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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-10 Version:36

Prediction Map
thebadger MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
thebadger MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem257
 
Rep281
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem247
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos85
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-7-1-102222257-102
Rep+7+1+102000222179+102
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 40

Romney's first debate bounce seems to have receded slightly and nationally things look like a tie, although Obama has been performing better in the statewide polling...


Version: 33

Romney closes the gap after the first debate. He'll probably be tied (or ~1% behind at worst) by the end of the week.


Version: 32

Romney closes the gap after the 1st debate. He'll probably be tied (or ~1% behind at worst) by the end of the week.


Version: 24

I can't really see Romney doing much better than this at the moment...


Version: 17

Obama v Romney


Version: 16

Obama v Romney


Version: 15

Obama v Romney.


Version: 6

ooh, a tie! wasn't planning that...


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 238
P 2023 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 277 74T115
P 2022 Senate 32/35 29/35 61/70 87.1% pie 3 0 37T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 30/36 65/72 90.3% pie 2 0 2T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 23 48T118
P 2020 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 25 5 260T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 20/35 52/70 74.3% pie 6 3 194T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 4 6 51T293
P 2019 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 3 4 1T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 4 1 4T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 27/36 59/72 81.9% pie 4 3 38T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 116 98T149
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 71 0 194T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 22/34 54/68 79.4% pie 18 0 6T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 5/12 12/24 50.0% pie 18 0 164T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 5 0 8T112
P 2014 Senate 35/36 25/36 60/72 83.3% pie 5 1 21T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 21/36 52/72 72.2% pie 4 1 15T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 8 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 48 0 47T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 20/33 51/66 77.3% pie 16 0 94T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 11 0 51T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 27/52 72/104 69.2% pie 64 - 3231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 5 1 37T106
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 26 0 34T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 22/37 57/74 77.0% pie 26 0 91T312
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 7 1 1T103
P 2008 President 53/56 44/56 97/112 86.6% pie 65 0 55T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 23/33 55/66 83.3% pie 17 1 28T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 11 1 50T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 43/52 18/52 61/104 58.7% pie 27 - 38T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 38/49 18/49 56/98 57.1% pie 26 - 21T235
P 2004 President 54/56 30/56 84/112 75.0% pie 16 1 834T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 841/922 586/922 1427/1844 77.4% pie



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