Prediction Map

Prediction States Won

		270 |	538 |
Dem	290
Rep	248
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 |	538 |
Dem	237
Rep	191
Ind	0
Tos	110

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-1	-69	25	2	290	-69
Rep	+4	+1	+69	0	0	0	22	2	179	+69
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History

Comments History - hide

Version: 94

Obama-Biden 50%
Romney-Ryan 48%
Other 2%

Version: 93

Romney-Ryan 49%
Obama-Biden 49%
Other 2%

Version: 92

Obama-Biden 49%
Romney-Ryan 49%
Other 2%

Version: 91

Romney-Ryan 49%
Obama-Biden 49%
Other 2%

Version: 90

Romney-Ryan 50%
Obama-Biden 49%
Other 1%

Version: 89

Romney-Ryan 51%
Obama-Biden 48%
Other 1%

Version: 88

Romney-Ryan 50%
Obama-Biden 48%
Other 2%

Version: 82

Obama-Biden 49%
Romney-Ryan 49%
Johnson-Gray 1%
Other 1%

Version: 81

Romney-Ryan 49%
Obama-Biden 49%
Johnson-Gray 1%
Other 1%

Version: 77

Obama-Biden 51.7%
Romney-Ryan 47.2%
Other 1.1

Version: 76

Obama-Biden 51.6%
Romney-Ryan 47.3%
Other 1.1

Version: 75

Obama-Biden 51.6%
Romney-Ryan 47.3%
Other 1.1

Version: 74

Obama-Biden 52%
Romney-Ryan 47%
Other 1%


*Post DNC/ RNC map prediction. Obama bumping in polls and outraising Romney in funds for the month of August.

Version: 73

Obama-Biden 51%
Romney-Ryan 48%
Other 1%

Version: 72

Obama-Biden 51%
Romney-Ryan 48%
Other 1%

Version: 71

Obama-Biden 51%
Romney-Ryan 48%
Other 1%

Version: 70

My pre-republican convention map:


Obama-Biden 51%
Romney-Ryan 48%
Other 1%

Version: 69

Romney-Ryan 49%
Obama-Biden 49%
Others 2%

Version: 68

Map reflecting the current Romney VP selection surge:

-Today I am noting this bump has faded a bit with a Rasmussen (who leans right) tracking poll has Obama up now. I expect another post convention bump for later in the month and may switch a couple of states over to Romney. Ultimate question will be its sustainability with the Democratic convention coming right after it.

Romney-Ryan 50%
Obama-Biden 49%
Other 1%

Version: 67

Gotta keep it fair here,

Map reflecting the current Romney VP selection surge:

Romney-Ryan 50%
Obama-Biden 49%
Other 1%

Version: 66

Obama-Biden 52%
Romney-Ryan 47%
Others 1%

Version: 65

Obama-Biden 50.3%
Romney-Pawlenty 48.1%
Others 1.6%

Version: 64

Obama-Biden 50.8%
Romney-Pawlenty 47.9%
Others 1.3%

Estimated Statewide % of the vote for both tickets...some states rounded and not 100% due to third party influence.

Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 64, Obama 32
Arizona: Romney 53, Obama 46
Arkansas: Romney 62, Obama 37
California: Obama 59, Romney 40
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 41
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 67, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 65, Obama 34
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 49, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 61, Obama 39
Louisiana: Romney 62, Obama 37
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 51, Romney 48
Minnesota: Obama 55, Romney 43
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 42
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 58, Obama 41
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 59, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 55, Romney 44
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 51, Obama 48
North Dakota: Romney 56, Obama 43
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 59, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 58, Obama 41
Tennessee: Romney 57, Obama 42
Texas: Romney 54, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 63, Obama 37
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming Romney 68 Obama 31

Version: 63

Obama-Biden 51.0%
Romney-Pawlenty 47.8%
Others 1.2%

Estimated Statewide % of the vote for both tickets...some states rounded and not 100% due to third party influence.

Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 65, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 53, Obama 46
Arkansas: Romney 62, Obama 37
California: Obama 59, Romney 40
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 41
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Obama 49, Romney 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 67, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 65, Obama 34
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 49, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 61, Obama 39
Louisiana: Romney 62, Obama 37
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 51, Romney 48
Minnesota: Obama 57, Romney 41
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 42
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 58, Obama 41
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 59, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 56, Obama 43
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 59, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 58, Obama 41
Tennessee: Romney 57, Obama 42
Texas: Romney 54, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 63, Obama 37
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45

Version: 62

Obama-Biden 51.1%
Romney-Rice 47.7%
Others 1.2%

Estimated Statewide % of the vote for both tickets...some states rounded and not 100% due to third party influence.

Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 65, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 53, Obama 46
Arkansas: Romney 62, Obama 37
California: Obama 59, Romney 40
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 41
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Obama 49, Romney 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 67, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 65, Obama 34
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 49, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 61, Obama 39
Louisiana: Romney 62, Obama 37
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 52, Romney 47
Minnesota: Obama 57, Romney 41
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 42
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 58, Obama 41
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 59, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 56, Obama 43
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 59, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 58, Obama 41
Tennessee: Romney 57, Obama 42
Texas: Romney 54, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 63, Obama 37
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 30

Version: 61

Obama-Biden 51.1%
Romney-Rice 47.5%
Others 1.4%

Estimated Statewide % of the vote for both tickets...some states rounded and not 100% due to third party influence.

