Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-12-02 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	239
Rep	299
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	226
Rep	237
Ind	0
Tos	75

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-6	0	-93	21	2	239	-93
Rep	+6	0	+93	0	0	0	24	3	206	+93
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
85	49	30	4	2

Analysis

Much of the rust belt is on the verge of flipping. I predict this will be key to the Republican victory of 2016. Hillary Clinton's scandals along with fracking and the hope of a return to manufacturing on a self-sufficiency desire wave will propel the Republican candidate to victory.

Member Comments

By: Xiivi (D-FRA) 2016-11-09 @ 20:34:03
Amazing call on this one; almost had it exactly right.

By: colin (I-ON) 2016-11-16 @ 08:33:43
wow just missed wisconsin...well done

By: jaichind (L-NY) 2016-12-05 @ 07:50:32
Wow. This is amazing. And it was done a year in advance.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2020 President	46/56	34/56	80/112	71.4%	1	167	627	T	684
2016 President	53/56	32/56	85/112	75.9%	1	342	66	T	678
2008 President	42/56	21/56	63/112	56.3%	1	263	1266	T	1,505
2008 Rep Primary	15/49	1/49	16/98	16.3%	1	-	176	T	235
2004 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%	1	119	283	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	209/273	124/273	333/546	61.0%

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