Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-04 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	294
Rep	238
Ind	6

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	256
Rep	185
Ind	0
Tos	97

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	0	+15	-3	0	-53	24	2	279	-38
Rep	+3	0	+53	-2	0	-21	22	3	185	+32
Ind	+1	0	+6	0	0	0	0	0	0	+6

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
83	46	31	4	2

Analysis

Hillary Clinton beats Donald Trump both in the popular vote and in the electoral college count. Hillary Clinton beats Donald Trump by more than three million votes - thanks largely to voter turnout in California and the North-eastern United States. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson impacts the vote enough in North Carolina and New Hampshire, to provide a victory for Hillary in both of those states.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%	2	4	114	T	678
Aggregate Predictions	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%

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