PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - SupersonicVenue (R-GBR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-02 Version:38

Prediction Map
SupersonicVenue MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
SupersonicVenue MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem281
 
Rep257
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem237
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos95
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-5-1-78242281-78
Rep+5+1+78000222179+78
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
95483755
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Update 38: Ohio from R >40 to D >50.

New Hampshire from R >40 to D >40.

Virginia from R >50 to R >40.

Florida from Lean R to Tossup R.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 37

Update 37: Colorado from R >50% to R >40%.

Iowa from R >40% to D >40%.

Ohio from D >40% to R >40%.


Version: 36

Update 36: Florida from Tossup R to Lean R.

Michigan from Tossup D to Lean D.

Pennsylvania from Strong D to Lean D.

Iowa from D >50% to R >40%.


Version: 35

Update 35: New Hampshire from D >40% to R >40%.


Version: 34

Update 34: Florida from D >40% to R >50%.

Colorado from D >50% to R >50%.

Virginia from D >50% to R >50%.

New Hampshire from D >50% to D >40%.

Ohio from D >50% to D >40%.

North Carolina from Tossup to Lean R.


Version: 32

Update 31: Florida from R >50% to D >40%.

Virginia from R >40% to D > 50%.

Wisconsin from R >40% to D >50%.

Iowa from R >40% to D >50%.

Colorado from R >40% to D >50%.


Version: 31

Update 30: Ohio from D >40% to D >50%.

Colorado from D >40% to R >40%.

Wisconsin from D >40% to R >40%.

Michigan from Lean to Tossup.

Connecticut from Strong to Lean.


Version: 30

Update 29:

North Carolina from Tossup to Lean.

Virginia from D >40% to R >40%.

Colorado from R >40% to D >40%.


Version: 29

Update 29:

Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, South Dakota from R >50% to R >60%.

Virginia from R >50% to D >40%.

Iowa from D >40% to R >40%.

Colorado from D >50% to R >40%.

Wisconsin from D >50% to D >40%.


Version: 28

Update 28: Iowa from D >50% to D >40%.

Colorado from D >50% to D >40%.

Virginia from D >50% to R >50%.

Ohio from D >50% to D >40%.

North Dakota from R >50% to R >60%.


Version: 27

Update 27: Virginia from R >40% to D >50%.

Florida from R >50% to R >40%.

Iowa from R >40% to D >50%.

Colorado from D >40% to R >50%.

North Carolina from Lean to Tossup.


Version: 26

Update 26: Ohio from R >50% to D >50%.

Virginia from R >40% to R >50%.

Louisiana and Arkansas from R >60% to R >50%.

Michigan from Tossup to Lean.

Arizona from Lean to Strong.

Missouri from Lean to Strong.


Version: 25

Update 25: Virginia from D >40 to R >40.

Iowa from D >40 to R >40.

Colorado from D >50 to D >40.


Version: 24

Update 24: Virginia from R >40 to D >40.

Iowa from R >50 to D >40.

Colorado from D >40 to D >50.


Version: 23

Update 23: Colorado from R >40 to D >40.

Michigan from Lean to Tossup.


Version: 22

Update 22: Nevada from R >40% to D >50%.

New Hampshire from R >50% to D >50%.

Colorado from R >50% to R >40%.

Virginia from R >50% to R >40%.

Oregon from Strong to Lean.


Version: 21

Update 21: Nevada from R >50% to R >40%.

New Hampshire from D >50% to R >50%.

Virginia from D >50% to R >50%.


Version: 20

Update 20: Nevada from D >50% to R >50%.

Ohio from R >40% to R >50%.

Virginia from R >50% to D >50%.

Iowa from R >40% to R >50%.

Michigan from Strong to Lean.


Version: 19

Update 18: West Virginia and Kentucky from R >50% to R >60%.

Nevada from R >50% to D >50%.

New Hampshire from R >50% to D >50%.

Iowa from R >50% to R >40%.

Ohio from R >50% to R >40%.

Pennsylvania from Tossup to Lean.


Version: 18

Update 18: Nevada from D >50% to R >50%.

New Hampshire from D >50% to R >40%.


Version: 17

Update 17: Iowa from D >40% to R >50%.

Louisiana from R >50% to R >60%.

Oregon from Lean to Strong.

Indiana from Lean to Strong.


Version: 16

Update 16: New Hampshire from R >50% to D >50%.

Iowa from D >50% to D >40%.

Michigan from Lean to Strong.


Version: 15

Update 15: Colorado from R >40% to R >50%.

New Hampshire from D >40% to R >50%.

Wisconsin from D >40% to D >50%.

Louisiana, Kentucky and West Virginia from R >60% to R >50%.

Pennsylvania from Lean to Tossup.


Version: 14

Update 14: New Hampshire from R >40% to D >40%.

Montana from Lean to Strong.

Georgia from Lean to Strong.


Version: 13

Update 13: New Hampshire from R >50% to R >40%.

Iowa from D >40% to D >50%.

Colorado from D >50% to R >40%.


Version: 12

Update 12: Iowa from D >50% to D >40%.

Kentucky, Arkansas, Kansas and Louisiana from R >50% to R >60%.

Pennsylvania from Tossup to Lean.


Version: 11

Update 11: New Hampshire from R >40% to R >50%.

Wisconsin from D >50% to D >40%.

New Mexico from Strong to Lean.


Version: 10

Update 10: New Hampshire from R >50% to R >40%.

Wisconsin from Lean to Tossup.

North Carolina from Tossup to Lean.


Version: 9

Update 9: West Virginia from R >50% to R >60%.

Oregon from Strong to Lean.

Maine CD-2 from Strong to Lean.


Version: 8

Update 8: Ohio from D >50% to R >50%.

New Hampshire from R >40% to R >50%.


Version: 7

Update 7: Ohio from R >50% to D >50%.

New Hampshire from R >50% to R >40%.


Version: 6

Update 6: Ohio from R >40% to R >50%.

New Hampshire from R >40 to R >50%.


Version: 5

Update 5: Ohio from D >50% to R >40%.

New Hampshire from D >40% to R >40%.

Virginia from D >50% to R >50%.

Romney wins by an absolute whisker.


Version: 4

Update 4: Virginia from R >40% to D >50%.

New Hampshire from R >40% to D >40%.


Version: 3

Update 3: Pennsylvania now a lean, from tossup.

Ohio narrower, from D >50% to D >40%.


Version: 2

Obama wins a 1916-esque win, with Ohio putting him over the top


Version: 1

My first map!

So close, yet so far for Romney. This is where I feel the race is heading.

Obama wins a 1916-esque win, with Ohio putting him over the top.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2016 President 50/56 30/56 80/112 71.4% pie 5 2 246T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 23/34 55/68 80.9% pie 3 2 2T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 5/12 14/24 58.3% pie 2 6 67T279
P 2014 Senate 34/36 22/36 56/72 77.8% pie 10 2 99T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 10 2 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 0/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 131 98T153
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 38 4 314T760
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 17 2 164T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 8/11 17/22 77.3% pie 11 4 51T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 15/52 8/52 23/104 22.1% pie 4 - 184T231
Aggregate Predictions 264/328 172/328 436/656 66.5% pie



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