Alabama: Romney 60 Obama 39
Alaska: Romney 65, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 53, Obama 46
Arkansas: Romney 62, Obama 37
California: Obama 59, Romney 40
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 41
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Obama 49, Romney 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 67, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 65, Obama 34
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 49, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 61, Obama 39
Louisiana: Romney 62, Obama 37
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 52, Romney 47
Minnesota: Obama 57, Romney 41
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 42
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 58, Obama 41
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 59, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 56, Obama 43
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 59, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 58, Obama 41
Tennessee: Romney 57, Obama 42
Texas: Romney 54, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 63, Obama 37
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 30

Version: 60

Obama-Biden 51.0%
Romney-Ryan 47.7%
Others 1.3%

Estimated Statewide % of the vote for both tickets...some states rounded and not 100% due to third party influence.

Alabama: Romney 60 Obama 39
Alaska: Romney 65, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 53, Obama 46
Arkansas: Romney 62, Obama 37
California: Obama 58, Romney 41
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 41
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 67, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 66, Obama 33
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 42
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 50, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 67, Obama 32
Kentucky: Romney 61, Obama 39
Louisiana: Romney 62, Obama 37
Maine: Obama 55, Romney 43
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 52, Romney 47
Minnesota: Obama 55, Romney 43
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 42
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 60, Obama 40
Nevada: Obama 51, Romney 47
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 57, Romney 42
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 51, Obama 48
North Dakota: Romney 56, Obama 43
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 56, Romney 43
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 60, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 58, Obama 41
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 54, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 71, Obama 28
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 63, Obama 37
Wisconsin: Obama 51, Romney 48
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 30

Version: 59

Obama-Biden 50.8%
Romney-Portman 47.6%
Others 1.6%

Estimated Statewide % of the vote for both tickets...some states rounded and not 100% due to third party influence.

Alabama: Romney 64 Obama 35
Alaska: Romney 63, Obama 34
Arizona: Romney 51, Obama 48
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 59, Romney 40
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 41
DC: Obama 88, Romney 10
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 48
Georgia: Romney 57, Obama 42
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 30
Idaho: Romney 66, Obama 33
Illinois: Obama 59, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 50, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 67, Obama 32
Kentucky: Romney 61, Obama 38
Louisiana: Romney 61, Obama 38
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 61, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 59, Romney 40
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 46
Minnesota: Obama 54, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 41
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 63, Obama 36
Nevada: Obama 51, Romney 47
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 41
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 51, Obama 48
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 42
Ohio: Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 56, Romney 43
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 60, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 60, Obama 40
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 55, Obama 44
Utah: Romney 71, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 55, Romney 43
West Virginia: Romney 64, Obama 35
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 47
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 32

Version: 58

Obama-Biden 49.3%
Romney-Portman 48.6%
Others 2.1%

A bit of a nightmare scenario on election night as thress states are all but deadlocked Iowa, Colorado and Nevada. Multiple recounts begin and the electoral college vote is as tight as its ever been in January of 2013.


Alabama: Romney 65 Obama 34
Alaska: Romney 63, Obama 33
Arizona: Romney 53, Obama 46
Arkansas: Romney 61, Obama 38
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Romney 49, Obama 49
Connecticut: Obama 57, Romney 42
Delaware: Obama 56, Romney 43
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Romney 51, Obama 48
Georgia: Romney 57, Obama 42
Hawaii: Obama 67, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 68, Obama 30
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 42
Indiana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Iowa: Obama 50, Romney 49
Kansas: Romney 67, Obama 32
Kentucky: Romney 60, Obama 39
Louisiana: Romney 61, Obama 38
Maine: Obama 54, Romney 44
Maryland: Obama 61, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 58, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 54, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 45
Mississippi: Romney 59, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 52, Obama 46
Nebraska: Romney 64, Obama 34
Nevada: Romney 49, Obama 48
New Hampshire: Obama 52, Romney 47
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 41
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 52, Obama 47
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 42
Ohio: Romney 50, Obama 49
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 60, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 60, Obama 40
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 55, Obama 44
Utah: Romney 72, Obama 28
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 55, Romney 43
West Virginia: Romney 61, Obama 38
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 47
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 57

Analysis

Obama-Biden 50.4%
Romney-McDonnell 47.6%
Others 2.0%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 64 Obama 35
Alaska: Romney 61, Obama 36
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 61, Obama 38
California: Obama 59, Romney 40
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 57, Romney 42
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 42
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 30
Idaho: Romney 66, Obama 33
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 42
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 51, Romney 48
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 58, Obama 41
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 38
Maine: Obama 55, Romney 43
Maryland: Obama 62, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 58, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 54, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 45
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 41
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 52, Obama 46
Nebraska: Romney 64, Obama 34
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 41
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 52, Obama 47
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 42
Ohio: Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 29
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 60, Obama 40
South Dakota: Romney 60, Obama 40
Tennessee: Romney 60, Obama 39
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 72, Obama 28
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 61, Obama 38
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 46
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 56

Obama-Biden 50.2%
Romney-McDonnell 47.8%
Others 2.0%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 64 Obama 35
Alaska: Romney 61, Obama 36
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 61, Obama 38
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 59, Romney 40
Delaware: Obama 58, Romney 42
DC: Obama 87, Romney 11
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 56, Obama 43
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 30
Idaho: Romney 66, Obama 33
Illinois: Obama 57, Romney 42
Indiana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Iowa: Obama 51, Romney 48
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 58, Obama 41
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 38
Maine: Obama 55, Romney 43
Maryland: Obama 62, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 58, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 46
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 45
Mississippi: Romney 58, Obama 41
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 52, Obama 46
Nebraska: Romney 64, Obama 34
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 41
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 36
North Carolina: Romney 52, Obama 47
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 48
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 29
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 54, Obama 46
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 72, Obama 28
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 50, Romney 49
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 42
Wisconsin: Obama 51, Romney 48
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 54

