Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2011-10-28 Version:3

Prediction Map

Gceres Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Gceres Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	267
Rep	271
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	262
Rep	201
Ind	0
Tos	75

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-6	0	-92	23	3	267	-92
Rep	+6	0	+92	0	0	0	22	2	179	+92
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
88	47	34	4	3

Analysis

This assumes a Perry victory in the primaries.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	51/56	37/56	88/112	78.6%		3	375	534	T	760
2010 Senate	30/37	17/37	47/74	63.5%		1	196	280	T	456
2008 President	49/56	37/56	86/112	76.8%		52	1	324	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	17/33	49/66	74.2%		2	5	144	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	11/52	40/104	38.5%		1	-	106	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	18/49	4/49	22/98	22.4%		2	-	152	T	235
2007 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	40	135	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%		2	26	257	T	465
2006 Governor	30/36	18/36	48/72	66.7%		1	76	157	T	312
2004 President	52/56	35/56	87/112	77.7%		6	21	474	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	324/411	192/411	516/822	62.8%

Links

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