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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:41

Prediction Map
Immortal Monk MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Immortal Monk MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem253
 
Rep181
 
Ind0
 
Tos104
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-2-1-27272332-27
Rep+2+1+27000222179+27
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
98513854
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Okay. This is authentically my final 2012 Prediction map!

I've modified the victory outcome (Pct) of various states for both candidates.


Presidential Election Results:

Obama/Biden . . . 49% +/-2%
Romney/Ryan . . . 49% +/-2%
Other . . . . . . >1%


U.S. Senate Results:

Democrats retain control (with Independents included, enjoy a 2 to 4 seat majority!).


U.S. House of Reps Results:

Republicans keep control - slightly (Democrats gain between 14 to 21 seats, shy of the 22 needed to regain control; obstructionist Republicans see the writing on the wall and decide it's better to work with the President)!


U.S. Governors:

Republicans control a majority of Governors' mansions throughout the country.


The first state to switch party color from the previous Presidential election (2008):

Indiana!


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Immortal Monk (D-CA) 2012-11-06 @ 01:18:36 prediction Map
Okay. I'm serious now. THIS is my final 2012 map!

 By: Immortal Monk (D-CA) 2012-11-07 @ 23:32:19 prediction Map
Wow. My prediction was spot on (except for some of the analysis)!

Last Edit: 2012-11-07 @ 23:38:26

 By: CR (--MO) 2012-11-07 @ 23:42:16 prediction Map
Nicely done IM. My hats off to you.

 By: Immortal Monk (D-CA) 2012-11-08 @ 15:37:51 prediction Map
Hey, thanks ConservRep. Your analysis throughout the season was very informative. I can see you creating a well-visited political blog in the future!

I'll try to keep in touch with the rest of the gang here in the coming years!

 By: CR (--MO) 2012-11-08 @ 16:37:59 prediction Map
Thanks for that IM! I'll try to keep up with everyone here too. I always enjoy our discussions.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 41 0 182T
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 18/52 53/104 51.0% pie 13 - 64T
Aggregate Predictions 91/108 60/108 151/216 69.9% pie


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