PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - slick67 (R-SC) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-10-21 Version:1

Prediction Map
slick67 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
slick67 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem231
 
Rep307
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem214
 
Rep212
 
Ind0
 
Tos112
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-70-101202231-101
Rep+70+101000243206+101
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Trump Vs Clinton. The email scandal takes a toll on plastic clinton among white collar independents who stay home or vote for some 3rd party protest vote. Blue collar populists drift to Trump's camp, many former Ross Perot supporters who haven't voted since Bush in 2000. This bodes well for Trump in the heartland. Blacks stay home not having Obama on the ticket and Hispanics in CA and the North East dislike trump running up the score in costal strongholds for Clinton, while older more rural and established Hispanics plus the Cubans lean Trump. Students sit this one out upset at the heavy hand the DNC and Hillary used to win the primary against Bernie. Trump wins the gender gap with the male vote. Hillary wins the White Collar female vote heavily while more blue collar females are more mixed eating into her lead among women.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: KnuxMaster368 (L-FL) 2018-09-13 @ 11:03:34  
Your analysis, from 2015, basically was right on the money for what happened. Good job


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 576
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 334
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 227
P 2019 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 8 130T192
P 2018 Senate 31/35 18/35 49/70 70.0% pie 6 5 272T483
P 2018 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 4 7 205T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 2 98T149
P 2016 President 50/56 36/56 86/112 76.8% pie 21 1 48T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 18/34 50/68 73.5% pie 9 1 89T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 6/12 16/24 66.7% pie 7 4 25T279
P 2015 Governor 2/3 0/3 2/6 33.3% pie 2 12 72T112
P 2014 Senate 35/36 23/36 58/72 80.6% pie 21 1 60T382
P 2014 Governor 31/36 16/36 47/72 65.3% pie 25 1 97T300
P 2013 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 195 98T153
P 2012 President 48/56 29/56 77/112 68.8% pie 30 14 699T760
P 2012 Senate 26/33 9/33 35/66 53.0% pie 8 1 307T343
P 2012 Governor 8/11 5/11 13/22 59.1% pie 3 14 179T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 45/52 24/52 69/104 66.3% pie 41 - 8T231
P 2010 Senate 32/37 13/37 45/74 60.8% pie 1 206 306T456
P 2010 Governor 23/37 10/37 33/74 44.6% pie 1 206 281T312
Aggregate Predictions 407/481 230/481 637/962 66.2% pie


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