA-6,and NH-4=32ev(267ev)


Version: 102

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3(88-9)
HI-4(66-31)7
VT-3(64-33)10
NY-29(62-35)39
RI-4(61-36)43
MD-10(60-37)53
DE-3(59-38)56
IL-20(58-39)76
MA-11(57-40)87
CA-55(56-41)142
Likely Obama-D
ME-4(56-42)146
WA-12(55-42)158
CT-7(55-43)165
NJ-14(54-43)179
NM-5(54-44)184
Lean Obama-D
OR-7(53-44)191
MN-10(53-45)201
PA-20(52-45)221
MI-16(52-46)237
NV-6(51-46)243
Tossup Obama-D
WI-10(51-47)253
IA-6(50-47)259ev
OH-18(50-48)277ev
NH-4(49-48)281ev
Tossup Romney-R
CO-9(49-48)
VA-13(50-48)
FL-29(50-47)
NC-15(51-47)


Version: 101

2012 US Presidential Election-Tossup States.
Obama-D wins
PA-20(52-45)221ev
MI-16(52-46)237ev
NV-6(51-46)243ev
WI-10(51-47)253ev
OH-18(51-48)271ev
IA-6(50-48)277ev
NH-4(49-48)281ev
Romney-R wins
NC-15(51-47)206ev
FL-29(50-47)235ev
VA-13(50-48)248ev
CO-9(49-48)257ev


Version: 100

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D is favored to win
MI-16
PA-20
WI-10
NV-6
OH-18
IA-6
Romney-R is favored to win
NH-4
CO-9
VA-13
FL-29


Version: 99

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D has an electoral vote base of 237ev (OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,and PA-20 will be in the high single digit margin.)
Romney-R has an electoral vote base of 235ev (MO-10,AZ-11,NC-15,and FL-29 will be in the high single digit margin.)
The Tossup States are NH-4,IA-6,NV-6,CO-9,WI-10,VA-13,and OH-18.
Obama-D is likely to win NV-6 and WI-10=253ev
Romney-R is likely to win CO-9 and VA-13=257ev
Obama-D is also likely to win NH-4 and IA-6=263ev
Obama-D guide to victory is OH-18(281ev)
VA-13(276) or CO-9(272ev).
Romney-R guide to victory is OH-18,VA-13,and CO-9. Without OH-18, Romney-R must win NH-4,IA-6,and NV-6. NV-6 is likely to remain in the Obama-D collumn.


Version: 98

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D is favored to win MI-16,PA-20,WI-10,and NV-6 =253ev
Romney-R is favored to win NC-15,FL-29,VA-13 and CO-9=257ev
OH-18 is going to the winner. Obama-D has a slight edge in OH.
Obama's-D guide to 270ev without OH is CO-9,IA-6,and NH-4=272ev
Another guide to 270ev without OH is VA-13 and IA-6 or NH-4.
Romney-R guide to 270ev without OH is iA-6,NH-4,and NV-6=273ev.
Obama-D has a better chance of winning VA-13 and or CO-9 than Romney-R has a chance of winning WI-10 or NV-6.


Version: 97

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D States if 2012 is 1980.
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,ME-3,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7= 201ev
Romney-R states if 2012 is 1996.
UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,WV-5,KS-6,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,MS-6,ND-3,SD-3,MT-3,TX-38,GA-16,SC-9,IN-11,AZ-11,and MO-10= 191ev.
The battleground states are CO-9,FL-29,IA-6,MI-16,NV-6,NH-4,NC-15,OH-18,PA-20,VA-13,and WI-10.
Obama-D wins PA-20 and MI-16= 36ev(237ev)
Romney-R wins FL-29 and NC-15= 44ev(235ev)
The Tossup States are CO-9,IA-6,NV-6,NH-4,OH-18,VA-13,and WI-10.
Lets say Obama-D wins all 4 (CO-9,IA-6,NV-6,and NH-4)=he will be at 262ev. Winning WI-10 gives Obama-D the 272ev needed to win.
Lets say Romney-R wins all 4(CO-9,IA-6,NV-6,and NH-4)=he will be at 260ev. Winning VA-13 gives Romney-R the 273ev needed to win.
Obama-D will narrowly win WI-10,NV-6,and IA-6= 259ev
Romney-R will narrowly win VA-13,CO-9,and NH-4= 261ev

OH-18 is going to decide the election- whoever has the upperhand in OH-18 next week wins the 2012 US Presidential Election.



Version: 96

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D is strongly favored to win DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7=201ev
Romney-R is strongly favored to win UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,WV-5,KS-6,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,MS-6,ND-3,SD-3,MT-3,SC-9,GA-16,TX-38,IN-11,MO-10,and AZ-11=191ev.
Lean Obama-D MI-16,PA-20,and WI-10=247ev
Lean Romney-R NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13=248ev
Tossup Obama-D NV-6 and IA-6=259ev
Tossup Romney-R CO-9 and NH-4=261ev
OH-18 will decide who the winner is. Obama-D narrowly wins OH-18=277ev


Version: 95

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D has an electoral vote base of 237ev(PA-20,MI-16,MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5)
Romney-R has an electoral vote base of 206ev(NC-15,MO-10,AZ-11,IN-11,and GA-16,)
Battleground States.
Obama-D wins OH-18,WI-10,and NV-6=271ev
Romney-R wins FL-29,VA-13,and CO-9=257ev


Version: 94

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D is favored to win PA-20,MI-16,MN-10,OR-7,NM-5,NJ-14,CT-7,WA-12,ME-4,CA-55,DE-3,IL-20,MD-10,RI-4,MA-11,NY-29,VT-3,HI-4,and DC-3=237ev
Romney-R is favored to win FL-29,NC-15,MO-10,AZ-11,MT-3,SC-9,IN-11,TN-11,SD-3,GA-16,ND-3,TX-38,KY-8,NE-5,MS-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,AR-6,AK-3,AL-9,OK-7,ID-4,WY-3,and UT-6=235ev
Tossup States are CO-9,IA-6,NV-6,NH-4,OH-18,VA-13,and WI-10.


Version: 93

2012 US Presidential Election.
The Gore/Kerry States that I put in the Romney-R column is NH-4,IA-6,and WI-10.
Obama-D holds onto NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,PA-20,MI-16,NV-6,OH-18,and VA-13=274ev
Romney-R wins the McCain States plus IN-11,NC-15,FL-29,and CO-9.
Obama-D will win NH-4,IA-6,and WI-10=294ev
CO-9 and VA-13 will be Too Close to Call.


Version: 92

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D has an electoral vote base of 237ev(NM-5,NJ-14,CT-7,OR-7,MN-10,PA-20,and MI-16)=237ev
Romney-R has an electoral vote base of 244ev(IN-11,AZ-11,MO-10,NC-15,FL-29,and CO-9)=244ev
The Tossup States are IA-6,NV-6,NH-4,OH-18,VA-13,and WI-10.


Version: 91

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D has an electoral vote base of 247ev
Obama-D wins
WI-10,MI-16 and PA-20 by a narrow to high single digit margin.
MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5 by a high single to low double digit margin.
CT-7,NJ-14,and WA-12 by a low double digit to landslide margin.
ME-4,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,NY-29,VT-3,HI-4,and DC-3 by a landslide margin.
Romney-R has an electoral vote base of 235ev
Romney-R wins the McCain States(AZ-11 and MO-10) plus IN-11,NC-15,and FL-29.


Version: 90

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D has an electoral vote base of 201ev(including NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7).
Obama-D is favored to win by a narrow to high single digit margin(PA-20,MI-16,and WI-10)=247ev.
Obama-D will narrowly win IA-6 or NV-6 or both=253ev
OH-18 is Obama's 270ev firewall. 271ev.
If Obama loses OH-18, He needs to win VA-13,NV-6,and IA-6=272ev or VA-13,NV-6 and NH-4=270ev or VA-13,IA-6,and NH-4=270ev.
Romney-R has an electoral vote base of 191ev(including IN-11,AZ-11,and MO)
Romney-R is favored to win by a narrow to high single digit margin (FL-29,NC-15,and CO-9)=244ev
Romney-R will narrowly win NH-4=248ev.
If Romney-R wins both OH-18 and VA-13- Romney-R wins with 279ev
If Romney-R wins OH-18 but loses VA-13- Romney-R will be at 266ev, He needs to win either NV-6 or IA-6.
If Romney-R wins VA-13 but loses OH-18- Romney-R will be at 261ev. He needs to win both IA-6 and NV-6.
Obama-D is likely to win both IA-6 and NV-6=259ev (WI-10,MI-16 and PA-20 are Obama-D states)
For Romney-R to win, he must win both OH-18 and VA-13 plus either CO-9 or NH-4.


Version: 89

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,DE-3,MA-11,IL-20,and CA-55)=142ev
Likely Obama-D (ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7)=59ev(201ev)
Lean Obama-D (PA-20,MI-16,WI-10,IA-6,and NV-6)= 58ev(259ev)
Solid Romney-R (UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,KY-8,and TN-11)=87ev
Likely Romney-R (ND-3,TX-38,SD-3,GA-16,MT-3,SC-9,and IN-11)=83ev(170ev)
Lean Romney-R (AZ-11,MO-10,NC-15,and FL-29)=65ev(235ev)
The Tossup States are NH-4,CO-9,VA-13 and OH-18.


Version: 88

2012 US Presidential Election.
Romney-R is favored to win all of the McCain 2008 States plus IN-11,NC-15,FL-29,VA-13,CO-9 and NH-4=261ev.
Obama-D is favored to win all of the Gore 2000 States(IA-6,WI-10,MI-16,PA-20,MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5)=253ev
Obama-D narrowly wins OH-18 and NV-6. =277ev


Version: 87

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D is favored to win NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,NH-4,and MI-16=241ev
Obama-D narrowly wins IA-6,WI-10,NV-6,and OH-18=281ev.


Version: 86

This is Obama's-D FL-29 map.
By at least a high single digit margin, Obama-D will win NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,WI-10,MI-16,and PA-20=247ev
FL-29 gives Obama-D 276ev.
PA-20 is the only Kerry State Romney-R could win. Substitute PA-20 with NV-6,IA-6,and NH-4, 272ev


Version: 85

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,CA-55,DE-3,and IL-20=142ev
Likely Obama-D
WA-12,ME-4,NJ-14,and CT-7=37ev(179ev)
Lean Obama-D
NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,WI-10,MI-16,and PA-20=68ev(247ev)
Slight Lean Obama-D
NH-4,NV-6,and IA-6=16ev(263ev)
Obama-D guide to 270 is winning either VA-13 or OH-18 or both.
Obama-D loses all of the McCain States (AZ-11 and MO-10 in the high single digit margin), IN-11 by a 10 percent margin. NC-15 by a 5 percent margin, and FL-29 and CO-9 will be a statistical tie.


