Changing Colorado from Lean R to Safe R, in light of Trump's (and Carson's, Cruz's, and Rubio's) double digit lead over Clinton there in the latest Quinnipiac poll.

Latest poll has Trump ahead in Minnesota.

Polling points to a significant Democratic trend in Wisconsin, possibly associated with Governor Scott Walker's deep unpopularity in the state. More than a year remains until the election, and Trump could certainly still win there, but for the time being Clinton is favored in the Badger State.

Recent polling seems to indicate that Trump is a poor fit for New Hampshire.

Donald Trump: 52%; 347 Electoral Votes<br /> Hillary Clinton: 47%; 191 Electoral Votes<br /> <br /> Based on extrapolation from the SUSA Poll which has Trump leading Clinton by five points nationally.

Donald Trump: 52%; 347 Electoral Votes<br /> Hillary Clinton: 47%; 191 Electoral Votes

Jeb Bush vs. Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio<br /> <br /> Based largely on opinion polling, which can and will change in the coming months.

Not so much a "prediction," since such is quite difficult to make with any confidence this far in advance; rather, this map roughly shows what the electoral map would look like in the event of a popular vote tie. As we see, the Democrat wins 285-253. <br /><br /> <br /><br /> A Republican win would probably involve picking up Virginia, and then at least one of either Colorado, Iowa, or New Hampshire. A more decisive Republican victor would also be able to carry Nevada, Pennsylvania, and possibly Wisconsin.<br /><br /> <br /><br /> A more decisive Democratic victory would obviously involve retaining Florida and Ohio, with North Carolina as a quite feasible pick-up.