PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Predictions - mach3ucf (L-FL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2015-08-27 Version:2

Prediction Map
mach3ucf MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
mach3ucf MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem269
 
Rep269
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem211
 
Rep159
 
Ind0
 
Tos168
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-50-63222269-63
Rep+50+63000243206+63
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
69441942
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

A 269-269 Draw means the vote for Congress is pretty important!


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: wingindy (I-IN) 2015-12-12 @ 02:34:25 prediction Map
The incoming House would choose the president, and is almost certain to remain Republican, majority and by state delegation. The Senate would choose the VP. A split administration, perhaps Cruz - Castro haha.<br /> <br /> Indiana won't be in play (unless Trump runs a 3rd), nor can I imagine Nevada or Missouri will be toss-ups this cycle. The tie scenario seems to require that either Wisconsin or Nevada go GOP.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 52/56 35/56 87/112 77.7% pie 1 104 502T684
P 2016 President 48/56 21/56 69/112 61.6% pie 2 439 579T678
P 2012 President 53/56 14/56 67/112 59.8% pie 1 244 739760
P 2004 President 49/56 26/56 75/112 67.0% pie 4 71 1483T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 202/224 96/224 298/448 66.5% pie


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