Obama-Biden 51.0%
Romney-Ryan 47.0%
Others 2.0%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 62 Obama 37
Alaska: Romney 60, Obama 36
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 59, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 59, Romney 40
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Obama 51, Romney 48
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 30
Idaho: Romney 63, Obama 36
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 50, Romney 48
Kansas: Romney 64, Obama 35
Kentucky: Romney 56, Obama 44
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 40
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 62, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 59, Romney 40
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 46
Minnesota: Obama 55, Romney 42
Mississippi: Romney 56, Obama 44
Missouri: Romney 50, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 61, Obama 38
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 52, Romney 47
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 51, Romney 49
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 54, Obama 46
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 42
Wisconsin: Obama 51, Romney 48
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 32

Version: 53

Obama-Biden 51.0%
Romney-Ryan 47.0%
Others 2.0%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 62 Obama 37
Alaska: Romney 60, Obama 36
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 59, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 59, Romney 40
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 30
Idaho: Romney 63, Obama 36
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 41
Indiana: Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa: Obama 50, Romney 48
Kansas: Romney 64, Obama 35
Kentucky: Romney 56, Obama 44
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 40
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 62, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 59, Romney 40
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 46
Minnesota: Obama 55, Romney 42
Mississippi: Romney 56, Obama 44
Missouri: Romney 50, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 61, Obama 38
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 52, Romney 47
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 54, Obama 46
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 67, Romney 31
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 42
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 47
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 32

Version: 52

Obama-Biden 52.1%
Romney-Santorum 46.0%
Others 1.9%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 60, Obama 36
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 59, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 59, Romney 40
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Obama 51, Romney 48
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 30
Idaho: Romney 62, Obama 37
Illinois: Obama 59, Romney 40
Indiana: Romney 51, Obama 49
Iowa: Obama 50, Romney 48
Kansas: Romney 63, Obama 36
Kentucky: Romney 56, Obama 44
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 40
Maine: Obama 56, Romney 42
Maryland: Obama 62, Romney 38
Massachusetts: Obama 58, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 55, Romney 42
Mississippi: Romney 56, Obama 44
Missouri: Romney 50, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 52, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 60, Obama 39
Nevada: Obama 52, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Obama 50, Romney 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 48
Oklahoma: Romney 69, Obama 31
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 54, Obama 46
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 68, Romney 30
Virginia: Obama 52, Romney 46
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 56, Obama 44
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 68, Obama 32

Version: 51

Obama-Biden 52.1%
Romney-Santorum 46.0%
Others 1.9%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 60, Obama 36
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 59, Obama 41
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 58, Romney 41
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Obama 51, Romney 48
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 69, Romney 29
Idaho: Romney 64, Obama 35
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 40
Indiana: Romney 52, Obama 47
Iowa: Obama 51, Romney 48
Kansas: Romney 64, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 57, Obama 42
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 39
Maine: Obama 55, Romney 43
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 58, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 54, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 57, Obama 43
Missouri: Romney 50, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 61, Obama 38
Nevada: Obama 51, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Obama 50, Romney 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 48
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 54, Obama 46
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 58, Obama 41
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 68, Romney 30
Virginia: Obama 52, Romney 46
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 56, Obama 44
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 50

Obama-Biden 52.0%
Romney-Santorum 46.0%
Others 2.0%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 59 Obama 40
Alaska: Romney 57, Obama 41
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 59, Obama 41
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 58, Romney 41
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 69, Romney 29
Idaho: Romney 64, Obama 35
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 40
Indiana: Romney 52, Obama 47
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 64, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 60, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 39
Maine: Obama 54, Romney 44
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 58, Romney 41
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 54, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 57, Obama 43
Missouri: Romney 50, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 61, Obama 38
Nevada: Obama 51, Romney 46
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 56, Romney 43
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Obama 50, Romney 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 48
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 54, Obama 46
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 59, Obama 40
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 46
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 68, Romney 30
Virginia: Obama 52, Romney 46
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 49

Obama-Biden (D): 53.0%
Santorum-Gingrich (R): 44.6%
Third Parties: 2.4%

Here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Santorum 58 Obama 41
Alaska: Santorum 52, Obama 45
Arizona: Obama 50, Santorum 48
Arkansas: Santorum 56, Obama 44
California: Obama 65, Santorum 34
Colorado: Obama 54, Santorum 45
Connecticut: Obama 64, Santorum 35
Delaware: Obama 62, Santorum 37
DC: Obama 91, Santorum 7
Florida: Obama 51, Santorum 48
Georgia: Santorum 52, Obama 47
Hawaii: Obama 77, Santorum 21
Idaho: Santorum 59, Obama 40
Illinois: Obama 63, Santorum 36
Indiana: Santorum 50, Obama 49
Iowa: Obama 55, Santorum 44
Kansas: Santorum 59, Obama 40
Kentucky: Santorum 55, Obama 44
Louisiana: Santorum 56, Obama 43
Maine: Obama 62, Santorum 36
Maryland: Obama 68, Santorum 30
Massachusetts: Obama 70, Santorum 29
Michigan: Obama 55, Santorum 44
Minnesota: Obama 57, Santorum 41
Mississippi: Santorum 54, Obama 46
Missouri: Obama 51, Santorum 48
Montana: Santorum 50, Obama 48
Nebraska: Santorum 56, Obama 43
Nevada: Obama 55, Santorum 43
New Hampshire: Obama 58, Santorum 40
New Jersey: Obama 62, Santorum 37
New Mexico: Obama 60, Santorum 39
New York Obama 68, Santorum 31
North Carolina: Obama 50, Santorum 49
North Dakota: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Ohio: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Oklahoma: Santorum 60, Obama 40
Oregon: Obama 59, Santorum 40
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Rhode Island: Obama 71, Santorum 28
South Carolina: Santorum 53, Obama 46
South Dakota: Santorum 52, Obama 47
Tennessee: Santorum 54, Obama 45
Texas: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Utah: Santorum 60, Obama 39
Vermont: Obama 74, Santorum 23
Virginia: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Washington: Obama 60, Santorum 38
West Virginia: Santorum 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Wyoming: Santorum 61, Obama 38

