PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - Cuivienen (I-NJ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:6

Prediction Map
Cuivienen MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Cuivienen MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep235
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos29
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-3-1-56262303-56
Rep+3+1+56000222179+56
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
103504553
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final prediction. (Only change from the most recent one is IA from Lean Obama to Strong Obama.rnrnI like to have very definite predictions; had only two toss-ups in 2008 (OH and NC) and now only one this year. In 2008, I was off significantly in favor of McCain (had NC and OH as toss-up/McCain and IN and NE-02 as lean McCain), let's hope I continue that streak of leaning Republican in my predictions (unlikely, as that was a very cautious prediction and this one is less so, but you never know).


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 50/56 41/56 91/112 81.3% pie 2 11 359T684
P 2020 Senate 29/35 18/35 47/70 67.1% pie 2 9 358T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 1 11 10T293
P 2018 Senate 32/35 20/35 52/70 74.3% pie 5 4 170T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 23/36 55/72 76.4% pie 10 6 122T372
P 2014 Senate 27/36 14/36 41/72 56.9% pie 1 562 322T382
P 2012 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 6 1 26T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 16/33 48/66 72.7% pie 3 1 144T343
P 2012 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 1 51T228
P 2010 Senate 36/37 22/37 58/74 78.4% pie 5 1 86T456
P 2010 Governor 34/37 23/37 57/74 77.0% pie 6 1 91T312
P 2008 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 28 2 139T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 26 1 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 6 40 50T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 7/52 4/52 11/104 10.6% pie 10 - 224T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 4/49 2/49 6/98 6.1% pie 8 - 221T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 1/3 4/6 66.7% pie 3 163 102T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 24 1 20T465
P 2006 Governor 33/36 30/36 63/72 87.5% pie 30 0 10T312
Aggregate Predictions 524/656 366/656 890/1312 67.8% pie



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