Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2011-12-30 Version:1

Prediction Map

SamInTheSouth Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

SamInTheSouth Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	200
Rep	338
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	193
Rep	268
Ind	0
Tos	77

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-12	-2	-159	17	1	200	-159
Rep	+12	+2	+159	0	0	0	22	2	179	+159
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
72	41	24	4	3

Analysis

Assumes Romney nomination

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	52/56	33/56	85/112	75.9%		1	2	66	T	678
2014 Senate	33/36	18/36	51/72	70.8%		1	289	200	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	15/36	47/72	65.3%		1	289	97	T	300
2012 President	45/56	27/56	72/112	64.3%		1	312	720	T	760
2010 Senate	32/37	19/37	51/74	68.9%		5	22	206	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	19/37	52/74	70.3%		3	55	143	T	312
2008 President	46/56	32/56	78/112	69.6%		3	268	574	T	1,505
2008 Senate	26/33	12/33	38/66	57.6%		1	276	371	T	407
Aggregate Predictions	299/347	175/347	474/694	68.3%

User Info

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