Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:9
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Analysis
This is my final prediction for 2012. I personally have 8 tossup states. They are New Hampshire, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Colorado and Nevada. I truly believe that any of these 8 states are up for grabs. When I take away these electoral votes from these 8 states my personal tally is 237 for Obama and 205 for Romney. I think New Hampshire and Wisconsin will most likely go Democrat and Florida will Republican. I have Nevada leaning to Obama and Virginia leaning to Romney. Adding those states in brings the tally for Obama to 257 and Romney to 248. The last 3 states are Colorado, Iowa and Ohio. That's 33 electoral votes still up for grabs and I think these are the truest "tossup" states. As of right now, I believe that these final 3 will go to Obama, but anything can change. It wouldn't surprise me if I'm wrong on all of these 8 states. The most electoral votes I have Obama potentially winning is 303. The most I have Romney winning is 300. I think Obama is more likely to win 303 than Romney is to win 300. Finally, it would not surprise me to see Obama win the electoral vote and Romney win the popular vote. I'm also predicting between 125-130 million voters for this Presidential election.
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Version: 8 Wow, this is going to be one close race. I have Obama winning the coveted tossup state of Ohio. All of this could change easily as I believe all of the tossup states I listed can go either way.
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