Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-10-02 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	46
Rep	492
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	46
Rep	492
Ind	0
Tos	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-19	-2	-286	8	0	46	-286
Rep	+19	+2	+286	0	0	0	24	3	206	+286
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
66	38	22	4	2

Analysis

I think the polls are not completely accurate. I believe that there are a lot of voters who are not admitting that they support Trump and and are going to vote for him.<br /> <br /> The beauty is we have a secret ballot election. No one will know how your vote was cast. You may tell a pollster that you don't support Trump, but once your alone in the booth you will vote knowing that no one will know how you voted. <br /> <br /> Hillary has been doing this her entire adult life; and she couldn't crush a non-politician in the debate.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: cptarmy03 (R-MA) 2016-10-20 @ 09:11:22
Trump clearly won this debate and exposed Hillary for the crook she is and how corrupt she, bill, and the clinton foundation is. <br /> <br /> They enriched themselves at the expense of hungry children in haiti

By: wingindy (I-IN) 2016-10-20 @ 11:26:15
They enriched themselves at the expense of many, as has Trump. At least Trump doesn't claim to have been a "public servant" at the time. Polling may not be completely accurate, but this map shows it in complete meltdown, which it is not.

By: cptarmy03 (R-MA) 2016-11-04 @ 12:36:49
after what happen this week with the FBI reopening the investigation and the polls tightening and her lead in states she should carry being wiped out, sounds like a Meltdown to me for the Hillary campaign....

By: wingindy (I-IN) 2016-11-05 @ 02:21:31
May be! You'll see I changed my map since commenting

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	42/56	24/56	66/112	58.9%	2	37	614	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	19/34	51/68	75.0%	1	2	60	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	4/12	13/24	54.2%	1	2	119	T	279
2014 Senate
2014 Governor	28/36	12/36	40/72	55.6%	2	1	241	T	300
2012 President	41/56	28/56	69/112	61.6%	2	35	735	T	760
2012 Senate	21/33	7/33	28/66	42.4%	2	30	334	T	343
2012 Governor	7/11	4/11	11/22	50.0%	1	30	211	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	11/52	2/52	13/104	12.5%	2	-	206	T	231
2010 Senate	28/37	8/37	36/74	48.6%	2	13	422	T	456
2010 Governor	24/37	13/37	37/74	50.0%	2	13	253	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	243/364	121/364	364/728	50.0%

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