Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:22

Prediction Map

Lief Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Lief Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	332
Rep	206
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	275
Rep	190
Ind	0
Tos	73

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-1	-27	27	2	332	-27
Rep	+2	+1	+27	0	0	0	22	2	179	+27
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
103	51	42	5	5

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: ground_x (D-NY) 2012-11-06 @ 00:00:22
Hey brother: Our maps are almost exactly the same! Still wondering about Florida; in the Senate I agree that the Reid machine will pull Berkley. Let us hope...

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						246
2022 Senate	31/35	27/35	58/70	82.9%		1	1	97	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	25/36	59/72	81.9%		1	1	88	T	272
2020 President	54/56	42/56	96/112	85.7%		12	6	130	T	684
2020 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		9	4	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	8	10	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	22/35	54/70	77.1%		4	1	106	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	28/36	60/72	83.3%		3	3	18	T	372
2016 President	48/56	35/56	83/112	74.1%		7	1	114	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	19/34	51/68	75.0%		3	1	60	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		2	1	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	25/36	60/72	83.3%		15	1	21	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	18/36	47/72	65.3%		15	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	0	17	T	153
2012 President	56/56	47/56	103/112	92.0%		22	1	26	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	24/33	55/66	83.3%		17	1	20	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		2	1	24	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	31/52	16/52	47/104	45.2%		39	-	83	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	29/37	63/74	85.1%		26	0	11	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		23	0	45	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	10	56	T	103
2008 President	53/56	47/56	100/112	89.3%		42	1	13	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%		20	1	9	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		7	1	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	44/52	29/52	73/104	70.2%		25	-	5	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	38/49	18/49	56/98	57.1%		22	-	21	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	173	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		3	2	46	T	465
Aggregate Predictions	794/885	579/885	1373/1770	77.6%

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