Version: 48

President Barack Obama (D) 51%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%
Third Parties 4%

Version: 47

Obama- 53.2%
Santorum- 44.5%
Others 2.3%

Rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Santorum 58 Obama 41
Alaska: Santorum 52, Obama 45
Arizona: Obama 50, Santorum 48
Arkansas: Santorum 57, Obama 43
California: Obama 64, Santorum 35
Colorado: Obama 54, Santorum 45
Connecticut: Obama 63, Santorum 36
Delaware: Obama 61, Santorum 38
DC: Obama 91, Santorum 7
Florida: Obama 51, Santorum 48
Georgia: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Hawaii: Obama 77, Santorum 21
Idaho: Santorum 59, Obama 40
Illinois: Obama 62, Santorum 38
Indiana: Santorum 50, Obama 49
Iowa: Obama 54, Santorum 45
Kansas: Santorum 58, Obama 41
Kentucky: Santorum 55, Obama 44
Louisiana: Santorum 56, Obama 43
Maine: Obama 62, Santorum 36
Maryland: Obama 68, Santorum 30
Massachusetts: Obama 70, Santorum 29
Michigan: Obama 55, Santorum 44
Minnesota: Obama 57, Santorum 41
Mississippi: Santorum 54, Obama 46
Missouri: Obama 51, Santorum 48
Montana: Santorum 49, Obama 48
Nebraska: Santorum 55, Obama 44 (Nebraska 2 Omaha: Obama 52 Santorum 48)
Nevada: Obama 54, Santorum 43
New Hampshire: Obama 58, Santorum 40
New Jersey: Obama 63, Santorum 36
New Mexico: Obama 60, Santorum 39
New York Obama 68, Santorum 31
North Carolina: Obama 51, Santorum 48
North Dakota: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Ohio: Obama 52, Santorum 47
Oklahoma: Santorum 61, Obama 38
Oregon: Obama 59, Santorum 40
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Rhode Island: Obama 71, Santorum 28
South Carolina: Santorum 52, Obama 47
South Dakota: Santorum 53, Obama 46
Tennessee: Santorum 55, Obama 45
Texas: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Utah: Santorum 60, Obama 39
Vermont: Obama 74, Santorum 23
Virginia: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Washington: Obama 60, Santorum 38
West Virginia: Santorum 57, Obama 42
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Wyoming: Santorum 61, Obama 38

Version: 46

Obama- 53.4%
Santorum- 44.1%
Others 2.5%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Santorum 57 Obama 43
Alaska: Santorum 51, Obama 46
Arizona: Obama 52, Santorum 47
Arkansas: Santorum 56, Obama 44
California: Obama 65, Santorum 34
Colorado: Obama 54, Santorum 45
Connecticut: Obama 64, Santorum 35
Delaware: Obama 61, Santorum 38
DC: Obama 91, Santorum 7
Florida: Obama 52, Santorum 47
Georgia: Santorum 50, Obama 49
Hawaii: Obama 77, Santorum 21
Idaho: Santorum 57, Obama 42
Illinois: Obama 63, Santorum 36
Indiana: Santorum 50, Obama 49
Iowa: Obama 56, Santorum 43
Kansas: Santorum 57, Obama 42
Kentucky: Santorum 55, Obama 44
Louisiana: Santorum 56, Obama 43
Maine: Obama 62, Santorum 36
Maryland: Obama 68, Santorum 30
Massachusetts: Obama 71, Santorum 28
Michigan: Obama 55, Santorum 44
Minnesota: Obama 59, Santorum 39
Mississippi: Santorum 54, Obama 46
Missouri: Obama 51, Santorum 48
Montana: Obama 49, Santorum 49
Nebraska: Santorum 55, Obama 44 (Nebraska 2 Omaha: Obama 52 Santorum 48)
Nevada: Obama 55, Santorum 43
New Hampshire: Obama 58, Santorum 40
New Jersey: Obama 63, Santorum 36
New Mexico: Obama 60, Santorum 39
New York Obama 68, Santorum 31
North Carolina: Obama 51, Santorum 48
North Dakota: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Ohio: Obama 52, Santorum 47
Oklahoma: Santorum 60, Obama 40
Oregon: Obama 59, Santorum 40
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Rhode Island: Obama 71, Santorum 28
South Carolina: Santorum 52, Obama 47
South Dakota: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Tennessee: Santorum 53, Obama 47
Texas: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Utah: Santorum 60, Obama 39
Vermont: Obama 74, Santorum 23
Virginia: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Washington: Obama 60, Santorum 38
West Virginia: Santorum 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Wyoming: Santorum 61, Obama 38

