Comments History
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hideVersion: 33
Popular vote percentage projections, with 9 days to go. Likely to change.
Alabama - Romney 61, Obama 38, others 1
Alaska - Romney 58, Obama 37, others 5
Arizona - Romney 53, Obama 46, others 1
Arkansas - Romney 60, Obama 39, others 1
California - Obama 56, Romney 41, others 3
Colorado - Romney 50, Obama 49, others 1
Connecticut - Obama 57, Romney 42, others 1
Delaware - Obama 58, Romney 41, others 1
D.C. - Obama 91, Romney 8, others 1
Florida - Romney 50, Obama 49, others 1
Georgia - Romney 54, Obama 45, others 1
Hawaii - Obama 66, Romney 33, others 1
Idaho - Romney 63, Obama 36, others 1
Illinois - Obama 58, Romney 41, others 1
Indiana - Romney 52, Obama 47, others 1
Iowa - Obama 51, Romney 48, others 1
Kansas - Romney 59, Obama 40, others 1
Kentucky - Romney 58, Obama 41, others 1
Louisiana - Romney 58, Obama 41, others 1
Maine - Obama 55, Romney 44, others 1
Maryland - Obama 57, Romney 42, others 1
Massachusetts - Obama 59, Romney 40, others 1
Michigan - Obama 53, Romney 46, others 1
Minnesota - Obama 54, Romney 45, others 1
Mississippi - Romney 58, Obama 41, others 1
Missouri - Romney 53, Obama 46, others 1
Montana - Romney 55, Obama 44, others 1
Nebraska - Romney 59, Obama 40, others 1
Nevada - Obama 52, Romney 47, others 1
New Hampshire - Obama 51, Romney 48, others 1
New Jersey - Obama 55, Romney 44, others 1
New Mexico - Obama 55, Romney 41, others 4
New York - Obama 60, Romney 39, others 1
North Carolina - Romney 52, Obama 47, others 1
North Dakota - Romney 58, Obama 41, others 1
Ohio - Obama 50, Romney 48, others 2
Oklahoma - Romney 64, Obama 35, others 1
Oregon - Obama 55, Romney 44, others 1
Pennsylvania - Obama 53, Romney 46, others 1
Rhode Island - Obama 60, Romney 39, others 1
South Carolina - Romney 55, Obama 44, others 1
South Dakota - Romney 57, Obama 42, others 1
Tennessee - Romney 57, Obama 42, others 1
Texas - Romney 56, Obama 43, others 1
Utah - Romney 73, Obama 26, others 1
Vermont - Obama 62, Romney 37, others 1
Virginia - Obama 49.8, Romney 47.8, others 2.4
Washington - Obama 55, Romney 44, others 1
West Virginia - Romney 56, Obama 43, others 1
Wisconsin - Obama 51, Romney 48.5, others 1.5
Wyoming - Romney 65, Obama 34, others 1
Version: 30
The "Ohio Firewall."
With less than three weeks to go, that's what this election boils down to.
Can Obama successfully buttress OH and win election?
Tossup analysis:
Colorado - slipping away from Obama everyday. Still a tossup, Romney wins by perhaps 3-4 points.
Florida - See Colorado.
Iowa - No great polls from this state recently. Obama by 1-3 points.
Nevada - See Iowa.
New Hampshire - I've been back and forth with this one. Obama by perhaps 3, or Romney by 1-2. Your choice.
Ohio - No Republican has won the presidency without this state. Romney could do it, but needs CO and FL and a few others. The firewall holds for now, Obama by 1-3.
Virginia - Obama had the lead until recently, this must be a disappointment for the campaign. He can still pick it up, but right now I'd say Romney by 1-2.
Wisconsin - Slipping away from Romney's grasp despite Ryan. Obama by 3-4.
Version: 27
Romney 50.4%
Obama 48.6%
Others 1%
Version: 25
BIG win for Romney in the first debate. He must now be given a slight edge.
Version: 12
Obama vs. Romney
Version: 11
Obama vs. Romney
Version: 10
Obama vs. Gingrich
Version: 9
Obama vs. Romney (1% for minor candidates)
Alabama - Romney 59, Obama 40
Alaska - Romney 60, Obama 39
Arizona - Romney 55, Obama 44
Arkansas - Romney 58, Obama 41
California - Obama 56, Romney 43
Colorado - Obama 52, Romney 47
Connecticut - Obama 55, Romney 44
Delaware - Obama 55, Romney 44
DC - Obama 87, Romney 12
Florida - Romney 51, Obama 48
Georgia - Romney 54, Obama 45
Hawaii - Obama 61, Romney 38
Idaho - Romney 65, Obama 34
Illinois - Obama 55, Romney 44
Indiana - Romney 53, Obama 46
Iowa - Obama 51, Romney 48
Kansas - Romney 60, Obama 39
Kentucky - Romney 58, Obama 41
Louisiana - Romney 59, Obama 40
Maine - Obama 53, Romney 46
Maryland - Obama 56, Romney 43
Massachusetts - Obama 55, Romney 44
Michigan - Obama 51, Romney 48
Minnesota - Obama 53, Romney 46
Mississippi - Romney 58, Obama 41
Missouri - Romney 52, Obama 47
Montana - Romney 54, Obama 45
Nebraska - Romney 60, Obama 39
Nevada - Obama 52, Romney 47
New Hampshire - Romney 53, Obama 46
New Jersey - Obama 55, Romney 44
New Mexico - Obama 54, Romney 45
New York - Obama 57, Romney 42
North Carolina - Romney 52, Obama 47
North Dakota - Romney 59, Obama 40
Ohio - Obama 50, Romney 49
Oklahoma - Romney 63, Obama 36
Oregon - Obama 55, Romney 44
Pennsylvania - Obama 53, Romney 46
Rhode Island - Obama 58, Romney 41
South Carolina - Romney 55, Obama 44
South Dakota - Romney 60, Obama 39
Tennessee - Romney 57, Obama 42
Texas - Romney 55, Obama 44
Utah - Romney 76, Obama 23
Vermont - Obama 57, Romney 42
Virginia - Obama 51, Romney 48
Washington - Obama 55, Romney 44
West Virginia - Romney 55, Obama 44
Wisconsin - Obama 53, Romney 46
Wyoming - Romney 63, Obama 36
Version: 8
Obama vs. Romney
Version: 7
Obama vs. Santorum
Version: 6
Obama vs. Newt
Version: 5
Obama vs. Romney
Version: 4
Obama vs. Gingrich
Version: 1
Obama vs. Generic (R)