Version: 84

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins by a double digit margin in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,RI-4,DE-3,CA-55,IL-20,WA-12,ME-4,CT-7,NJ-14,and MI-16=195ev
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin in NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,PA-20,and WI-10=52ev(247ev)
Obama-D narrowly wins NH-4,NV-6,IA-6,and OH-18=34ev(281ev)
Romney-R will win the Dole/McCain States (IN-11,AZ-11,MO-10,NC-15,CO-9,and VA-13) plus FL-29=257ev


Version: 83

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins by margin 20 percent or greater in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,and RI-4=64ev
Obama-D wins by a 15-20 percent margin in CA-55,IL-20,DE-3,WA-12,and CT-7=97ev(161ev)
Obama-D wins by a 10-15 percent margin in ME-4,NJ-14,MI-16,NM-5,and OR-7=46ev(207ev)
Obama-D wins by a 5-10 percent margin in MN-10,PA-20,WI-10,NH-4,and NV-6=50ev(257ev)
Obama-D wins by a 0-5 percent margin in IA-6,OH-18,VA-13,CO-9,and FL-29.
Based on the margin of error.
Romney-R is likely to win FL-29,VA-13,and CO-9 along with NC-15,IN-11 and the McCain States. (257ev)


Version: 82

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D and Romney-R both have an electoral vote base of 191ev.
Obama-D wins the states Kerry-D won in 2004 by at least a 5 percent margin(ME-4,CT-7,WA-12,and NJ-14)plus (OR-7 and NM-5)= 191ev
Romney-R wins the McCain States(AZ-11 and MO-10) plus (IN-11)= 191ev.
The Lean Obama-D states are MI-16,MN-10,PA-20,and WI-10=56ev(247ev)
The Lean Romney-R states are NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13=57ev(248ev)
The Tossup States are OH-18,CO-9,IA-6,NV-6,and NH-4.
Both candidates need to win OH-18 plus either CO-9,IA-6,NV-6 or NH-4 or they need to win all 4(CO-9,IA-6,NV-6,and NH-4).
Obama-D is more likely to win OH-18(265ev)
Obama-D is likely to win NH-4(269ev)
Romney-R is likely to win CO-9(257ev)
To avoid a Romney-R/Biden-D administration- Obama-D needs to win IA-6 or NV-6.


Version: 81

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D is favored to win NM-5,OR-7,MI-16,MN-10,PA-20,WI-10,NH-4,and NV-6= 78ev + 179ev(Base States)= 257ev.

Romney-R is favored to win SC-9,IN-11,AZ-11,MO-10,and NC-15= 56ev + 150ev(Base States)= 206ev.

The Tossup States are FL-29,VA-13,OH-18,CO-9,and IA-6.

Romney-R must win FL-29,VA-13,OH-18 plus either CO-9 or IA-6 to win.
Obama-D guide to victory is IA-6 and CO-9=272ev(Obama-D does not need to worry about winning FL-29,VA-13,and OH-18). Obama-D will end up narrowly winning NV-6,NH-4,WI-10,and PA-20.


Version: 80

2012 US Presidential Election.
Romney/Ryan-R base states are the McCain States including MO,AZ,and MT =180ev plus IN and NC, states Bush/Cheney-R won in 2004 by a double digit margin. =206ev.
Obama/Biden-D base states are the Kerry States including NH,WI, and PA=246ev plus NM and NV states Obama carried in 2008 by a double digit margin.=257ev
The Tossup battleground states are FL,OH,VA,CO,and IA.
Romney-R wins CO and VA- The Dole States = 228ev.
Obama-D wins IA- Gore State= 263ev
That leaves FL and OH.
Romney-R wins FL= 257ev
Obama-D wins OH= 281ev.


Version: 79

2012 US Presidential Election.
Strong Lean Obama-D (MI-16,NM-5, and OR-7)=28ev(207ev)
Lean Obama-D (MN-10,PA-20, and WI-10)=40ev(247ev)
Slight Lean Obama-D (NH-4,OH-18, and NV-6)=28ev(275ev)
No Clear Favorite (IA-6,VA-13,CO-9,and FL-29.
Lean Romney-R (NC-15,MO-10,SC-9,and AZ-11)


Version: 78

According to RealClearPolitics.
Obama-D has an average of a 15 point lead and greater in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,MD,CA-55,RI-4,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,and WA-12= 158ev
Obama-D has an average of a 10-15 point lead in CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,and MI-16= 42ev (200ev)
Obama-D has an average of a 5-10 point lead in OR-7,MN-10,PA-20,WI-10,NH-4,OH-18,and NV-6= 75ev (275ev)
Obama-D is narrowly leading in VA-13,IA-6,CO-9,and FL-29.
Obama-D is narrowly behind in NC-15 and MO-10
Obama-D is trailing in the high single digits in AZ-11 and SC-9


Version: 77

Obama-D will win NH-4,PA-20,OH-18,MI-16,WI-10,MN-10,NM-5,and OR-7=90ev plus 179ev that are in the Likely/Solid Obama-D column. 269ev
If Romney-R were to win next month-There is a decent chance he will be working with Biden for the next 4 years.
Obama-D guide to victory is either NV-6 or IA-6.
FL-29,CO-9,and VA-13 are the icing on the cake.


Version: 76

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D States.
DC-3(89-9)3ev
HI-4(69-29)4ev(7ev)
VT-3(66-31)3ev(10ev)
NY-29(64-34)29ev(39ev)
MA-11(61-36)11ev(50ev)
MD-10(61-37)10ev(60ev)
CA-55(60-37)55ev(115ev)
RI-4(60-38)4ev(119ev)
DE-3(59-38)3ev(122ev)
IL-20(59-39)20ev(142ev)
ME-4(58-40)4ev(146ev)
WA-12(57-41)12ev(158ev)
CT-7(56-42)7ev(165ev)
NJ-14(55-43)14ev(179ev)
NM-5(54-44)5ev(184ev)
MI-16(53-44)16ev(200ev)
OR-7(53-45)7ev(207ev)
MN-10(52-45)10ev(217ev)
PA-20(52-46)20ev(237ev)
WI-10(51-46)10ev(247ev)
OH-18(51-47)18ev(265ev)
NV-6(50-47)6ev(271ev)
IA-6(50-48)6ev(277ev)
VA-13(49-48)13ev(290ev)
Romney-R States
FL-29(49-48)
NH-4(50-48)
CO-9(50-47)
NC-15(51-47)
MO-10(51-46)
AZ-11(52-46)
SC-9(52-45)
IN-11(53-45)
MT-3(53-44)
GA-16(54-44)
SD-3(54-43)
TX-38(55-43)
ND-3(55-42)
TN-11(56-42)
MS-6(56-41)
NE-5(57-41)
KY-8(57-40)
LA-8(58-40)
KS-6(58-39)
AR-6(59-38)
AK-3(60-37)
AL-9(61-36)
ID-4(64-34)
OK-7(66-31)
WY-3(69-29)
UT-6(71-26)



Version: 75

2012 US Presidential Election.
This is a worse case/likely scenario for Obama-D.
He wins DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,CA-55,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14 by a double digit margin. 179ev.
He wins NM-5,OR-7,MI-16,MN-10,and PA-20 by a high single digit margin. 58ev(237ev)
He wins WI-10 and OH-18 by a narrow margin but outside the margin of error. 28ev(265ev)
He narrowly wins in VA-13 and or NV-6 which puts him above the 270ev mark.
The Tossup States are IA-6,FL-29,NH-4,CO-9,and NC-15. -Romney-R must win all of those states plus OH-18 or VA-13 and NV-6 to win. OH-18 and WI-10 are close to being in the Lean Obama-D column perhaps after the debate. Obama-D recieves 265ev plus VA-13.NV-6,or IA-6.
Romney-R is favored to win the McCain states plus IN-11=191ev


Version: 74

Romney-R is favored to win all of the McCain States plus IN-11=190ev.
Romney-R has a 50-50 chance of winning NH-4,NC-15,CO-9,FL-29,and NV-6=253ev.
Obama-D is favored to win all of the Gore States plus OH-18=271ev
NE-2CD goes either way.
Obama-D wins VA-13,NV-6,FL-29,and CO-9=328ev.


Version: 73

Obama-D will recieve over 60 percent of the popular vote in
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,and DE-3=67ev
Obama-D wins by a 15-20 percent margin in
IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,and CT-7=112ev(179ev)
Obama-D wins by a 10-15 percent margin in
NM-5,MI-16,OR-7,MN-10,and PA-20=58ev(237ev)
Obama-D wins by a 5-10 percent margin in
WI-10,NV-6,OH-18,IA-6,and VA-13=53ev(290ev)
Obama-D has a narrow lead in
CO-9,FL-29,NH-4,and NC-15=57ev(347ev)
Obama-D also narrowly wins NE-2CD


Version: 72

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D is favored to win NM-5,MI-16,OR-7,MN-10,PA-20,and WI-10=68ev + 179ev= 247ev
Romney-R is favored to win IN-11,SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,and MO-10=57ev + 134ev= 191ev
Obama-D wins FL-29=276ev
Obama-D wins OH-18 and IA-6=271ev
Obama-D wins NC-15 and VA-13=275ev
Obama-D wins VA-13,CO-9,and NV-6=275ev
Obama-D wins CO-9,NV-6,IA-6,and NH-4=272ev
Romney-R needs FL-29=220ev plus NH-4,IA-6,NV-6,and CO-9=245ev plus VA-13 and NC-15
Obama-D wins OH-18 and VA-13 or OH-18 and IA-6 or VA-13,NV-6,and IA-6.


Version: 71

This is what the 2012 Presidential map is likely to be on November.
With confidence- Obama-D will win by a double digit margin in
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,RI-4,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,CT-7,WA-12,and NJ-14= 179ev.
Obama-D wins by a high single/low double digit margin in NM-5,MI-16,and PA-20= 41ev(220ev)
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin in OR-7,MN-10,and WI-10= 27ev(247ev)
Romney-R base states are the McCain States plus IN-11=191ev.


Version: 70

This is what the November map is likely to be.
Obama-D will win by a margin greater than 25 percent in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,and NY-29= 39ev.
Obama-D will win by a 20-25 percent margin in MA-11,MD-10,RI-4,and DE-3= 28ev(67ev).
Obama-D will win by a 15-20 percent margin in CA-55,IL-20,and ME-4,and WA-12=91ev(158ev).
Obama-D will win by a 10-15 percent margin in CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,and PA-20= 46ev(204ev).
Obama-D will win by a 5-10 percent margin in OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,and WI-10= 43ev(247ev).
Obama-D will win by a 0-5 percent margin in
VA-13 or OH-18/260ev to 265ev)
Obama-D narrowly loses FL-29 and NC-15.
Obama-D guide to victory is
NV-6 and CO-9=15ev(275ev to 280ev)
NV-6 and IA-6=12ev(272ev to 277ev)
NV-6 and NH-4=10ev(270ev to 275ev)
IA-6 and NH-4=10ev(270ev to 275ev)
IA-6 and NV-6=12ev(272ev to 277ev)
IA-6 and CO-9=15ev(275ev to 280ev)
NH-4 and NV-6=10ev(270ev to 275ev)
NH-4 and IA-6=10ev(270ev to 275ev)
NH-4 and CO-9=13ev(273ev to 278ev)
CO-9 and NV-6=15ev(275ev to 280ev)
CO-9 and IA-6=15ev(275ev to 280ev)
CO-9 and NH-4=13ev(273ev to 278ev)
If Obama-D does not win OH-18 and/or VA-13.
He must win NH-4,IA-6,NV-6,and CO-9 to win.
Obama-D wins WI-10,MI-16,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,and NM-5.



