PredictionsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - WMS (D-NM) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-30 Version:1

Prediction Map
WMS MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
WMS MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem261
 
Rep277
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem243
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos104
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-8-1-98212261-98
Rep+8+1+98000222179+98
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
91453853
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Obviously, I have no confidence whatsoever that this will be the result. Then again, neither does anyone else! :) Anything in tossup mode could easily go the other way. Kind of a boring prediction, but this election is hard to read.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2012 President 50/56 41/56 91/112 81.3% pie 1 7 466T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 14/33 43/66 65.2% pie 1 7 221T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 1 7 179T228
P 2008 President 52/56 25/56 77/112 68.8% pie 6 1 625T1,505
P 2008 Senate 31/33 14/33 45/66 68.2% pie 8 1 257T407
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 11 1 65T465
P 2006 Governor 36/36 22/36 58/72 80.6% pie 10 5 44T312
P 2004 President 53/56 23/56 76/112 67.9% pie 15 6 1441T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 293/314 164/314 457/628 72.8% pie



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