Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-07-30 Version:4

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	193
Rep	345
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	193
Rep	182
Ind	0
Tos	163

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-12	-2	-139	15	0	193	-139
Rep	+12	+2	+139	0	0	0	24	3	206	+139
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
69	43	21	4	1

Analysis

My first post-convention projection! Trump leads strong coming out of the GOP Convention at the end of July. However, the post DNC bounce has yet to be reported, and this prediction will change a lot as we officially enter the general election!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: Chrome (C-NY) 2016-08-13 @ 23:02:39
WV is lean R, and Trump still gets over 70% of the vote? Also, I am not sure how the winner of OR and CT get less than 40% of the vote.

By: Abe_Washington (R-NY) 2016-11-18 @ 12:00:43
With all due respect, I was more correct than you were.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	47/56	22/56	69/112	61.6%	4	101	579	T	678
Aggregate Predictions	47/56	22/56	69/112	61.6%

User Info

Abe_Washington Forum Profile

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