Version: 69

Obama-D is going to hold onto all of the states he carried in 2008 except for IN-11.
Obama-D will win DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,and CA-55 by a margin over 20 percent. 142ev.
Obama-D will win ME-4,CT-7,WA-12,NJ-14,NM-5,OR-7,MI-16,MN-10,and PA-20 by a double digit margin. 95ev(237ev)
Obama-D will win WI-10,NV-6,OH-18,NH-4,and VA-13 by a 5 to 10 percent margin. 51ev(288ev)
Obama-D will win CO-9,FL-29,IA-6 and NC-15 by a narrow margin. 59ev(347ev)
Romney-R wins the McCain States plus IN-11.


Version: 68

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,CA-55,DE-3,IL-20,ME-4 and WA-12)=158ev
Likely Obama-D (NJ-14,CT-7,OR-7,and NM-5)=33ev (191ev)
Lean Obama-D (MN-10,PA-20,WI-10,and MI-16)=56ev (247ev)
Slight Lean Obama-D (OH-18 and VA-13)= 31ev (278ev)
Romney-R gets the McCain States plus IN-11 and NC-15= 206ev.
Romney-R has written off PA-20,OH-18,MI-16,WI-10,and MN-10 due to insensitive comments he made about the 47 percent of the population that relies on government assistance. Obama-D will have an electoral base of 265ev without VA-13. With Goode taking votes away from Romney in SW VA and Obama-D doing well in NoVa. VA-13 is a slight lean blue state.
Romney-R could win FL-29,CO-9,NV-6,IA-6,and NH-4= He will be at 260ev
Romney-R is not going to win OH-18 and WI-10 (PA-20,MN-10,and MI-16 are medium blue states)
VA-13 is the state Romney-R needs to win in order to win in order to have a chance but with Goode on the ballot. VA-13 is going to be a weak Obama-D state.


Version: 67

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20 and CA-55=142ev.
Likely Obama-D
ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,NM-5,CT-7,and OR-7=49ev(191ev)
Lean Obama-D
MN-10,PA-20,and MI-16=46ev(237ev)
Slight Lean Obama-D
OH-18,NH-4,and NV-6=28ev(265ev)
Tossup(270)
VA-13,CO-9,and WI-10.
Slight Lean Romney-R
FL-29,IA-6,and NC-15=50ev
Lean Romney-R
MO-10,GA-16,AZ-11,SC-9,and IN-11=57ev(107ev)
Likely Romney-R
MT-3,TX-38,SD-3,TN-11,and ND-3=58ev(165ev)
Solid Romney-R
KY-8,MS-6,NE-5,WV-5,LA-8,KS-6,AR-6,AL-9,AK-3,ID-4,OK-7,WY-3,and UT-6=76ev(241ev)


Version: 66

Obama-D electoral vote base is 237ev.
Solid Obama-D(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,and CA-55)=142ev
Likely Obama-D(ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,and NM-5)=35ev(177ev)
Lean Obama-D(CT-7,MI-16,OR-7,PA-20,and MN-10)=60ev(237ev)
Romney-R electoral vote base is 206ev
Solid Romney-R(UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AK-3,AL-9,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,WV-5,NE-5,MS-6,and KY-8)=76ev
Likely Romney-R(ND-3,TN-11,SD-3,TX-38,and MT-3)=58ev(134ev)
Lean Romney-R(IN-11,SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,MO-10,and NC-15)=72ev(206ev)


Version: 65

Obama-D will win by a double digit margin in.
DC-3(+80)
VT-3(+40)
HI-4(+35)
NY-29(+30)
DE-3(+25)
MD-10(+20)
MA-11(+19)
CA-55(+18)
RI-4(+17)
IL-20(+16)
ME-4(+15)
WA-12(+14)
NJ-14(+13)
NM-5(+12)
CT-7(+11)
MN-10(+10)
194ev
Obama-D will win by a high single digit margin in.(5-10)
PA-20(+9)
OR-7(+8)
MI-16(+7)
OH-18(+6)
NH-4(+5)
259ev
Obama-D narrowly wins outside the margin of error.
NV-6(+4)
CO-9(+3)
274ev
Obama-D wins by a statistical tie margin in
WI-10(+2)
FL-29(+1)
313ev



Version: 64

Obama-D will recieve over 60 percent of the popular vote in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,and DE-3=67ev.
Obama-D will recieve over 50 percent of the popular vote but will win by a landslide margin in IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14=105ev(172ev)
Obama-D will recieve over 50 percent of the popular vote but will win by a low double digit margin in CT-7,NM-5,OR-7,and MN-10=29ev(201ev)
Obama-D will recieve over 50 percent of the popular vote but will win by a high single digit margin in MI-16,PA-20,NH-4,OH-18,and NV-6=64ev(265ev)
Obama-D's 270ev is CO-9 or WI-10 or FL-29.
IA-6 or VA-13 are a statistical tie.


Version: 63

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D will win by a double digit margin in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,CA-55,IL-20,WA-12,ME-4,NJ-14,NM-5,CT-7,MN-10,and OR-7=201ev
Obama-D will win by a high single digit margin.
PA-20,MI-16,NH-4,OH-18,and NV-6=64ev(265ev)
Obama-D guide to victory-NH-4,OH-18,NV-6,and CO-9=274ev
Another scenario is FL-29 and WI-10=276ev.
Another scenario is VA-13,IA-6,and NC-15=271ev


Version: 62

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins by a margin greater of 15 percent.
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,and WA-12=158ev
Obama-D wins by a margin between 10-15 percent.
CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7=43ev(201ev)
Obama-D wins by a margin between 5-10 percent
PA-20,NV-6,MI-16,NH-4,and OH-18=64ev(265ev)
Obama-D narrowly wins CO-9,FL-29,WI-10,VA-13,and IA-6.


Version: 61

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D(over 20 percent margin)
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,and MA-11=54ev
Solid Obama-D(15-20 percent margin)
MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,and ME-4=92ev(146ev)
Likely Obama-D(10-15 percent margin)
WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,and MN-10=48ev(194ev)
Lean Obama-D(5-10 percent margin)
OR-7,PA-20,NH-4,MI-16,and NV-6=53ev(247ev)
Tossup Obama-D(0-5 percent margin)
OH-18,CO-9,FL-29,and WI-10=66ev(313ev)
Tossup Romney-R
VA-13,IA-6,NC-15,MO-10,and SC-9=53ev
Lean Romney-R
AZ-11,GA-16,IN-11,TX-38,and MT-3=79ev(132ev)
Likely Romney-R
TN-11,SD-3,KY-8,ND-3,and MS-6=31ev(163ev)
Solid Romney-R
NE-5,WV-5,KS-6,LA-8,AK-3,AR-6,ID-4,AL-9,WY-3,OK-7,and UT-6=62ev(225ev)


Version: 60

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D has a double digit lead in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,and MN-10=182ev
Obama-D has a high single digit lead in CT-7,NM-5,OR-7,PA-20,and MI-16=55ev(237ev)
Obama-D has a narrow lead in NH-4,CO-9,NV-6,and OH-18=37ev(274ev)
Romney-R has a double digit lead in UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AK-3,AL-9,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,WV-5,NE-5,MS-6,KY-8,ND-3,TN-11,SD-3,TX-38,and MT-3=134ev
Romney-R has a high single digit lead in IN-11,SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,and MO-10=191ev
Romney-R has a narrow lead in NC-15,IA-6,and VA-13=34ev(225ev)
No Clear Favorite WI-10 and FL-29.


Version: 59

This is Obama-D best map.
He wins by a margin over 20 percent in DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,and DE-3=67ev
He wins by a margin between 15-20 percent in IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14=105ev(172ev)
He win by a margin between 10-15 percent in CT-7,MN-10,NM-5,OR-7,and PA-20=49ev(221ev)
He wins by a margin between 5-10 percent in MI-16,WI-10,NH-4,NV-6,and CO-9=45ev(266ev)
He wins by a margin between 0-5 percent in VA-13,OH-18,FL-29,IA-6,and NC-15=81ev(347ev)
NC-15 is a statistical tie.
Obama-D loses by a margin between 5-10 percent in MO-10,GA-16,AZ-11,SC-9,and IN-11=57ev
Obama-D loses by a margin between 10-15 percent in MT-3,TX-38,SD-3,TN-11,and ND-3=58ev(115ev)
Obama-D loses by a margin between 15-20 percent in KY-8,WV-5,NE-5,MS-6,and LA-8=32ev(147ev)
Obama-D loses by a margin over 20 percent in KS-6,AR-6,AL-9,AK-3,ID-4,OK-7,WY-3,and UT-6=44ev(191ev)


Version: 58

Obama-D has an electoral vote base of 179ev(DC-3,VT-3,DE-3,HI-4,RI-4,ME-4,CT-7,MD-10,MA-11,WA-12,NJ-14,IL-20,NY-29,and CA-55=states Kerry-D won in 2004 by a margin greater than 5 percent.
The Lean Obama-D states are NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,MI-16,NV-6,and WI-10=74ev(253ev)-States Obama-D won in 2008 by a margin greater than 10 percent.
Tossup Obama-D states are NH-4,IA-6,and CO-9=272ev
FL-29,OH-18,NC-15,VA-13 and IA-6 are Tossup states Romney-R must win.


Version: 57

Solid/Likely Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14=172ev
Lean Obama-D
NM-5,CT-7,MN-10,OR-7,and PA-20=49ev(221ev)
Slight Obama-D
NH-4,MI-16,NV-6,and WI-10=36ev(257ev)
Solid/Likely Romney-R
UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,ND-3,WV-5,NE-5,MS-6,SD-3,TN-11,IN-11,KY-8,MT-3,and TX-38=145ev
Lean Romney-R
AZ-11,SC-9,GA-16,and MO-10=46ev(191ev)
Slight Romney-R
NC-15=206ev


Version: 56

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D wins by a double digit margin
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,and MA-11=margin of victory greater than 20 percent. (54ev)
MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,and ME-4=margin of victory between 15-20 percent.(92ev)146ev
WA-12,NJ-14,MN-10,NM-5,and CT-7=margin of victory between 10-15 percent(48ev)194ev
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin
OR-7,PA-20,NH-4,NV-6,and MI-16=margin of victory between 5-10 percent(53ev)247ev
Romney-R wins by a double digit margin
UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,WV-5,ND-3,MS-6,NE-5,KY-8,SD-3,TN-11,MT-3,TX-38,and IN-11=145ev
Romney-R wins by a high single digit margin
SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,MO-10,and NC-15=61ev(206ev)


Version: 55

This map is a worse case scenario for Obama-D
Obama-D is favored to win DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,CT-7,NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,NH-4,NV-6,and MI-16=247ev
Romney-R is favored to win UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,NE-5,WV-5,MS-6,ND-3,KY-8,TN-11,SD-3,TX-38,MT-3,IN-11,SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,MO-10,and NC-15=206ev
The Tossup States are CO-9,FL-29,IA-6,OH-18,WI-10,and VA-13.


Version: 54

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,and CA-55=142ev
Solid Romney-R
UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,ND-3,and TX-38=128ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4 and WA-12=16ev(158ev)
Likely Romney-R
SD-3,IN-11,and MT-3=17ev(145ev)
Lean Obama-D
NJ-14,NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,and CT-7=63ev(221ev)
Lean Romney-R
SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,MO-10,and NC-15=61ev(206ev)


Version: 53

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D recieves over 60 percent of the popular vote in VT-3,HI-4,DE-3,NY-29and MD-10=52ev
Obama-D recieves between 55 to 60 percent of the popular vote in MA-11,CA-55,RI-4,IL-20,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14=172ev
Obama-D recieves between 50 to 55 percent of the popular vote in MN-10,NM-5,OR-7,PA-20,CT-7,NV-6,NH-4,MI-16,CO-9,and OH-18=274ev
WI-10 is a tie.
FL-29
VA-13
IA-6
Romney-R narrowly wins NC-15 and MO-10
Romney-R wins SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,and IN-11 by a high single digit margin.
Romney-R wins TN-11,SD-3,TX-38,MT-3,and ND-3 by a low double digit margin.
Romney-R wins KY-8,MS-6,NE-5,WV-5,LA-8,and KS-6 by a 15-20 percent margin.
Romney-R wins AR-6,AK-3,AL-9,ID-4,OK-7,WY-3,and UT-6.


Version: 52

Obama-D wins the Northeastern States.
DC-3(85 percent margin)
VT-3(35 percent margin)6ev
NY-29(30 percent margin)35ev
DE-3(25 percent margin)38ev
RI-4(20 percent margin)42ev
MA-11(18 percent margin)53ev
MD-10(16 percent margin)63ev
ME-4(14 percent margin)67ev
CT-7(12 percent margin)74ev
NJ-14(10 percent margin)88ev
PA-20(8 percent margin)108ev
NH-4(6 percent margin)112ev
Romney-R wins the Sourhern States
OK-7(35 percent margin)
AL-9(30 percent margin)16ev
AR-6(25 percent margin)22ev
LA-8(20 percent margin)30ev
WV-5(18 percent margin)35ev
MS-6(16 percent margin)41ev
KY-8(14 percent margin)49ev
TN-11(12 percent margin)60ev
TX-38(10 percent margin)98ev
SC-9(8 percent margin)107ev
GA-16(6 percent margin)123ev
NC-15(4 percent margin)138ev
VA-13(2 percent margin)151ev
FL-29(tie)180ev


Version: 51

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D base states are (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,MA-11,DE-3,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,NM-5,NJ-14,CT-7,MN-10,OR-7,and PA-20)=221ev
Romney-R base states are (UT-6,OK-7,WY-3,AL-9,ID-4,AR-6,AK-3,LA-8,KS-6,MS-6,NE-5,WV-5,ND-3,KY-8,SD-3,TN-11,MT-3,TX-38,IN-11,SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,MO-10,and NC-15)= 206ev.


Version: 50

Solid Obama-D(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,and MA-11)=142ev.
Likely Obama-D(ME-4,WA-12,NM-5,NJ-14,and CT-7 )=42ev(184ev)
Lean Obama-D(MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,NV-6,and MI-16)=59ev(243ev)
Tossup Obama-D(NH-4,OH-18,IA-6,WI-10,and CO-9)=47ev(290ev)
Solid Romney-R(UT-6,OK-7,WY-3,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,and KY-8)=76ev
Likely Romney-R(ND-3,TN-11,SD-3,TX-38,and MT-3)=58ev(134ev)
Lean Romney-R(IN-11,GA-16,AZ-11,SC-9,and MO-10)=57ev(191ev)
Tossup Romney-R(NC-15,VA-13,and FL-29)=57ev(248ev)


Version: 49

Obama-D wins DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,ME-4 and WA-12 by a double digit margin. 158ev Obama-D wins CT-7,NJ-14,OR-7,MN-10,NM-5,and PA-20 by a high single digit margin. 63ev(221ev) Obama-D narrowly wins NV-6,MI-16,NH-4,OH-18 and CO-9=53ev(274ev)


Version: 48

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,Ri-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14 by a double digit margin. (179ev)
Romney-R wins UT-6,OK-7,WY-3,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,ND-3,NE-5,TN-11,KY-8,SD-3,and TX-38 by a double digit margin. (131ev)


Version: 47

Solid Obama-D DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,DE-3,MD-10,MA-11,RI-4,CA-55,and IL-20=142ev
Likely Obama-D ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14=37ev(179ev)
Lean Obama-D MN-10,NM-5,OR-7, and PA-20=42ev(221ev)
Solid Romney-R UT-6,OK-7,WY-3,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,and KY-8=76ev
Likely Romney-R ND-3,TN-11,SD-3,and TX-38=55ev(131ev)
Lean Romney-R IN-11,GA-16,MT-3,SC-9,AZ-11,and MO-10=60ev(191ev)


Version: 46

2012 US Presidential Election
Tossup Obama-D states.
IA-6,WI-10,OH-18,and FL-29=63ev
Tossup Romney-R states
CO-9,MO-10,VA-13,and NC-15=47ev
Lean Obama-D states.
NH-4,NV-6,MI-16,and PA-20=46ev(109ev)
Lean Romney-R states.
SC-9,AZ-11,IN-11,and GA-16=47ev(94ev)
Likely Obama-D states.
NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,and NJ-14=36ev(145ev)
Likely Romney-R states.
MT-3,ND-3,SD-3,and TX-38ev=47ev(141ev)
Solid Obama-D states (165ev)
Solid Romney-D states (87ev)


Version: 45

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins by a double digit margin(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14)=179ev.
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin(NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,and PA-20)=58ev(237ev)
Obama-D wins by a narrow margin(NH-4,NV-6,OH-18,and FL-29)=57ev(294ev)
Romney-R wins the McCain States plus IN-11 and NC-15=206ev.
Besides FL-29 and OH-18, The Tossup States are IA-6,CO-9,WI-10,and VA-13.


Version: 44

Obama-D margin of victory over 20 percent.
(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,DE-3,MD-10,and MA-11)=63ev
Obama-D margin of victory between 15-20 percent.
(CA-55,RI-4,IL-20,ME-4,and WA-12)=95ev(158ev)
Obama-D margin of victory between 10-15 percent.
(NJ-14,CT-7,NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7)=43ev(201ev)
Obama-D margin of victory between 5-10 percent.
(MI-16,PA-20,NV-6,WI-10,and NH-4)=56ev(257ev)
Romney-R margin of victory over 20 percent.
(UT-6,OK-7,WY-3,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,and KS-6)=44ev
Romney-R margin of victory between 15-20 percent.
(WV-5,LA-8,NE-5,MS-6,and KY-8)=32ev(76ev)
Romney-R margin of victory between 10-15 percent.
(ND-3,TX-38,SD-3,TN-11,and IN-11)=66ev(142ev)
Romney-R margin of victory between 5-10 percent.
(GA-16,AZ-11,MT-3,SC-9,and MO-10)=49ev(191ev)


Version: 43

2012 US Presidential Election.
Likely outcome-after the conventions,debates,and campaign ads.
Obama-D is going to win DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,and NY-29 with over 60 percent of the popular vote. 39ev.
Obama-D is going to win RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14 with 55-60 percent of the popular vote. 140ev(179ev)
Obama-D is going to win NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,MI-16,NV-6,and PA-20 by a 5-10 percent margin. 64ev(243ev)
Obama-D narrowly wins either FL-29(272ev)or
Obama-D narrowly wins OH-18 or WI-10(271ev)
Obama-D narrowly wins OH-18,IA-6,and NH-4(271ev)
Romney-R will narrowly win CO-9,VA-13,and FL-29= 257ev
Obama-D will narrowly win NH-4,WI-10,and IA-6= 263ev
OH-18 determines the winner of the election- Obama-D wins OH-18 by a 50-49 percent margin.


Version: 42

2012 US Presidential Election.
This is a best case scenario(Republican Favored Map).
Obama-D wins DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14 by a double digit margin. (179ev)
Obama-D wins NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,and PA-20 by a high single digit margin. 58ev(237ev)
Obama-D wins NH-4,and NV-6 by a narrow margin(outside the margin of error) 10ev(247ev)
Romney-R is going to win the McCain States plus IN-11,NC-15,and CO-9. (215ev)
The Tossup States are IA-6,WI-10,VA-13,OH-18,and FL-29.
FL-29 is a state Romney-R must win in order to stand a chance. Obama-D victory in FL-29(276ev),Romney-R victory in FL-29(244ev).
OH-18 is a state Obama-D needs to win to make his victory little easier. Obama-D victory in OH-18(265ev)- Obama just needs to win either IA-6,WI-10,or VA-13. Romney-R victory in OH-18(262ev). Romney-R needs to win either VA-13 or WI-10.
If Obama-D loses OH-18,he needs to carry VA-13 and WI-10. Obama-D is likely to win WI-10 but VA-13 could go either way. Obama-D is at 257ev(Victory in VA-13 or OH-18 will put Obama-D over the 270ev).
If Romney-R loses OH-18, he needs to carry VA-13,WI-10,and IA-6,


Version: 41

2012 Battleground States.
Obama/Biden-D is favored to win NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7 by a 7.5-10 percent margin. (201ev)
Obama/Biden-D is favored to win PA-20,NV-6,and MI-16 by a 5-7.5 percent margin. (243ev)
Obama/Biden-D is favored to win NH-4,WI-10,and VA-13 by a 2.5-5 percent margin. (270ev)
Obama/Biden-D is favored to win OH-18 and FL-29 by a 0-2.5 percent margin. (317ev)
Romney/Ryan-R is favored to win IA-6,CO-9,and NC-15 by a 2.5-5 percent margin. (221ev)


Version: 40

This map is likely to be the anticipated outcome on November.
Obama/Biden-D will win (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,DE-3,and IL-20) with at least 60 percent of the popular vote or a 20 percent margin. 76ev
Obama/Biden-D will win (MA-11,CA-55,ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,NJ-14,NM-5,and MN-10) by a 10-20 percent margin. 118ev(194ev)
Obama/Biden-D will win (OR-7,PA-20,MI-16,NV-6,WI-10 and OH-18) by a 5-10 percent margin. 77ev(271ev) OH-18,WI-10,and NV-6 are semi Tossup States. (237ev)
Looking at the real Tossup States Obama/Biden-D is likely to win.
(FL-29,NH-4,and VA-13)-Obama/Biden-D wins by a 2.5-5 percent margin. 46ev(317ev)
(CO-9,IA-6,and NC-15)- Obama/Biden-D wins those states by a very narrow margin. 30ev(347ev)
Romney/Ryan-R narrowly wins MO-10.
Romney/Ryan-R wins (GA-16,AZ-11,MT-3,IN-11,and SC-9) by a high single digit margin.
Romney/Ryan-R wins (SD-3,TX-38,ND-3,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,TN-11,KY-8,KS-6,LA-8,AR-6,and AK-3) by a double digit margin.
Romney/Ryan-R wins (AL-9,OK-7,ID-4,WY-3,and UT-6) by a landslide margin with over 60 percent of the popular vote.


Version: 39

Romney/Ryan-R is going to win all of the McCain States(MO-10,GA-16,AZ-11,and SC-9) by a high single digit margin=180ev. plus the Dole/Obama States. IN-11(Romney-R wins by a high single digit margin), NC-15(Romney-R wins by a narrow margin), VA-13(Romney-R wins by a narrow margin), and CO-9(Romney-R wins by a narrow margin).=228ev.
Obama/Biden-D is going to hold onto all of the states he won in 2008 by a double digit margin(NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,and MI-16)-Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin. (NV-6 and WI-10)- Obama-D wins by a narrow margin= 253ev.
OH-18 and FL-29 are the two states Romney-R needs to win in order to be President but due to Ryan selection-Obama-D is guarenteed to carry both of those states. 300ev.
Romney-R wins NH-4 and IA-6=238ev.
Romney-R guide to victory without FL-29 and OH-18 is The McCain/Dole States(IN-11,NC-15,VA-13,and CO-9)=228ev plus (IA-6,NH-4,NV-6,WI-10 and MI-16)=270ev.
Obama-D could carry one of those states. (NV-6,WI-10 or MI-16).


Version: 38

Based on Real Clear Politics average polling data. (All of the states that show Obama-D leading by a 5 percent margin or greater are states Obama-D is likely to carry in November.)
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MA-11,MD-10,DE-3,IL-20,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,NM-5,MN-10,and OR-7=201ev(Obama-D wins those states by a double digit margin.)
PA-20,MI-16,NV-6,WI-10,and OH-18=70ev(Obama-D wins those states by a high single digit margin.)
I gave Romney-R all of the Tossup States Obama-D is polling ahead in. (FL-29,VA-13,CO-9,IA-6,and NH-4)
Obama-D is expected to win by a 271-267 (NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,MI-16,NV-6,OH-18,and WI-10 are battleground states Obama-D wins by a narrow to high single digit margin.)


Version: 37

2012 US Presidential Election.
It is official- the November General Election matchup is between (Obama/Biden-D vs Romney/Ryan-R)
Obama/Biden-D is strongly favored to win (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14)-179ev (These are the states Kerry carried in 2004 by at least a 5 percent margin).
Romney/Ryan-R is strongly favored to win (UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KY-8,TN-11,NE-5,KS-6,MS-6,WV-5,TX-38,ND-3 and SD-3)=131ev. (These are states McCain won by a double digit margin and Bush43 carried in 2004 by a landslide margin).
Obama/Biden-D is favored to win (NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,PA-20,WI-10,and NV-6)-battleground states he carried in 2008 by a double digit margin.- 74ev(253ev)
Romney/Ryan-R is favored to win (SC-9,MT-3,AZ-11,GA-16,IN-11,MO-10,and NC-15)-States McCain carried in 2008 by a narrow to high single digit margin and Bush carried in 2004 by a double digit margin.- 75ev(206ev)
The Tossup Battleground States are NH-4,IA-6,CO-9,VA-13,OH-18,and FL-29.
Obama/Biden-D is favored to win OH-18 due to reverse coattails- Sherrod Brown-D is strongly favored to win the competitive OH US Senate Race. =271ev.

Obama/Biden-D could substitute FL-29 and VA-13 with (MI-16,WI-10,and OH-18)= receive 269ev. add NH-4- Obama/Biden-D wins re-election.


Version: 36

Obama-D is polling above 50 percent or in a double digit lead in.
DC-3
HI-4(7)
VT-3(10)
NY-29(39)
RI-4(43)
MD-10(53)
DE-3(56)
MA-11(67)
IL-20(87)
CA-55(142)
ME-4(146)
WA-12(158)
CT-7(165)
MN-10(175)
NM-5(180)
NJ-14(194)
Obama-D leading in the high single digit margin.
OR-7(201)
PA-20(221)
MI-16(237)
NV-6(243)
OH-18(261)
WI-10(271)
Obama-D narrowly wins or will end up winning.
FL-29(300)
NH-4(304)
VA-13(317)
IA-6(323)
CO-9(332)




Version: 35

Looking at the Southern States.
NC-15,FL-29,and VA-13 are Tossup States in the South.
Romney-R wins NC-15
Obama-D wins VA-13
FL-29 is up for grabs.


Version: 34

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D is strongly favored to win (DC-3,HI-4,NY-29,VT-3,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,MA-11,CA-55,ME-4,NJ-14,CT-7,and WA-12)=179ev(Obama-D wins those states by a double digit margin.
Obama-D needs another 91ev to get to the 270ev mark.
Obama-D is favored to win (NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,WI-10,MI-16,and PA-20)=68ev(247ev). Obama-D wins those states by a high single digit margin.
Another 23 ev puts Obama-D at the 270ev mark.
(NH-4,IA-6,NV-6,and CO-9)=25ev(272ev)
or
(VA-13 and OH-18)=31ev(278ev)
or
(FL-29)=276ev.


Version: 33

Obama-D wins by a double digit margin.
DC-3(91-6)
HI-4(64-34)7
NY-29(63-35)36
VT-3(62-35)39
RI-4(61-36)43
IL-20(60-37)63
MD-10(60-38)73
DE-3(59-39)76
MA-11(58-40)87
CA-55(57-40)142
ME-4(56-41)146
NJ-14(56-42)160
NM-5(55-42)165
WA-12(55-43)177
CT-7(54-43)184
MN-10(54-44)194
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin.
OR-7(53-44)201
MI-16(53-45)217
WI-10(52-46)227
PA-20(52-45)247
NV-6(51-46)253
Romney-R wins the McCain States plus IN-11,NC-15,and FL-29=235ev


Version: 32

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,IL-20,NY-29,MD-10,DE-3,CA-55,and MA-11)=142ev.
Likely Obama-D(ME-4,WA-12,CT-7,and NJ-14)=37ev(179ev)
Lean Obama-D(NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,MI-16,WI-10,and PA-20)=68ev(247ev)
Tossup Obama-D(NV-6,NH-4,and OH-18)
Tossup Obama-D(IA-6,CO-9,and VA-13)
Tossup Obama-D(FL-29)
Lean Romney-R(NC-15,and MO-10)=25ev
Likely Romney-R(MT-3,AZ-11,IN-11,GA-16,and SC-9)=50ev(75ev)
Solid Romney-R(SD-3,ND-3,TX-38,WV-5,TN-11,AR-6,KY-8,MS-6,LA-8,AK-3,NE-5,KS-6,AL-9,OK-7,ID-4,WY-3,and UT-6)=131ev(206ev)


Version: 31

2012 US Presidential Election.
States that Obama-D will win by a margin greater than 17.5 percent.
DC-3(90-8)
HI-4(66-32)7
VT-3(65-33)10
RI-4(64-34)14
NY-29(63-35)43
MA-11(62-36)54
MD-10(61-37)64
IL-20(60-38)84
DE-3(59-39)87
CA-55(58-40)142
States that Obama-D will win by a margin between 12.5-17.5 percent.
CT-7(57-40)149
ME-4(57-41)153
WA-12(56-41)165
NJ-14(56-42)179
NM-5(55-42)184
States that Obama-D will win by a margin between 7.5-12.5 percent
MN-10(55-43)194
OR-7(54-43)201
WI-10(54-44)211
MI-16(53-44)227
PA-20(53-45)247
States that Obama-D will win by a margin between 2.5-7.5 percent
NV-6(52-45)253
NH-4(52-46)257
IA-6(51-46)263
CO-9(51-47)272
OH-18(50-47)290
States that Obama-D will win by a margin between 0-2.5 percent.
VA-13(50-48)303
FL-29(49-48)332
NC-15(49-49)347
States that Romney-R will win by a margin between 5-10 percent.
MO-10(51-46)
IN-11(52-46)21
AZ-11(52-45)32
GA-16(53-45)48
SC-9(53-44)57
States that Romney-R will win by a margin between 10-15 percent.
MT-3(54-44)60
TX-38(54-43)98
SD-3(55-43)101
MS-6(55-42)107
ND-3(56-42)110
States that Romney-R will win by a margin between 15-20 percent.
WV-5(56-41)115
TN-11(57-41)126
KY-8(57-40)134
KS-6(58-40)140
NE-5(58-39)145
States that Romney-R will win by a margin over 20 percent.
LA-8(59-39)153
AK-3(60-38)156
AR-6(61-37)162
ID-4(62-36)166
AL-9(63-35)175
WY-3(64-34)178
OK-7(65-33)185
UT-6(66-32)191


Version: 30

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D wins by a margin over 20 percent.
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,and CA-55=142ev
Obama-D wins by a margin between 15-20 percent.
ME-4,CT-7,WA-12,and NJ-14=179ev
Obama-D wins by a margin between 10-15 percent.
MN-10,NM-5,and OR-7=201ev.
Obama-D wins by a margin between 5-10 percent.
PA-20(221ev)
MI-16(237ev)
WI-10(247ev)
Obama-D victory is NV-6 and OH-18=271ev.
Obama-D victory is NH-4,CO-9,and VA-13=273ev
Obama-D victory is FL-29=276ev
Obama-D victory is NV-6,NH-4,IA-6,and CO-9.
Romney-R will win all of the McCain states plus IN-11 and possibly NC-15.(206ev).


