Date of Prediction: 2012-10-06 Version:3
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Confidence States Won
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Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
At 31 days out this election map seems to be shaping up very much like the map from 2008. I really don't see Romney improving on McCain's popular vote percentage. In fact, I think he may have a slightly lower popular vote percentage than McCain.I do think Romney will pick up a couple states that McCain lost in 2008 though.
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Version: 1 This is crazy early to make any kind of prediction. Especially since we don't know yet which member of the insane clown posse that is the Republican field will be the nominee. But what the heck. Consider this a rough draft to be revised later when enough data exists to take a more serious stab at it. Fifteen months is an eternity in politics.
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