Election 2020 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-06-17 Version:3

Prediction Map

Miamiu1027 Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

Miamiu1027 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	280
Rep	258
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	218
Rep	181
Ind	0
Tos	139

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+3	+1	+48	0	0	0	21	1	232	+48
Rep	0	0	0	-3	-1	-48	27	3	258	-48
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Biden (D) 52.5% Trump (R) 45.5%

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						244
2022 Senate	30/35	24/35	54/70	77.1%		3	1	205	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	25/36	56/72	77.8%		2	1	158	T	272
2020 President	53/56	35/56	88/112	78.6%		7	7	480	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	18/35	48/70	68.6%		6	4	337	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%		3	36	51	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		7	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	27/36	60/72	83.3%		6	3	18	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	11	40	T	149
2016 President	47/56	28/56	75/112	67.0%		19	1	440	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	17/34	47/68	69.1%		10	23	213	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	6/12	14/24	58.3%		2	33	67	T	279
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		1	3	60	T	382
2012 President	55/56	43/56	98/112	87.5%		5	47	182	T	760
2012 Rep Primary	23/52	11/52	34/104	32.7%		16	-	137	T	231
2010 Senate	31/37	16/37	47/74	63.5%		2	99	280	T	456
2008 President	52/56	46/56	98/112	87.5%		22	1	41	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%		13	1	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		5	1	86	T	264
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	92	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	25/33	58/66	87.9%		16	1	10	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	31/36	65/72	90.3%		13	1	1	T	312
2004 President	56/56	41/56	97/112	86.6%		52	1	24	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	672/757	480/757	1152/1514	76.1%

Links

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