Version: 29

This map is a jab at Politico-Jonathan Martin-
Western States.
Starting at HI-4(The place where Obama lived when he was a kid).
Obama-D wins HI-4(over 20 point margin),CA-55(15-20 point margin),WA-12(10-15 point margin),and OR-7(5-10 point margin),=78ev.
The Hispanic Southwest States.
Obama-D wins NM-5(10-15 point margin),NV-6(5-10 point margin),and CO-9(0-5 point margin).=98ev
CO-9 is a must win battleground state Obama-D needs to win.(89ev).
The Midwestern States.
Obama-D wins IL-20(over 15 point margin),MN-10(10-15 point margin),WI-10(5-10 point margin),MI-16(5-10 point margin),OH-18(0-5 point margin),and IA-6(0-5 point margin). =178ev.
OH-18 and IA-6 are must win battleground states Obama-D needs to win. (145ev).
The Northeastern States
NH-4(0-5 point margin),PA-20(5-10 point margin),NJ-14(10-15 point margin),ME-4(15-20 point margin), CT-7(15-20 point margin), DE-3,MD-10,MA-11,NY-29,RI-4,VT-3,and DC-3(over 20 point margin). =290ev.
NH-4,NV-6,IA-6,CO-9,and OH-18 are must win battleground states Obama-D needs to win. =247ev.


Version: 28

2012 US Presidential Election.
Romney-R wins by double digit margin.
UT-6
WY-3(9)
OK-7(16)
ID-4(20)
AL-9(29)
AK-3(32)
AR-6(38)
KS-6(44)
WV-5(49)
ND-3(52)
LA-8(60)
NE-5(65)
MS-6(71)
SD-3(74)
KY-8(82)
TN-11(93)
TX-38(131)
Romney-R wins by a high single digit margin.
MT-3(134)
SC-9(143)
IN-11(154)
AZ-11(165)
GA-16(181)
MO-10(191)
Romney-R wins by a narrow margin
NC-15(206)
Tossup
VA-13(219)
FL-29(248)42


Version: 27

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D wins by a double digit margin(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,NM-5,and MN-10)=194ev
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin(MI-16,OR-7,WI-10,NV-6,PA-20,NH-4,CO-9,and OH-18)=284ev
Obama-D wins by a narrow margin(IA-6,VA-13,FL-29,and NC-15)=347ev.
Romney-R is more or less going to win the McCain States plus IN-11(191ev). He wins IN-11,MO-10,and MT-3 with more than 5 percent of the popular vote. He wins the Dakota's by a double digit margin.


Version: 26

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,and CA-55(142ev)- Obama-D recieves at least 60 percent of the popular vote or wins by at least a 20 percent margin.
Likely Obama-D
CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,NJ-14,NM-5,and MN-10(194ev)-Obama-D recieves at least 55 percent of the popular vote or wins by at least a 10 percent margin.
Lean Obama-D
OR-7,WI-10,PA-20,MI-16,and NV-6(253ev)-Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin.
Tossup Obama-D
OH-18,NH-4,CO-9,IA-6,and VA-13(303ev)-Obama-D wins by a narrow margin.
Solid Romney-R
UT-6,OK-7,WY-3,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,ND-3,WV-5,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,SD-3,MS-6,and TX-38(131ev)-Romney-R wins by a double digit margin.
Likely/Lean Rommey-R
MT-3,SC-9,GA-16,IN-11,AZ-11,and MO-10(191)-Romney-R wins by a high single digit margin.
Tossup Romney-R
NC-15 and FL-29(235ev)-Romney-R wins by a narrow margin.


Version: 25

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D States
States Gore-D and Kerry-D won in 2000 and 2004 by a high single digit margin.
DC-3
HI-4(7)
VT-3(10)
NY-29(39)
RI-4(43)
MD-10(53)
MA-11(64)
DE-3(67)
IL-20(87)
CA-55(142)
ME-4(146)
CT-7(153)
WA-12(165)
NJ-14(179)
Obama-D receives at least 55 percent of the popular vote in those states or wins by a double digit margin.
States Gore-D and Kerry-D narrowly won or narrowly lost in 2000 and/or 2004 which Obama-D won by a double digit margin.
NM-5(184)
MN-10(194)
OR-7(201)
WI-10(211)
PA-20(231)
MI-16(247)
NV-6(253)
Obama-D wins those states by a high single to low double digit margin.(MN-10 and NM-5).
States Gore-D and Kerry-D narrowly won or narrowly lost in 2000 or 2004 which Obama-D won by a high single digit margin.
NH-4(257)
IA-6(263)
CO-9(272)
Obama-D wins those states by a narrow margin but outside the margin of error.
Obama-D does not have to worry about winning CO-9 and IA-6-if VA-13 is called for Obama-D by 9PM ET on Election Day. Obama-D is going to win MN-10,OR-7,WI-10,PA-20,and MI-16 plus NM-5,NV-6,and NH-4. If Obama-D wins OH-18, Obama-D could lose CO-9,IA-6,and NH-4 and still win. If Obama-D wins FL-29,Obama-D could lose CO-9,IA-6,NH-4,NV-6 and NM-5 and still win.


Version: 24

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D
DC-3(91-6)
HI-4(61-37)7
VT-3(60-37)10
NY-29(60-38)39
MD-10(59-39)49
RI-4(59-39)53
DE-3(58-39)56
MA-11(58-40)67
IL-20(57-40)87
CA-55(57-41)142
ME-4(56-41)146
NJ-14(56-42)160
CT-7(55-42)167
WA-12(55-43)179
NM-5(54-43)184
MN-10(54-44)194
OR-7(53-44)201
WI-10(53-45)211
PA-20(52-45)231
NV-6(52-46)237
MI-16(51-46)253
OH-18(51-47)271
NH-4(50-47)275
CO-9(50-48)284
IA-6(49-48)290
Romney-R
VA-13(49-48)
FL-29(50-48)42
NC-15(50-47)57
MO-10(51-47)67
IN-11(51-46)78
AZ-11(52-46)89
MT-3(52-45)92
GA-16(53-45)108
SC-9(53-44)117
TX-38(54-43)155
SD-3(55-43)158
MS-6(55-42)164
TN-11(56-42)175
KY-8(56-41)183
NE-5(57-41)188
WV-5(57-40)193
ND-3(58-40)196
LA-8(58-39)204
KS-6(59-38)210
AR-6(60-38)216
AK-3(60-37)219
AL-9(61-37)228
ID-4(61-36)232
OK-7(62-36)239
WY-3(62-35)242
UT-6(63-35)248


Version: 23

States Obama-D will carry in 2012 by a double digit margin.
DC-3(91-6)
HI-4(61-37)7
VT-3(60-37)10
NY-29(60-38)39
DE-3(59-38)42
MD-10(58-39)52
MA-11(58-40)63
CA-55(57-40)118
RI-4(57-41)122
IL-20(56-41)142
ME-4(56-42)146
NJ-14(55-42)160
CT-7(55-43)167
WA-12(54-43)179
NM-5(54-44)184
States Obama-D will carry in 2012 by a high single digit margin.
MN-10(53-44)194
OR-7(53-45)201
WI-10(52-45)211
PA-20(52-46)231
OH-18(51-46)249
States Obama-D will carry in 2012 by a narrow margin.
NV-6(51-47)255
MI-16(50-47)271
CO-9(50-48)280
NH-4(49-48)284
States Obama-D will lose in 2012 by a narrow margin.
IA-6(48-49)
VA-13(48-50)19
FL-29(47-50)48
NC-15(47-51)63
States Obama-D will lose in 2012 by a high single digit margin.
MO-10(46-51)73
AZ-11(46-52)84
SC-9(45-52)93
MT-3(45-53)96
IN-11(44-53)107
States Obama-D will lose in 2012 by a double digit margin.
GA-16(44-54)123
TN-11(43-54)134
SD-3(43-55)137
TX-38(42-55)175
ND-3(42-56)178
KY-8(41-56)186
MS-6(41-57)192
NE-5(40-57)197
WV-5(40-58)202
LA-8(39-58)210
KS-6(39-59)216
AR-6(38-59)222
AK-3(38-60)225
AL-9(37-60)234
OK-7(37-61)241
ID-4(36-61)245
WY-3(36-62)248
UT-6(35-62)254


Version: 22

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D by a double digit margin(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,DE-3,MD-10,MA-11,CA-55,RI-4,IL-20,ME-4,NJ-14,CT-7,WA-12,NM-5,and MN-10)=194ev
Obama-D by a high single digit margin(OR-7,WI-10,and PA-20)=231ev.
Romney-R by a double digit margin(UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,WV-5,NE-5,MS-6,KY-8,ND-3,TX-38,SD-3,TN-11,and GA-16)=147ev
Romney-R by a single digit margin(IN-11,MT-3,SC-9,AZ-11,MO-10,and NC-15)=206ev
The Tossup races are CO-9,FL-29,IA-6,MI-16,NV-6,NH-4,OH-18,and VA-13.


Version: 21

Obama-D wins (DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,and DE-3) with over 60 percent of the popular vote. DE-3(60-37),IL-20(61-36),MD-10(62-35),RI-4(63-34),NY-29(64-33),VT-3(65-32),HI-4(66-31),and DC-3(87-10)=76ev
Obama-D wins (MA-11,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,and NJ-14) with over 55 percent of the popular vote. NJ-14(55-42),ME-4(56-41),CT-7(57-40),CA-55(58-39),and MA-11(59-38)=167ev
Obama-D wins (WA-12,NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,NV-6,and NH-4) by at least a high single digit margin.
NH-4(51-46),NV-6(52-46),PA-20(52-45),OR-7(53-45),MN-10(53-44),NM-5(54-44),and WA-12(54-43)=231ev
Obama-D wins (WI-10,CO-9,and MI-16) by a narrow margin but outside the margin of error. MI-16(50-48),CO-9(50-47),and WI-10(51-47)=266ev
State that puts Obama-D over the top is FL-29 (295ev). Obama-D does not have to worry about NV-6 and IA-6(polls close after 10pm ET). (289ev), He can lose CO-9 and NH-4=276ev.
OH-18(284ev). Obama-D does not have to worry about NV-6 and IA-6 but he has to win either NH-4 or CO-9. (269ev to 278ev)
VA-13(279ev) Obama-D does not have to worry about NV-6 and IA-6(273ev). He has to win NH-4,CO-9,WI-10,and MI-16.
IA-6(272ev) States becomes necessary if Obama-D loses FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13 but holds onto NH-4,NV-6,CO-9,WI-10,and MI-16.


Version: 20

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MA-11,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,and DE-3(87ev)Obama-D will recieve over 60 percent of the popular vote or win by a margin greater than 20 percent.
Likely Obama-D
CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,NJ-14,and WA-12)(179ev)
Obama-D will recieve over 55 percent of the popular vote or win by a margin greater than 10 percent.
Lean Obama-D
MN-10,NM-5,OR-7,PA-20,and WI-10)(231ev)
Obama-D will win by a margin greater than 5 percent.
Tossup Obama-D
NV-6,MI-16,NH-4,and CO-9(266ev)
Statistical Tie.
IA-6,VA-13,OH-18,and FL-29.
Obama-D wins NV-6 and CO-9 because of the hispanic population.(246ev),MI-16 because of the autobailouts(262ev). VA-13 is going to be the must win state for Obama-D(DC/Richmond Metro Area plus Goode-C is going to siphon votes away from Romney-R in rural VA.


