Election 2016 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-11-07 Version:6

Prediction Map

rocker2004 Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

rocker2004 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	323
Rep	215
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	266
Rep	199
Ind	0
Tos	73

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	0	+15	-2	0	-24	25	2	308	-9
Rep	+2	0	+24	-1	0	-15	23	3	191	+9
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
81	46	29	4	2

Analysis

1.North Carolina's "Bathroom Bill" has caused disillusionment with the GOP in that state.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						244
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%		1	277	49	T	115
2022 Senate	29/35	20/35	49/70	70.0%		6	0	271	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	20/36	53/72	73.6%		5	0	202	T	272
2020 President	48/56	41/56	89/112	79.5%		18	35	434	T	684
2020 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		11	33	337	T	423
2020 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%		4	35	249	T	293
2019 Governor	3/3	1/3	4/6	66.7%		1	4	35	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		4	18	246	T	483
2018 Governor	30/36	19/36	49/72	68.1%		2	20	241	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	116	40	T	149
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%		6	1	194	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	13/34	41/68	60.3%		9	1	336	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	3/12	12/24	50.0%		2	1	164	T	279
2014 Senate	29/36	17/36	46/72	63.9%		11	1	273	T	382
2014 Governor	24/36	10/36	34/72	47.2%		6	1	289	T	300
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%		15	13	314	T	760
2012 Senate	29/33	14/33	43/66	65.2%		14	72	221	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%		2	107	131	T	228
2010 Senate	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%		15	0	181	T	456
2010 Governor	26/37	12/37	38/74	51.4%		3	78	248	T	312
2008 President	50/56	28/56	78/112	69.6%		3	240	574	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	13/33	43/66	65.2%		2	240	303	T	407
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	147	102	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%		3	8	402	T	465
2006 Governor	28/36	11/36	39/72	54.2%		1	183	261	T	312
2004 President	48/56	33/56	81/112	72.3%		7	9	1142	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	702/817	403/817	1105/1634	67.6%

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