PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - Spark498 (D-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:104

Prediction Map
Spark498 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Spark498 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem265
 
Rep273
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem243
 
Rep259
 
Ind0
 
Tos36
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-5-1-67221265-67
Rep+5+1+67000243206+67
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
83463052
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final prediction<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rn<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rnNational Popular Vote-<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rn<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rnHillary Clinton- 46.4% <br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rnDonald Trump- 45.9%<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rn<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />rnState by State Results:<br /> Alabama- 65-35<br /> Alaska- 50-38<br /> Arizona- 50-46<br /> Arkansas- 58-42<br /> California- 64-36<br /> Colorado- 46-44<br /> Connecticut- 56-43<br /> Delaware- 52-40<br /> D.C. 93-7 Florida- 49.7-49.3 <br /> Georgia- 52-47<br /> Hawaii- 63-36<br /> Idaho- 61-31<br /> Illinois- 58-42 <br /> Indiana- 53-42 <br /> Iowa- 51-49<br /> Kansas- 59-40 <br /> Kentucky- 62-36<br /> Louisiana- 57-43<br /> Maine- 52-45<br /> Maryland- 65-34 <br /> Massachusetts- 60-39 <br /> Michigan- 51-48<br /> Minnesota- 52-46<br /> Mississippi- 56-44 <br /> Missouri- 53-40 <br /> Montana- 51-43<br /> Nebraska- 60-39 <br /> Nevada- 49-48<br /> New Hampshire- 48-46<br /> New Jersey- 51-40<br /> New Mexico- 50-44 <br /> New York- 57-43<br /> North Carolina- 51-47 <br /> North Dakota- 60-39 <br /> Ohio- 51-48 <br /> Oklahoma- 64-36 <br /> Oregon- 52-45 <br /> Pennsylvania- 50-48 <br /> Rhode Island- 62-37 <br /> South Carolina- 53-44 <br /> South Dakota- 57-42 <br /> Tennessee- 59-41<br /> Texas- 53-46<br /> Utah- 39-23-28 <br /> Vermont- 65-28 <br /> Virginia- 52-47 <br /> Washington- 52-40 <br /> West Virginia- 73-27<br /> Wisconsin- 51-47<br /> Wyoming- 64-26<br /><br />rn<br /><br />rn<br /> <br /> 90%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 522
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 290
P 2020 Governor /11 /11 /22 % pie 200
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 6 35T192
P 2018 Senate 32/35 16/35 48/70 68.6% pie 6 4 306T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 19/36 52/72 72.2% pie 10 6 189T372
P 2017 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 3 2 98T149
P 2016 President 51/56 32/56 83/112 74.1% pie 104 1 114T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 14/34 46/68 67.6% pie 28 1 252T362
P 2016 Governor 7/12 4/12 11/24 45.8% pie 9 1 223T279
P 2015 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 93 72T112
Aggregate Predictions 159/181 89/181 248/362 68.5% pie



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