Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:24

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	323
Rep	215
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	210
Rep	179
Ind	0
Tos	149

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	0	+15	-2	0	-24	25	2	308	-9
Rep	+2	0	+24	-1	0	-15	23	3	191	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
83	46	30	4	3

Analysis

Last prediction. Ground game is important and there is no question Hillary has a superior ground game. Trump will pick up Iowa and Ohio, both by very close margins. Hillary will pick up North Carolina with a heavy African American turnout.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	32/35	28/35	60/70	85.7%	5	5	48	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%	4	5	66	T	272
2020 President	52/56	45/56	97/112	86.6%	5	6	103	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	16/35	47/70	67.1%	3	4	358	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	2	6	10	T	293
2018 Senate	31/35	27/35	58/70	82.9%	1	3	15	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	23/36	53/72	73.6%	1	5	164	T	372
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%	24	1	114	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	24/34	55/68	80.9%	16	1	2	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	5/12	16/24	66.7%	8	2	25	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	2	132	72	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	25/36	60/72	83.3%	35	0	21	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%	38	0	15	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	2	40	17	T	153
Aggregate Predictions	382/423	283/423	665/846	78.6%