Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:12

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	303
Rep	235
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	252
Rep	206
Ind	0
Tos	80

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-56	26	2	303	-56
Rep	+3	+1	+56	0	0	0	22	2	179	+56
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
100	50	40	5	5

Analysis

Obama-Biden 49.5%
Romney-Ryan 49.0%

CO: BO 50 MR 49
FL: MR 50 BO 49
IA: BO 51 MR 48
MI: BO 52 MR 47
NV: BO 51 MR 47
NH: BO 50 MR 48
NC: MR 51 BO 48
OH: BO 51 MR 48
PA: BO 52 MR 47
VA: BO 50 MR 49
WI: BO 51 MR 48

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	45/56	100/112	89.3%	12	1	115	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	23/33	54/66	81.8%	2	1	40	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%	2	1	51	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	44/52	9/52	53/104	51.0%	10	-	64	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	28/37	62/74	83.8%	24	4	21	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	26/37	61/74	82.4%	6	1	29	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	4	6	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	47/56	101/112	90.2%	64	1	6	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	19	4	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	4	2	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	37/52	21/52	58/104	55.8%	16	-	52	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	35/49	15/49	50/98	51.0%	15	-	52	T	235
Aggregate Predictions	380/429	253/429	633/858	73.8%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
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	Presidential Predictions Home

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