PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - MATTROSE94 (D-NJ) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-06 Version:26

Prediction Map
MATTROSE94 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
MATTROSE94 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem334
 
Rep198
 
Ind6
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem250
 
Rep119
 
Ind0
 
Tos169
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+2+1+27-2-1-25251307+2
Rep+2+1+25-3-1-33212173-8
Ind+10+6000000+6


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
71442142
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 12

This is what I think the map would look like in a Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro vs Donald Trump/Ted Cruz race (which seems somewhat plausible today). Basically Hillary Clinton heavily improves Democratic numbers among women, Hispanic, and millennial voters, whereas Donald Trump does extremely well with white voters primarily in the South and parts of the industrial Midwest.


Version: 11

This is what I think the map would look like in a Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro vs Donald Trump/Ted Cruz race (which seems somewhat plausible today). Basically Hillary Clinton heavily improves Democratic numbers among women, Hispanic, and millennial voters, whereas Donald Trump does extremely well with white voters primarily in the South and parts of the industrial Midwest.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 239
P 2022 Senate 28/35 8/35 36/70 51.4% pie 10 11 300305
P 2022 Governor 24/36 6/36 30/72 41.7% pie 4 11 269272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 5 13 111T118
P 2020 President 48/56 21/56 69/112 61.6% pie 37 6 675684
P 2020 Senate 28/35 8/35 36/70 51.4% pie 36 4 421423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 1/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 17 284T293
P 2018 Senate 31/35 13/35 44/70 62.9% pie 10 9 402T483
P 2018 Governor 30/36 17/36 47/72 65.3% pie 6 11 273T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 114 40T149
P 2016 President 48/56 23/56 71/112 63.4% pie 26 2 552T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 12/34 42/68 61.8% pie 23 2 327T362
P 2016 Governor 8/12 3/12 11/24 45.8% pie 9 1 223T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 1 8T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 20/36 54/72 75.0% pie 38 5 138T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 14/36 45/72 62.5% pie 30 1 145T300
Aggregate Predictions 356/425 149/425 505/850 59.4% pie



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