PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - redefeatbush004 (D-MT) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:13

Prediction Map
redefeatbush004 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
redefeatbush004 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem284
 
Rep254
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem236
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos111
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-5-1-75242284-75
Rep+5+1+75000222179+75
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
93483753
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

My pop vote map means nothing. I use confidence as a measure of margin of victory. I feel most uncertain about Iowa, Virginia, and Colorado.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 13 0 401T
P 2012 Rep Primary 3/52 2/52 5/104 4.8% pie 1 - 217T
Aggregate Predictions 56/108 42/108 98/216 45.4% pie


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