Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:290
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
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Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
Probably my final map. It does look better for Hillary than it did just a few short days ago. I'm very cautiously optimistic right now because you just never know in American politics anymore. I gave Hillary FL and NC but am really still very unsure about both of them NC especially. I was very, very concerned about NV and NH too but thank God it looks much, much better in both states even than it did 24 short hours ago. ME-2 still looks very interesting, and perhaps even NE-2 the Omaha district as well. It looks like as expected the electoral map not surprisingly is very inelastic once again, with only IA and OH flipping Republican and NC possibly flipping Dem this time. I am really very surprised and greatly disappointed though in IA and OH, much more so than NC. IA because it was the only inland state where more than 50 percent of white voters actually voted for Obama in 2012. Even more so OH. It's gotta be my home state "West Virginia effect" that I have always mentioned before it can't be anything else, at least that's what I think. It's especially surprising to see both IA and OH flip in an apparent Democratic victory, especially OH. 24 hours ago I was even thinking FLORIDA FLORIDA FLORIDA could decide the whole thing yet again, and yes that's still very much possible right now even at this late hour, but not as likely as it did just 24 short hours ago. I was sadly disappointed in AZ and TX I thought the predicted record Hispanic turnout in both states AZ especially would make them be competitive AZ especially if not flip outright but that doesn't look like it will happen in either state sad to say AZ especially. And they don't even look competitive either which is very, very disappointed especially AZ once again. A few others too, not surprisingly my home state of WV where any Republican would have won this year not just Trump, but even worse Trump could even make WV be the GOP's best state in 2016 believe it or not. Who would have ever thunk it? Especially in 1988 when WV still voted for Dukakis. WV will most likely be 2 to 1 for Trump if not even worse. I haven't seen the first Hillary Clinton sign yet here in WV even in black neighborhoods here. On Facebook it's 95/5 here for Trump, and I'm not joking either. It's coal, guns, and religion in that order. That is probably the reason OH is flipping Republican as well, as I can't see any other logical reason but that why that usually very key state will go Republican in 2016 but the "West Virginia effect," especially in a losing effort, and that VA and yes even NC be more Democratic than OH as well. Crazy stuff right there my friends. Well it's still a Hillary victory right now I guess that's all that matters in the big picture. Wait and see as always. #DumpTrump2016
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