Version: 19

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D
DC-3(90-7)
HI-4(66-31)7
VT-3(65-32)10
NY-29(64-33)39
RI-4(63-34)43
MD-10(62-35)53
IL-20(61-36)73
DE-3(60-37)76
MA-11(59-38)87
CA-55(58-39)142
Likely Obama-D
CT-7(57-40)149
ME-4(56-41)153
NJ-14(55-42)167
Lean Obama-D
WA-12(55-43)179
MN-10(54-43)189
NM-5(53-44)194
OR-7(53-45)201
PA-20(52-45)221
NH-4(52-46)225
NV-6(51-46)231
Tossup Obama-D
WI-10(51-47)241
CO-9(50-47)250
MI-16(50-48)266
No Clear Favorite
IA-6(48-49)
OH-18(49-48)
Tossup Romney-R
VA-13(50-48)13ev
FL-29(50-47)42ev
NC-15(51-47)57ev
Lean Romney-R
MO-10(51-46)67ev
AZ-11(52-46)78ev
IN-11(52-45)89ev
Likely Romney-R
GA-16(53-45)105ev
SC-9(53-44)114ev
MT-3(54-44)117ev
TX-38(54-43)155ev
Solid Romney-R
SD-3(55-43)158ev
MS-6(55-42)164ev
WV-5(56-42)169ev
ND-3(56-41)172ev
TN-11(57-40)183ev
KY-8(58-40)191ev
NE-5(60-38)196ev
LA-8(60-37)204ev
KS-6(62-35)210ev
AR-6(63-35)216ev
AK-3(65-33)219ev
AL-9(65-32)228ev
ID-4(67-30)232ev
OK-7(68-30)239ev
WY-3(70-28)242ev
UT-6(70-27)248ev


Version: 18

2012 US Presidential Election.
Obama-D recieves over 60% of the popular vote in.
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,and DE-3=87ev.
Obama-D recieves over 55% of the popular vote in.
CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14=92ev(179ev)
Obama-D recieves less than 55% of the popular vote but is likely to win by a high single digit/low double digit margin.
MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5=22ev(201ev).
Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin.
PA-20,NH-4,and NV-6=30ev(231ev).
Obama-D wins by a narrow margin.
WI-10,MI-16,and CO-9=35ev(266ev)
Too Close to Call
IA-6,OH-18,VA-13,and FL-29.
Romney-R narrowly wins NC-15 and MO-10.
Romney-R wins AZ-11,GA-11,IN-11,MT-3,and SC-9 by a high single digit margin.
Romney-R wins AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,ID-4,KS-6,KY-8,LA-8,MS-6,NE-5,ND-3,OK-7,SD-3,TN-11,TX-38,UT-6,WV-5,and WY-3 by a double digit margin.(206ev)
Romney-R is likely to win the 2 Tossup Southern States- FL and VA. plus OH with Portman on the Ticket.
IA-6 becomes the state that determines the winner.


Version: 17

States Obama-D will lose in 2012 by a double digit margin.
UT-6,WY-3,OK-7,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,KS-6,LA-8,NE-5,WV-5,ND-3,MS-6,SD-3,KY-8,TN-11,MT-3,and TX-38=134ev.
States Obama-D will lose in 2012 by a high single digit margin.
IN-11,SC-9,AZ-11,GA-16,and MO-10=57ev(191ev)
States Obama-D will lose in 2012 by a narrow margin.
NC-15,and FL-29(235ev).
Romney-R is likely to end up with 235ev.
States that could go either way.
VA-13,OH-18,IA-6,and MI-16.
States Obama-D will win in 2012 by a double digit margin.
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,RI-4,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,MA,11,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,NJ-14,WA-12,MN-10,and NM-5=194ev.
States Obama-D will win in 2012 by a high single digit margin.
OR-7,PA-20,NV-6,NH-4,and WI-10=47ev(241ev)
States Obama-D will win in 2012 by a narrow margin.
CO-9=250ev.
Obama-D will win MI-16 and IA-6. While VA-13 and OH-18 are in the pure tossup collumn.


Version: 16

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D
DC-3
HI-4(7)
VT-3(10)
NY-29(39)
RI-4(43)
MD-10(53)
IL-20(73)
DE-3(76)
CA-55(131)
MA-11(142)
Likely Obama-D
CT-7(149)
ME-4(153)
WA-12(165)
NJ-14(179)
MN-10(189)
NM-5(194)
Lean Obama-D
OR-7(201)
PA-20(221)
NH-4(225)
NV-6(231)
WI-10(241)
CO-9(250)
Tossup/No Clear Favorite
MI-16(266)
IA-6(272)22
VA-13(285)35
OH-18(303)53
FL-29(332)82
Lean Romney-R
MO-10(92)
NC-15(107)
IN-11(118)
GA-16(134)
AZ-11(145)
SC-9(154)
Likely Romney-R
TX-38(192)
MT-3(195)
TN-11(206)
SD-3(209)
KY-8(217)
ND-3(220)
Solid Romney-R
WV-5(225)
NE-5(230)
MS-6(236)
KS-6(242)
LA-8(250)
AK-3(253)
AR-6(259)
ID-4(263)
AL-9(272)minus MI-16(256ev)
WY-3(259)
OK-7(266)
UT-6(272)minus IA-6,VA-13,or OH-18.(266ev)







Version: 15

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama/Biden-D
DC-3(89-9)
HI-4(66-31)7
NY-29(64-34)36
VT-3(61-36)39
MD-10(59-39)49
MA-11(58-39)60
RI-4(58-40)64
DE-3(57-40)67
CA-55(57-41)122
IL-20(56-41)142
Likely Obama/Biden-D
ME-4(56-42)146
NJ-14(55-42)160
CT-7(55-43)167
NM-5(54-43)172
WA-12(54-44)184
Lean Obama/Biden-D
MN-10(53-44)194
OR-7(53-45)201
PA-20(52-45)221
WI-10(52-46)231
MI-16(51-46)247
Tossup Obama/Biden-D
NV-6(51-47)253
NH-4(50-47)257
CO-9(50-48)266
VA-13(49-48)279
Tossup Romney/Portman-R
IA-6(49-48)
OH-18(50-48)24
FL-29(50-47)53
NC-15(51-47)68
Lean Romney/Portman-R
MO-10(51-46)78
AZ-11(52-46)89
IN-11(52-45)100
GA-16(53-45)116
SC-9(53-44)125
Likely Romney/Portman-R
MT-3(54-44)128
TX-38(54-43)166
SD-3(55-43)169
TN-11(55-42)180
ND-3(56-42)183
Solid Romney/Portman-R
KY-8(56-41)191
NE-5(57-41)196
WV-5(57-40)201
KS-6(58-40)207
MS-6(58-39)213
LA-8(59-39)221
AR-6(59-38)227
AK-3(60-38)230
AL-9(60-37)239
ID-4(61-37)243
OK-7(61-36)250
WY-3(64-34)253
UT-6(66-31)259


Version: 14

2012 US Presidential Election
Obama-D
DC-3(91-6)
HI-4(71-26)7ev
VT-3(69-29)10ev
RI-4(66-31)14ev
NY-29(64-34)43ev
MD-10(61-36)53ev
IL-20(59-39)73ev
DE-3(58-39)76ev
CA-55(58-40)131ev
MA-11(57-40)142ev
ME-4(57-41)146ev
NJ-14(56-41)160ev
CT-7(56-42)167ev
NM-5(55-42)172ev
WA-12(55-43)184ev
MN-10(54-43)194ev
OR-7(54-44)201ev
PA-20(53-44)221ev
NV-6(53-45)227ev
WI-10(52-45)237ev
MI-16(52-46)253ev
NH-4(51-46)257ev
IA-6(51-47)263ev
CO-9(50-47)272ev
VA-13(50-48)285ev
OH-18(49-48)303ev
Romney-R
FL-29(49-48)
NC-15(50-48)44ev
AZ-11(50-47)55ev
MO-10(51-47)65ev
IN-11(52-46)76ev
MT-3(52-45)79ev
GA-16(53-45)95ev
SC-9(53-44)104ev
TX-38(54-43)142ev
SD-3(55-43)145ev
WV-5(55-42)150ev
TN-11(56-42)161ev
KY-8(57-41)169ev
ND-3(57-40)172ev
MS-6(58-40)178ev
LA-8(58-39)186ev
AR-6(59-38)192ev
KS-6(60-38)198ev
NE-5(60-37)203ev
AK-3(61-37)206ev
AL-9(62-36)215ev
OK-7(63-35)222ev
ID-4(65-33)226ev
WY-3(68-30)229ev
UT-6(70-28)235ev


Version: 13

2012 US Presidential Election.
Solid Obama-D
CA-55,DE-3,DC-3,HI-4,IL-20,MD-10,MA-11,NY-29,RI-4,and VT-3=142ev
Likely Obama-D
CT-7,ME-4,NJ-14,NM-5 and WA-12=42ev(184ev)
Lean Obama-D
MN-10,OR-7,PA-20,and WI-10=47ev(231ev)
Tossup Obama-D
CO-9,MI-16,NV-6,and NH-4=35ev(266ev)
No Clear Favorite
FL-29,IA-6,OH-18,and VA-13.
Tossup Romney-R
MO-10 and NC-15=25ev
Lean Romney-R
AZ-11,GA-16,IN-11,and SC-9=47ev(72ev)
Likely Romney-R
MT-3,ND-3,SD-3,and TX-38=47ev(119ev)
Solid Romney-R
AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,ID-4,KS-6,KY-8,LA-8,MS-6,NE-5,OK-7,TN-11,UT-6,WV-5,and WY-3=87ev(206ev)


Version: 12

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3(91-6)
HI-4(69-29)7ev
VT-3(66-31)10ev
RI-4(64-34)14ev
NY-29(61-36)43ev
MA-11(59-39)54ev
MD-10(58-39)64ev
IL-20(58-40)84ev
DE-3(57-40)87ev
CA-55(57-41)142ev
CT-7(56-41)149ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4(56-42)153ev
WA-12(55-42)165ev
NJ-14(55-43)179ev
NM-5(54-43)184ev
MN-10(54-44)194ev
Lean Obama-D
OR-7(53-44)201ev
WI-10(53-45)211ev
NV-6(52-45)217ev
PA-20(52-46)237ev
NH-4(51-46)241ev
Tossup Obama-D
MI-16(51-47)257ev
CO-9(50-47)266ev
VA-13(50-48)279ev
OH-18(49-48)297ev
Tossup Romney-R
IA-6(49-48)
FL-29(50-48)35ev
Lean Romney-R
NC-15(50-47)50ev
MO-10(51-47)60ev
AZ-11(51-46)71ev
GA-16(52-46)87ev
IN-11(52-45)98ev
Likely Romney-R
SC-9(53-45)107ev
MT-3(53-44)110ev
Solid Romney-R
TX-38(54-44)148ev
TN-11(54-43)159ev
KY-8(55-43)167ev
WV-5(55-42)172ev
ND-3(56-42)175ev
SD-3(56-41)178ev
LA-8(57-41)186ev
AR-6(57-40)192ev
MS-6(58-40)198ev
KS-6(58-39)204ev
NE-5(59-39)209ev
AK-3(59-38)212ev
AL-9(60-38)221ev
OK-7(62-36)228ev
ID-4(64-34)232ev
WY-3(66-32)235ev
UT-6(68-30)241ev


