PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - tinman64 (I-CA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:64

Prediction Map
tinman64 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
tinman64 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem323
 
Rep215
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem274
 
Rep197
 
Ind0
 
Tos67
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+10+15-20-24252308-9
Rep+20+24-10-15233191+9
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
78462642
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 61

Current Popular Vote estimate:<br /> Alabama (9): Trump 58, Clinton 40, others 2; Alaska (3): Trump 47, Clinton 41, others 12; Arizona (11): Trump 48, Clinton 45, others 7; Arkansas (6): Trump 57, Clinton 41, others 2; California (55): Clinton 60, Trump 35, others 5; Colorado (9): Clinton 50, Trump 44, others 6; Connecticut (7): Clinton 57, Trump 40, others 3; Delaware (3): Clinton 58, Trump 40, others 2; District of Columbia (3): Clinton 88, others 7, Trump 5; Florida (29): Clinton 49, Trump 47, others 4; Georgia (16): Trump 50, Clinton 47, others 3; Hawaii (4): Clinton 63, Trump 32, others 5; Idaho (4): Trump 55, Clinton 39, others 6; Illinois (20): Clinton 56, Trump 41, others 3; Indiana (11): Trump 54, Clinton 42, others 4; Iowa (6): Trump 49, Clinton 48, others 3; Kansas (6): Trump 55, Clinton 42, others 3; Kentucky (8): Trump 56, Clinton 41, others 3; Louisiana (8): Trump 57, Clinton 42, others 2; Maine (4): Clinton 55, Trump 40, others 5; Maryland (10): Clinton 60, Trump 37, others 3; Massachusetts (11): Clinton 59, Trump 36, others 5; Michigan (16): Clinton 52, Trump 45, others 3; Minnesota (10): Clinton 53, Trump 46, others 3; Mississippi (6): Trump 56, Clinton 42, others 2; Missouri (10): Trump 54, Clinton 44, others 2; Montana (3): Trump 56, Clinton 41, others 3; Nebraska (5): Trump 58, Clinton 40, others 2; Nevada (6): Clinton 50, Trump 44, others 2; New Hampshire (4): Clinton 54, Trump 41, others 5; New Jersey (14): Clinton 53, Trump 42, others 3; New Mexico (5): Clinton 51, Trump 40, others 9; New York (29): Clinton 57, Trump 40, others 3; North Carolina (15): Clinton 49, Trump 48, others 2; North Dakota (3): Trump 59, Clinton 39, others 2; Ohio (18): Trump 49, Clinton 47, others 4; Oklahoma (7): Trump 60, Clinton 38, others 2; Oregon (7): Clinton 55, Trump 40, others 5; Pennsylvania (20): Clinton 52, Trump 46, others 2; Rhode Island (4): Clinton 59, Trump 38, others 3; South Carolina (9): Trump 54, Clinton 44, others 2; South Dakota (3): Trump 56, Clinton 42, others 2; Tennessee (11): Trump 58, Clinton 40, others 2; Texas (38): Trump 53, Clinton 45, others 2; Utah (6): Trump 36, others 33, Clinton 31; Vermont (3): Clinton 60, Trump 34, others 6; Virginia (13): Clinton 53, Trump 45, others 2; Washington (12): Clinton 56, Trump 40, others 4; West Virginia (5): Trump 63, Clinton 35, others 2; Wisconsin (10): Clinton 53, Trump 43, others 4; Wyoming (3): Trump 60, Clinton 32, others 8. Estimated final Popular Vote: Clinton 49, Trump 46, others 5<br />


Version: 12

Strong Trump (double digit win): 139 EVs; Lean Trump (5-9 pct win): 51 EVs; Strong Clinton (double digit win): 190 EVs; Lean Clinton (5-9 pct win): 67 EVs; Tossup: 91 EVs


Version: 2

First assumed Trump-Clinton map, on Super Tuesday.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2023 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 1 11 74T115
P 2022 Senate 33/35 26/35 59/70 84.3% pie 7 4 69T305
P 2022 Governor 34/36 24/36 58/72 80.6% pie 5 1 104T272
P 2020 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 31 6 307T684
P 2020 Senate 33/35 22/35 55/70 78.6% pie 13 4 66T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 7 6 51T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 1/3 3/6 50.0% pie 2 8 104T192
P 2018 Senate 33/35 24/35 57/70 81.4% pie 15 0 24T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 21/36 53/72 73.6% pie 14 2 164T372
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 64 1 325T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 18/34 50/68 73.5% pie 15 0 89T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 6/12 15/24 62.5% pie 10 2 47T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 9 8T112
P 2014 Senate 34/36 23/36 57/72 79.2% pie 11 1 82T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 16/36 47/72 65.3% pie 10 1 97T300
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 1 17T153
P 2012 President 54/56 40/56 94/112 83.9% pie 34 2 367T760
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 13 2 164T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 6 2 51T228
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 9 0 63T456
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 9 0 17T312
P 2008 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 13 1 115T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 17/33 49/66 74.2% pie 4 1 144T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 4 1 27T264
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 20 1 65T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 19/36 54/72 75.0% pie 16 1 81T312
P 2004 President 55/56 43/56 98/112 87.5% pie 35 3 14T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 775/828 525/828 1300/1656 78.5% pie



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