Version: 45

Obama- 53.4%
Santorum- 44.1%
Others 2.5%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Santorum 57 Obama 43
Alaska: Santorum 51, Obama 46
Arizona: Obama 52, Santorum 47
Arkansas: Santorum 56, Obama 44
California: Obama 65, Santorum 34
Colorado: Obama 54, Santorum 45
Connecticut: Obama 64, Santorum 35
Delaware: Obama 62, Santorum 37
DC: Obama 91, Santorum 7
Florida: Obama 52, Santorum 47
Georgia: Santorum 50, Obama 49
Hawaii: Obama 77, Santorum 21
Idaho: Santorum 57, Obama 42
Illinois: Obama 63, Santorum 36
Indiana: Santorum 50, Obama 49
Iowa: Obama 56, Santorum 43
Kansas: Santorum 57, Obama 42
Kentucky: Santorum 55, Obama 44
Louisiana: Santorum 56, Obama 43
Maine: Obama 62, Santorum 36
Maryland: Obama 68, Santorum 30
Massachusetts: Obama 71, Santorum 28
Michigan: Obama 55, Santorum 44
Minnesota: Obama 59, Santorum 39
Mississippi: Santorum 54, Obama 46
Missouri: Obama 51, Santorum 48
Montana: Obama 49, Santorum 49
Nebraska: Santorum 56, Obama 43
Nevada: Obama 55, Santorum 43
New Hampshire: Obama 58, Santorum 40
New Jersey: Obama 62, Santorum 37
New Mexico: Obama 60, Santorum 39
New York Obama 68, Santorum 31
North Carolina: Obama 51, Santorum 48
North Dakota: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Ohio: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Oklahoma: Santorum 60, Obama 40
Oregon: Obama 59, Santorum 40
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, Santorum 46
Rhode Island: Obama 71, Santorum 28
South Carolina: Santorum 52, Obama 47
South Dakota: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Tennessee: Santorum 53, Obama 47
Texas: Santorum 51, Obama 48
Utah: Santorum 60, Obama 39
Vermont: Obama 74, Santorum 23
Virginia: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Washington: Obama 60, Santorum 38
West Virginia: Santorum 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Santorum 45
Wyoming: Santorum 61, Obama 38

Version: 44

Obama-Biden 50.8%
Romney-Martinez 47.1%
Others 2.1%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 63, Obama 32
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 38
Colorado: Obama 51, Romney 48
Connecticut: Obama 58, Romney 41
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Romney 50, Obama 49
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 69, Romney 29
Idaho: Romney 64, Obama 35
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 40
Indiana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 64, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 59, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 58, Obama 40
Maine: Obama 54, Romney 44
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 42
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 54, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 59, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 49, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 61, Obama 38
Nevada: Obama 50, Romney 47
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 52, Romney 47
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Obama 50, Romney 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 48
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 60, Obama 39
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 61, Obama 38
Texas: Romney 54, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 68, Romney 30
Virginia: Obama 52, Romney 46
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 43

Obama-Biden 51.0%
Romney-Sandoval 47.0%
Others 2.0%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Romney 63, Obama 32
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 38
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 58, Romney 41
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 88, Romney 9
Florida: Obama 49, Romney 48
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 69, Romney 29
Idaho: Romney 64, Obama 35
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 40
Indiana: Romney 54, Obama 45
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 64, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 59, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 58, Obama 40
Maine: Obama 54, Romney 44
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 42
Michigan: Obama 53, Romney 45
Minnesota: Obama 54, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 59, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 49, Obama 49
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 61, Obama 38
Nevada: Obama 50, Romney 47
New Hampshire: Obama 51, Romney 48
New Jersey: Obama 58, Romney 40
New Mexico: Obama 54, Romney 45
New York Obama 63, Romney 35
North Carolina: Obama 50, Romney 49
North Dakota: Romney 57, Obama 41
Ohio: Obama 51, Romney 48
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 54, Romney 44
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 60, Obama 39
South Dakota: Romney 61, Obama 38
Tennessee: Romney 61, Obama 38
Texas: Romney 52, Obama 47
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 68, Romney 30
Virginia: Obama 52, Romney 46
Washington: Obama 56, Romney 42
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 53, Romney 45
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 42

Obama-Biden 50.1%
Romney-Rubio 48.3%
Others 1.6%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 63 Obama 37
Alaska: Romney 64, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 57, Romney 41
Colorado: Obama 51, Romney 48
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 87, Romney 10
Florida: Romney 51, Obama 48
Georgia: Romney 54, Obama 45
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 67, Obama 32
Illinois: Obama 57, Romney 43
Indiana: Romney 55, Obama 44
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 59, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 39
Maine: Obama 53, Romney 45
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 42
Michigan: Obama 52, Romney 47
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 60, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 44
Nebraska: Romney 62, Obama 37
Nevada: Obama 48, Romney 48
New Hampshire: Romney 51, Obama 48
New Jersey: Obama 56, Romney 43
New Mexico: Obama 54, Romney 45
New York Obama 62, Romney 37
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 59, Obama 40
Ohio: Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 53, Romney 45
Pennsylvania: Obama 51, Romney 48
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 61, Obama 38
South Dakota: Romney 62, Obama 37
Tennessee: Romney 61, Obama 38
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 66, Romney 32
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 55, Romney 44
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 46
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 41

