PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - theprezmex (D-MEX) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:9

Prediction Map
theprezmex MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
theprezmex MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem294
 
Rep244
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem263
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos69
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-4-1-65252294-65
Rep+4+1+65000222179+65
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
87493053
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final prediction at 1pm on election day.

The hardest to predict are CO and VA.
I'm predicting an Obama victory in the popular vote between 0.75 and 1.25%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 54/56 33/56 87/112 77.7% pie 9 0 561T
P 2008 President 52/56 40/56 92/112 82.1% pie 4 7 178T
P 2004 President 54/56 36/56 90/112 80.4% pie 15 1 219T
Aggregate Predictions 160/168 109/168 269/336 80.1% pie



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