PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - Gabagool102 (R-NY) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-03 Version:4

Prediction Map
Gabagool102 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Gabagool102 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem268
 
Rep270
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem208
 
Rep180
 
Ind0
 
Tos150
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-5-1-64221268-64
Rep+5+1+64000243206+64
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
81462753
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Two New polls show trump winning in NH, with another one tied. Trump also has a YUGE lead in Nevada with +6. Florida and NC are still going to be close.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2016-11-04 @ 02:51:18 prediction Map
538 has an update which talks about this map. Me-02 holds the balance between 1) a Trump electoral win (and loss in the popular vote), and 2) and exact electoral tie. It also makes the McMullen strategy (as well as that of the less likely Bernie write-in campaign) more intriguing because he would deny Trump an electoral majority if he won Utah and would make himself an eligible candidate to be chosen in the House.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 31/35 19/35 50/70 71.4% pie 1 17 246T483
P 2016 President 51/56 30/56 81/112 72.3% pie 4 5 194T678
Aggregate Predictions 82/91 49/91 131/182 72.0% pie



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