Obama-Biden 50.1%
Romney-Rubio 48.2%
Others 1.7%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 63 Obama 37
Alaska: Romney 64, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 52, Obama 47
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 57, Romney 41
Colorado: Obama 51, Romney 48
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 87, Romney 10
Florida: Romney 51, Obama 48
Georgia: Romney 54, Obama 45
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 67, Obama 32
Illinois: Obama 57, Romney 43
Indiana: Romney 55, Obama 44
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 59, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 39
Maine: Obama 53, Romney 45
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 42
Michigan: Obama 52, Romney 47
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 60, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 54, Obama 44
Nebraska: Romney 62, Obama 37
Nevada: Obama 48, Romney 48
New Hampshire: Romney 51, Obama 48
New Jersey: Obama 56, Romney 43
New Mexico: Obama 54, Romney 45
New York Obama 62, Romney 37
North Carolina: Romney 50, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 59, Obama 40
Ohio: Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 53, Romney 45
Pennsylvania: Obama 51, Romney 48
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 61, Obama 38
South Dakota: Romney 62, Obama 37
Tennessee: Romney 61, Obama 38
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 66, Romney 32
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 55, Romney 44
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 46
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 40

Obama-Biden 54.1%
Gingrich-Rubio 44.0%
Others 1.9%

Below is a rounded percentage estimate as to how the states will roughly vote in this scenario prediction % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Gingrich 61 Obama 38
Alaska: Gingrich 60, Obama 37
Arizona: Obama 52, Gingrich 47
Arkansas: Gingrich 57, Obama 43
California: Obama 63, Gingrich 35
Colorado: Obama 54, Gingrich 45
Connecticut: Obama 64, Gingrich 35
Delaware: Obama 61, Gingrich 38
DC: Obama 91, Gingrich 7
Florida: Obama 51, Gingrich 48
Georgia: Gingrich 51, Obama 48
Hawaii: Obama 76, Gingrich 22
Idaho: Gingrich 58, Obama 41
Illinois: Obama 62, Gingrich 37
Indiana: Obama 49, Gingrich 49
Iowa: Obama 58, Gingrich 41
Kansas: Gingrich 60, Obama 39
Kentucky: Gingrich 57, Obama 43
Louisiana: Gingrich 60, Obama 40
Maine: Obama 63, Gingrich 36
Maryland: Obama 68, Gingrich 31
Massachusetts: Obama 70, Gingrich 29
Michigan: Obama 55, Gingrich 44
Minnesota: Obama 56, Gingrich 41
Mississippi: Gingrich 55, Obama 45
Missouri: Obama 51, Gingrich 48
Montana: Obama 49, Gingrich 49
Nebraska: Gingrich 57, Obama 43 (N-1 Obama 51% Gingrich 49%)
Nevada: Obama 54, Gingrich 42
New Hampshire: Obama 56, Gingrich 42
New Jersey: Obama 61, Gingrich 38
New Mexico: Obama 60, Gingrich 39
New York Obama 68, Gingrich 31
North Carolina: Obama 51, Gingrich 48
North Dakota: Gingrich 51, Obama 49
Ohio: Obama 53, Gingrich 46
Oklahoma: Gingrich 61, Obama 39
Oregon: Obama 58, Gingrich 39
Pennsylvania: Obama 54, Gingrich 45
Rhode Island: Obama 70, Gingrich 28
South Carolina: Gingrich 50, Obama 49
South Dakota: Gingrich 51, Obama 48
Tennessee: Gingrich 57, Obama 43
Texas: Gingrich 50, Obama 48
Utah: Gingrich 60, Obama 39
Vermont: Obama 72, Gingrich 26
Virginia: Obama 52, Gingrich 46
Washington: Obama 60, Gingrich 38
West Virginia: Gingrich 56, Obama 44
Wisconsin: Obama 56, Gingrich 42
Wyoming: Gingrich 60, Obama 40

Closest States:
Indiana
Montana
Texas
North Dakota
South Dakota

Democrats actually pick up 1 seat in the senate.
Democrats suprisingly take back the house by a narrow margin.

Version: 39

Obama-Biden 50.4%
Romney-Rubio 48.2%
Others 1.4%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 63 Obama 37
Alaska: Romney 64, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 51, Obama 48
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 87, Romney 10
Florida: Romney 51, Obama 48
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 66, Obama 33
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 42
Indiana: Romney 52, Obama 47
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 59, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 39
Maine: Obama 53, Romney 45
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 42
Michigan: Obama 51, Romney 48
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 60, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 62, Obama 37
Nevada: Obama 48, Romney 48
New Hampshire: Romney 51, Obama 48
New Jersey: Obama 56, Romney 43
New Mexico: Obama 55, Romney 44
New York Obama 62, Romney 37
North Carolina: Obama 50, Romney 49
North Dakota: Romney 59, Obama 40
Ohio: Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 53, Romney 45
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 58, Obama 41
South Dakota: Romney 62, Obama 37
Tennessee: Romney 61, Obama 38
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 66, Romney 32
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 55, Romney 44
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 46
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 38

Obama-Biden 50%
Romney-Thune 48%
Others 2%

State totals seem to be the trend. So here is a rounded estimate as to how the states vote in this scenario prediction: % (Note not all states total 100% due to third party influence):


