Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:8

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	323
Rep	215
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	272
Rep	184
Ind	0
Tos	82

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	0	+15	-2	0	-24	25	2	308	-9
Rep	+2	0	+24	-1	0	-15	23	3	191	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
66	46	14	4	2

Analysis

Just changing the directions by % as I left it where it was most of the year.<br /> <br /> I feel that the settling of the FBI on Sunday gives her a two day bump of 2-3 points. Enough to make Ohio look like a real tossup.<br /> <br /> I feel they might take the senate by one or two votes..I go there now to update.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2016-11-07 @ 11:58:39
My North Carolina, Florida and Nevada predictions are based on her strong turnout of Hispanics AND the fact that in Florida a large number of GOP are voting for her early.<br /> <br />

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	16/56	66/112	58.9%	8	1	614	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	11/34	43/68	63.2%	8	0	317	T	362
2014 Senate	32/36	16/36	48/72	66.7%	19	13	240	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%	2	162	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	229	1	T	153
2012 President	54/56	30/56	84/112	75.0%	46	2	630	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%	8	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	78	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	26/52	4/52	30/104	28.8%	1	-	154	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	11/37	45/74	60.8%	50	7	306	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%	26	6	143	T	312
2008 President	53/56	24/56	77/112	68.8%	83	1	625	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	4	122	281	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	1	286	212	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	427/490	179/490	606/980	61.8%

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