Version: 11

2012 US Presidential Election
Solid Obama-D
DC-3(91-6)
HI-4(69-29)7ev
VT-3(66-31)10ev
NY-29(64-34)39ev
RI-4(61-36)43ev
MD-10(61-37)53ev
IL-20(60-37)73ev
DE-3 (60-38)76ev
MA-11(59-38)87ev
CA-55(59-39)142ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4(58-39)146ev
CT-7(57-40)153ev
WA-12(56-41)165ev
NJ-14(55-42)179ev
Lean Obama-D
NM-5(55-43)184ev
OR-7(54-43)191ev
MN-10(54-44)201ev
PA-20(53-44)221ev
NH-4(53-45)225ev
NV-6(52-45)231ev
WI-10(52-46)241ev
MI-16(51-46)257ev
Tossup Obama-D
IA-6(50-47)263ev
CO-9(50-48)272ev
VA-13(49-48)285ev
OH-18(49-49)303ev
Tossup Romney-R
FL-29(49-48)
NC-15(50-47)44ev
Lean Romney-R
MO-10(51-46)54ev
AZ-11(52-45)65ev
IN-11(53-44)76ev
Likely Romney-R
GA-16(54-44)92ev
SC-9(54-43)101ev
MT-3(55-43)104ev
SD-3(55-42)107ev
ND-3(56-42)110ev
Solid Romney-R
TX-38(56-41)148ev
TN-11(57-41)159ev
KY-8(57-40)167ev
WV-5(58-40)172ev
LA-8(58-39)180ev
AR-6(59-39)186ev
MS-6(60-38)192ev
NE-5(60-37)197ev
KS-6(61-37)203ev
AK-3(61-36)206ev
AL-9(62-35)215ev
ID-4(63-34)219ev
OK-7(64-33)226ev
WY-3(65-32)229ev
UT-6(66-31)235ev


Version: 10

Solid Obama-D
(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,MA-11,and CA-55)=142ev
Likely Obama-D
(ME-4,CT-7,WA-12,NJ-14,MN-10,and NM-5)=194ev
Lean Obama-D
(OR-7,PA-20,NV-6,WI-10,NH-4,and CO-9)=250ev
Tossup Obama-D
(MI-16,VA-13,IA-6,OH-18,and FL-29)=332ev
Solid Romney-R
(WY-3,UT-6,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,WV-5,MS-6,NE-5,KY-8,ND-3,TN-11,SD-3,and TX-38)=131ev
Likely Romney-R
(SC-9,MT-3,and GA-16)=159ev
Lean Romney-R
(IN-11,and AZ-11)=181ev
Tossup Romney-R
(MO-10 and NC-15)=206ev


Version: 9

Obama-D is polling ahead in the double digits in
CA-55,CT-7,DE-3,DC-3,HI-4,IL-20,ME-4,MD-10,MA-11,MN-10,NJ-14,NM-5,NY-29,RI-4,VT-3,and WA-12=194ev.
Romney=R is polling ahead in
AL-9,AK-3,AZ-11,AR-6,GA-16,ID-4,IN-11,KS-6,KY-8,LA-8,MS-6,MO-10,MT-3,NE-5,NC-15,ND-3,OK-7,SC-9,SD-3,TN-11,TX-38,UT-6,WV-5,and WY-3= 206ev
Obama-D is polling ahead in the high single digits in
OR-7,PA-20,and WI-10= 231ev.
Obama-D has a narrow lead in CO-9,FL-29,IA-6,MI-16,NV-6,NH-4,OH-18,and VA-13.
Romney-R wins FL-29,OH-18,NH-4 and IA-6= 263ev.
Obama-D wins VA-13,CO-9,NV-6,and MI-16=275ev.


Version: 8

Solid Obama-D
CA-55,DE-3,DC-3,HI-4,IL-20,MD-10,MA-11,NY-29,RI-4,and VT-3=142ev.
Likely Obama-D
CT-7,ME-4,MN-10,NJ-14,NM-5,OR-7,and WA-12= 59ev(201ev)
Lean Obama-D
MI-16,NV-6,NH-4,PA-20,and WI-10= 56ev(257ev)
Solid Romney-R
AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,ID-4,KS-6,KY-8,LA-8,MS-6,NE-5,ND-3,OK-7,SD-3,TN-11,TX-38,UT-6,WV-5,and WY-3=131ev
Likely Romney-R
GA-16,MT-3,and SC-9=28ev(159ev)
Lean Romney-R
AZ-11,IN-11,and MO-10=32ev(191ev)


Version: 7

Solid/Likely Obama-D=(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14)=179ev-States Kerry-D won by at least a high single digit margin.
Lean Obama-D=(NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,NV-6,WI-10,IA-6,and CO-9)=53ev(232ev)-The Dukakis States(OR,MN,WI,and IA) and the southwestern states(NM,NV,and CO)
Solid/Likely Romney-R=(UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,KS-6,MS-6,WV-5,ND-3,TX-38,SD-3,SC-9,MT-3,and GA-16)=159ev
Lean Romney-R=(AZ-11,IN-11,MO-10,and NC-15)=206ev
Tossup States-(FL-29,PA-20,OH-18,MI-16,VA-13,and NH-4)
Obama-D wins PA-20,MI-16,and VA-13=49ev(281ev)
Romney-R wins FL-29,OH-18,and NH-4=51ev(257ev)


Version: 6

Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,and CT-7=149ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4,WA-12,OR-7,NJ-14,and NM-5=42ev(191ev)
Lean Obama-D
MN-10,MI-16,PA-20,WI-10,and NV-6=62ev(253ev)
Solid Romney-R
WY-3,OK-7,UT-6,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KY-8,TN-11,NE-5,KS-6,MS-6,WV-5,and TX-38=125ev
Likely Romney-R
ND-3,GA-16,SD-3,SC-9,and MT-3=34ev(159ev)
Lean Romney-R
AZ-11,IN-11,MO-10,and NC-15=47ev(206ev)
Tossup Obama-D
NH-4,IA-6,and CO-9=19ev(272ev)
Tossup Romney-R
FL-29,OH-18,and VA-13=60ev(266ev)


Version: 5

Obama-D wins the Gore/Kerry States including (PA-20,MI-16,WI-10,MN-10,OR-7,IA-6,NM-5,and NH-4)plus the battleground states like (NV-6,CO-9,OH-18,and FL-29)=319ev. These states went for Clinton in 1992 and or 1996 then Bush43 in 2000 and 2004. and Obama-D in 2008.
Romney-R wins the McCain States including (AZ-11,MO-10,and MT-3) plus IN-11,NC-15,and VA-13- the Dole/Obama states.


Version: 4

Solid Obama-D
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,and MA-11=142ev
Likely Obama-D
ME-4,CT-7,WA-12,NM-5,and NJ-14=42ev(184ev)
Lean Obama-D
MN-10,OR-7,WI-10,MI-16,and PA-20=63ev(247ev)
Solid Romney-R
UT-6,WY-3,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,NE-5,KS-6,AK-3,MS-6,LA-8,KY-8,SD-3,AR-6,WV-5,and TN-11=90ev
Likely Romney-R
TX-38,ND-3,SC-9,and GA-16=66ev(156ev)
Lean Romney-R
AZ-11,IN-11,and MT-3=25ev(181ev)
Tossup Romney-R
MO-10 and NC-15=25ev(206ev)
Tossup Obama-D
NV-6,CO-9,IA-6,and NH-4=25ev(272ev)
FL-29,OH-18 and VA-13 are tie. Romney-R has to win all 3 of those plus one of the Tossup Obama states.


Version: 3

States Obama-D wins by a landslide margin.
DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,RI-4,NY-29,MA-11,MD-10,IL-20,DE-3,CA-55,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14= 179ev.
States Obama-D wins by a low double digit margin.
NM-5,OR-7,MN-10,and PA-20=42ev (221ev)
States Obama-D wins by a high single digit margin.
NH-4,NV-6,WI-10,and MI-16=36ev (257ev)
States Obama-D wins by a narrow margin.
IA-6,CO-9,VA-13,OH-18,and FL-29=75ev (332ev).
States Romney-R wins by a landslide.
WY-3,OK-7,UT-6,ID-4,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KY-8,TN-11,NE-5,KS-6,MS-6,and WV-5=87ev.
States Romney-R wins by a low double digit margin.
TX-38,ND-3,SD-3 and GA-16=60ev(147ev)
States Romney-R wins by a high single digit margin.
MT-3,SC-9,IN-11,and AZ-11=34ev (181ev)
States Romney-R wins by a narrow margin.
MO-10 and NC-15-25ev(206ev)


Version: 1

2012 US Presidential Electon.
Solid Obama-D
(DC-3,HI-4,VT-3,NY-29,MD-10,RI-4,CA-55,IL-20,DE-3,MA-11,CT-7,ME-4,WA-12,and NJ-14)=179ev.
Likely Obama-D
(NM-5,MN-10,OR-7,and PA-20)=42ev(221ev)
Lean Obama-D
(NH-4,MI-16,NV-6,WI-10,and IA-6)=42ev(263ev)
Solid Romney-R
(WY-3,UT-6,ID-4,OK-7,AL-9,AK-3,AR-6,LA-8,KS-6,MS-6,WV-5,NE-5,KY-8,TN-11,ND-3,TX-38,and SD-3)=131ev.
Likely Romney-R
(SC-9,MT-3,and GA-16)=28ev(159ev)
Lean Romney-R
(AZ-11,IN-11,MO-10,and NC-15)=47ev(206ev)
No Clear Favorite (CO-9,VA-13,OH-18,and FL-29)
Obama-D wins CO-9(272ev)and VA-13(285ev).
Romney-R wins FL-29(235ev) and OH-18(253ev).


Version History


Member Comments
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-10-03 @ 21:26:07 prediction Map
Romney-R is abandoning his tax cut plan


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 52/56 38/56 90/112 80.4% pie 20 4 10T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 221 4 164T362
P 2014 Senate 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 97 16 42T382
P 2014 Governor 28/36 16/36 44/72 61.1% pie 1 325 171T300
P 2012 President 52/56 43/56 95/112 84.8% pie 111 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 27 38 74T343
Aggregate Predictions 227/251 161/251 388/502 77.3% pie



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