Alabama: Romney 63 Obama 37
Alaska: Romney 64, Obama 31
Arizona: Romney 51, Obama 48
Arkansas: Romney 60, Obama 40
California: Obama 60, Romney 39
Colorado: Obama 51, Romney 48
Connecticut: Obama 56, Romney 43
Delaware: Obama 59, Romney 40
DC: Obama 87, Romney 10
Florida: Romney 51, Obama 48
Georgia: Romney 53, Obama 46
Hawaii: Obama 68, Romney 31
Idaho: Romney 66, Obama 33
Illinois: Obama 58, Romney 42
Indiana: Romney 52, Obama 47
Iowa: Obama 53, Romney 46
Kansas: Romney 65, Obama 34
Kentucky: Romney 59, Obama 40
Louisiana: Romney 60, Obama 39
Maine: Obama 53, Romney 45
Maryland: Obama 60, Romney 39
Massachusetts: Obama 57, Romney 42
Michigan: Obama 51, Romney 48
Minnesota: Obama 53, Romney 44
Mississippi: Romney 60, Obama 40
Missouri: Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana: Romney 53, Obama 45
Nebraska: Romney 62, Obama 37
Nevada: Obama 48, Romney 48
New Hampshire: Romney 51, Obama 48
New Jersey: Obama 56, Romney 43
New Mexico: Obama 55, Romney 44
New York Obama 62, Romney 37
North Carolina: Romney 49, Obama 49
North Dakota: Romney 59, Obama 40
Ohio: Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma: Romney 70, Obama 30
Oregon: Obama 53, Romney 45
Pennsylvania: Obama 52, Romney 47
Rhode Island: Obama 60, Romney 39
South Carolina: Romney 58, Obama 41
South Dakota: Romney 62, Obama 37
Tennessee: Romney 61, Obama 38
Texas: Romney 53, Obama 45
Utah: Romney 70, Obama 29
Vermont: Obama 66, Romney 32
Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington: Obama 55, Romney 44
West Virginia: Romney 58, Obama 41
Wisconsin: Obama 52, Romney 46
Wyoming: Romney 70, Obama 29

Version: 37

Obama 49%
Romney 48%
Others 3%

Version: 36

Obama 53%
Santorum 44%
Others 3%

Version: 35

Obama-Biden 50%
Romney-Rubio 48%
Others 2%

Version: 34

Obama 50%
Romney 48%
Others 2%

Version: 33

Obama 53%
Gingrich 45%
Others 2%

The Gingrich disaster trains keeps rolling closer to the nomination much to the democrats pleasure !

Version: 32

Obama 53%
Gingrich 45%
Others 2%

Version: 31

Obama 53%
Gingrich 45%
Others 2%

Version: 30

Not a prediction of Next Year just for fun map....

A minimum of 11 states totaling 270 in the electoral college is needed to be elected president.

That would leave the major losing candidate 39 states for a total of 268 electoral votes.

The states won in red here represent the post populated states as of the 2010 US census.

Version: 29

Obama 53%
Gingrich 45%
Others 2%

Version: 28

Obama 49%
Romney 49%
Others 2%
*Popular Vote won by under a 1 million vote margin (less then 1pt), For the President.

Closest States won by a less then 1pt margin. Won with less then 50% for the winner:

Pennsylvania-Romney upset by less then 5,000 votes.
Virginia- Romney, but tight. Less then 15,000 votes.
Nevada- Obama, clings to it by less then 5,000 votes.
Arizona- Romney but Obama fights for it. Under 20,000 vts.
North Carolina- Obama, upset and clings to it by about 2,000 votes

Election proves to be very close. Not as close as 2000 or 1960-(popular vote), but closer then 2004 and 1976.

Version: 27

I believe Rick Perrys inability to debate and constant gaffe's will leave him a distant memory by November 2012 but in the event that he does secure the GOP nomination the map could resemble something like this...IMO.

Obama 54%
Perry 44%
Others 2%

Obama would actually expand upon his 2008 victory due to the uncertaintly left in many swing voters minds of a possible 'President Perry'

(This analysis is me being fairly nice to Mr Perry/...LOL)

Version: 25

Obama 50%
Romney 48%
Others 2%

Version: 24

Obama vs Cain


Obama 51%
Cain 47%
Others 2%

9-9-9 becomes unpopular as well as statements Cain makes during the campaign. The Obama campaign plays hardball and uncovers parts of Cain's past and exploits them.

Version: 23

Obama vs Cain


Obama 52%
Cain 46%
Others 2%

9-9-9 becomes unpopular as well as statements Cain makes during the campaign. The Obama campaign plays hardball and uncovers parts of Cain's past and exploits them.

Version: 19

President Obama 52%
Herman Cain 46%
Others 1%

Version: 17

President Barack Obama 57%
Former Governor Sarah Palin 41%
Others 2%

Version: 16

Obama 54%
Santorum 44%
Others 2%

Version: 15

Barack Obama 51%
Rick Perry 47%
Others 2%

Closest States :

North Carolina
Where the Obama campaign will fight the hardest to hold and against a Perry type candidate they may very well be successful. After the 2012 convention in Charlotte expect a ton of money to go into holding this state)Obama victory here of less then 1% similiar to 08.

Ohio: I expect Obama to hold onto this state by a whisker if Perry is the nominee. If Romney or Huntsman were to be nominated I could easily see the state falling in the republican column. Obama victory here of 1-2pts tops.

I expect the states of Iowa and Pennsylvania to be much closer for comfort then Team Obama expects but again with a Perry candidacy they retain both. Large turnout in Philly and Pittsburgh will save the day for Obama. Iowa may be close but not as close as the Gore victory in 2000.

On the republican side they will retain Arizona but I expect a fight here no matter who is the republican nominee. It will be closer then expected for the republicans. In the last few years many california progressives have moved into neigboring Nevada and Arizona (Phoenix-Tucson) for cheaper housing in addition to larger growing minority populations in both states.

