Predictions2020 Presidential Predictions - paxamericana (R-LA) Polls
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Date of Prediction: 2020-07-11 Version:5

Prediction Map
paxamericana MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
paxamericana MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem248
 
Rep290
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem248
 
Rep204
 
Ind0
 
Tos86
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+10+16000211232+16
Rep000-10-16294290-16
Ind0000000000


Analysis

7/11: Mainly changed some of the percentages and moved Minnesota from tossup to Lean D. The state is certainly in play for 2020.<br /> <br /> Things look very good for Biden at the moment nationally speaking, but it's very hard to tell if this will hold come November. <br /> <br /> This is the reasoning behind why I still have Trump winning in this prediction. Factors such as low enthusiasm for Biden, Trump's record primary turnout (especially in critical swing states), high approval ratings within his own party and positive approval marks for Trump on the economy make me believe Trump will mount a comeback. <br /> <br /> Of course, we will have to see.


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User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 472
P 2020 Senate /35 /35 /70 % pie 250


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