PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - cmbeattie (R-OK) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:11

Prediction Map
cmbeattie MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
cmbeattie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem259
 
Rep279
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem223
 
Rep235
 
Ind0
 
Tos80
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-7-1-100222259-100
Rep+7+1+100000222179+100
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
86463253
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

It is a tossup. Many pollsters are using a 2008 model, which puts democrat turnout +8%. Turnout and enthusiasm is tied. It will be close and if Obama wins he will be the first President to win a second term and not flip any state he lost in 2008, to his side, he is only losing states.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2018 Senate 35/35 21/35 56/70 80.0% pie 4 4 42T
P 2018 Governor 32/36 18/36 50/72 69.4% pie 4 6 226T
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 2 40T
P 2016 President 51/56 26/56 77/112 68.8% pie 4 0 369T
P 2016 Senate 30/34 18/34 48/68 70.6% pie 2 3 164T
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 2 0 25T
P 2014 Senate 35/36 24/36 59/72 81.9% pie 6 3 42T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 19/36 49/72 68.1% pie 4 3 56T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 57 17T
P 2012 President 51/56 35/56 86/112 76.8% pie 11 0 591T
P 2012 Senate 29/33 19/33 48/66 72.7% pie 8 0 144T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 5 0 51T
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 22/52 67/104 64.4% pie 14 - 16T
P 2011 Governor 3/4 1/4 4/8 50.0% pie 3 40 79T
P 2010 Senate 32/37 23/37 55/74 74.3% pie 13 0 133T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 24/37 58/74 78.4% pie 12 0 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 4 8 1T
P 2008 President 51/56 26/56 77/112 68.8% pie 7 8 625T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 13/33 45/66 68.2% pie 4 8 257T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 193 183T
Aggregate Predictions 526/581 311/581 837/1162 72.0% pie



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