Version: 14

Jon Huntsman (R) 52%
Barack Obama (D) 46%
Others 2%

Version: 13

Mitt Romney (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D) 48%
Others 3%

Version: 12

Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
Rick Perry (R) 46%
Others 2%
Closest States : Colorado, Iowa, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee

Version: 11

Followed Donny's lead here and did a

Obama vs Perry Map.

Popular vote roughly comes down to just over a million vote spread.

Obama 49%
Perry 48%
Others 3%

Version: 7

President Barack Obama

Vs

Texas Governor Rick Perry.


Perry picks up a few states McCain lost in 2008 but only yields about a 1% more in the popular vote.

Obama 52%
Perry 46%
Others 2%

Version: 6

President Barack Obama
vs.
Congresswoman Michele Bachmann


Final Popular Vote
Estimate:

Obama 61% (401 Electoral Votes)
Bachmann 37% (137 Electoral Votes)
Others 2%

Version History

97: 2012-11-05 @ 23:02:54 96: 2012-11-04 @ 18:48:10 95: 2012-11-02 @ 00:53:47 94: 2012-10-31 @ 17:29:42 93: 2012-10-30 @ 12:14:44 92: 2012-10-28 @ 22:12:32 91: 2012-10-25 @ 22:32:08 90: 2012-10-24 @ 22:58:15 89: 2012-10-23 @ 18:35:30 88: 2012-10-22 @ 12:37:29 87: 2012-10-18 @ 23:24:11 86: 2012-10-17 @ 21:23:59 85: 2012-10-16 @ 12:13:34 84: 2012-10-15 @ 12:22:17 83: 2012-10-13 @ 13:45:46 82: 2012-10-11 @ 14:16:54 81: 2012-10-09 @ 14:08:03 80: 2012-10-05 @ 12:03:08 79: 2012-10-01 @ 15:26:27 78: 2012-09-25 @ 11:55:41 77: 2012-09-20 @ 21:22:57 76: 2012-09-15 @ 19:15:06 75: 2012-09-12 @ 16:26:28 74: 2012-09-10 @ 17:00:43 73: 2012-09-07 @ 12:09:03 72: 2012-09-06 @ 14:03:05 71: 2012-08-31 @ 02:14:47 70: 2012-08-23 @ 21:36:03 69: 2012-08-21 @ 18:18:06 68: 2012-08-17 @ 22:47:48 67: 2012-08-16 @ 22:00:10 66: 2012-08-11 @ 14:21:36 65: 2012-08-02 @ 22:26:06 64: 2012-07-18 @ 14:22:52 63: 2012-07-16 @ 13:32:01 62: 2012-07-14 @ 18:11:47 61: 2012-07-12 @ 21:41:14 60: 2012-06-30 @ 15:28:51 59: 2012-06-03 @ 16:53:51 58: 2012-05-31 @ 21:40:36 57: 2012-05-10 @ 16:13:50 56: 2012-05-05 @ 17:29:04 55: 2012-05-04 @ 21:38:48 54: 2012-04-19 @ 01:35:42 53: 2012-04-10 @ 21:37:20 52: 2012-03-29 @ 23:45:02 51: 2012-03-24 @ 16:16:41 50: 2012-03-22 @ 14:30:21 49: 2012-03-15 @ 01:19:18 48: 2012-03-09 @ 00:48:40 47: 2012-02-23 @ 23:33:20 46: 2012-02-19 @ 17:58:12 45: 2012-02-17 @ 01:08:25 44: 2012-02-10 @ 22:47:38 43: 2012-02-09 @ 19:09:04 42: 2012-02-02 @ 18:38:52 41: 2012-02-01 @ 01:15:53 40: 2012-01-22 @ 15:25:47 39: 2012-01-10 @ 23:55:06 38: 2012-01-06 @ 22:31:24 37: 2012-01-04 @ 14:26:56 36: 2012-01-01 @ 17:52:06 35: 2011-12-24 @ 14:39:37 34: 2011-12-21 @ 23:12:23 33: 2011-12-12 @ 23:12:42 32: 2011-12-03 @ 16:36:34 31: 2011-11-28 @ 23:02:16 30: 2011-11-25 @ 13:35:49 29: 2011-11-16 @ 21:34:06 28: 2011-11-12 @ 14:07:22 27: 2011-11-10 @ 22:11:48 26: 2011-11-09 @ 22:12:14 25: 2011-10-30 @ 14:32:58 24: 2011-10-29 @ 15:50:41 23: 2011-10-27 @ 14:56:22 22: 2011-10-21 @ 21:29:09 21: 2011-10-18 @ 16:08:05 20: 2011-10-11 @ 23:44:26 19: 2011-10-06 @ 20:21:26 18: 2011-10-02 @ 23:41:09 17: 2011-10-01 @ 23:31:01 16: 2011-09-28 @ 22:04:56 15: 2011-09-21 @ 15:15:24 14: 2011-09-16 @ 15:04:08 13: 2011-09-08 @ 17:27:31 12: 2011-08-31 @ 16:22:28 11: 2011-08-28 @ 00:30:54 10: 2011-08-22 @ 21:20:57 9: 2011-08-20 @ 01:28:05 8: 2011-08-17 @ 20:46:15 7: 2011-08-16 @ 01:36:02 6: 2011-08-14 @ 00:48:13 5: 2011-08-10 @ 19:14:52 4: 2011-08-08 @ 00:17:34 3: 2011-08-07 @ 01:29:37 2: 2011-07-27 @ 15:15:40 1: 2011-07-24 @ 23:50:06 View Version