PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - Simfan34 (I-NY) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2012-10-31 Version:2

Prediction Map
Simfan34 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Simfan34 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem271
 
Rep267
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem241
 
Rep267
 
Ind0
 
Tos30
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-7-1-88222271-88
Rep+7+1+88000222179+88
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
88463453
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

I think PA will be quite the shocker come Tuesday, especially after Sandy. I've trusted PPP for quite some time, but I think they're beginning to lose it. I would not be surprised to see this map happening (the current map w/PA to Romney) But I would equally expect this one (the prediction). This is honestly what I'm expecting come Tuesday, but I maintain the one above is very much possible. In either case, Romney wins the PV 51.3%-47.4%, +/- .5%. PA will be closer than OH.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 290
P 2019 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie 191
P 2016 President 25/56 12/56 37/112 33.0% pie 2 330 671T678
P 2014 Senate 26/36 11/36 37/72 51.4% pie 1 363 359T382
P 2014 Governor 27/36 13/36 40/72 55.6% pie 1 363 241T300
P 2012 President 51/56 37/56 88/112 78.6% pie 2 6 534T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 1 268T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 1 1 196T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 39/52 13/52 52/104 50.0% pie 3 - 68231
Aggregate Predictions 206/280 99/280 305/560 54.5% pie



Alabama Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Arizona Arkansas California California California California Colorado Connecticut Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Maryland Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Virginia Washington Washington Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wisconsin Wyoming

Back to 2012 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved