Election 2020 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-10-27 Version:436

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	413
Rep	125
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	413
Rep	125
Ind	0
Tos	0

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+10	+2	+181	0	0	0	21	1	232	+181
Rep	0	0	0	-10	-2	-181	20	2	125	-181
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 438

Prez Biden and Veep Harris

Version: 428

Prez Biden

Version: 410

291-47 EC map and 51/49 Senate

Version: 366

Version: 348

268 EC blue wall<br />rn<br />rnMLG Veep

Version: 330

46th Prez Biden/Liz Warren and 50/50 Senate

Version: 310

46th Prez Biden/Abrams

Version: 230

Coronavirus makes it once again a 279 tace

Version: 207

RIP TRUMP

Version: 206

RIP TRUMP

Version: 193

46th Prez Bernie/Klobuchar & AG Harris 412<br />rnTrump/Pence 125 51/47

Version: 124

END CITIZENS UNITED

Version: 123

Biden-4-Prez-Vets 4 Truth

Version: 119

Biden-4-Prez

Version: 115

Warren-4-prez

Version: 113

BIDEN-GILLIBRAND-4-PREZ

Version: 108

Secular trifecta

Version: 103

Wealth tax on wealthy; as a result of, Warren/Castro securing 278 freiwal and Dem Trifecta

Version: 81

Defeat of Trump and Senate Leader McConnell inevitable

Version: 35

Gross, Kelly, Jones, Romanoff, Grissom, Gideon, Cunningham & Harrison-4-freshman class of Sen 2020

Version: 34

Endorse:Gross, Romanoff, Grissom, Gideon, Cunningham, Harrison-4-2020 sen freshman class

Version: 32

Biden-Ryan map

Version: 17

Kamala/Beto-4-Prez

Version: 15

HARRIS/BETO 70M to 66M

Version: 2

Trump loses OH and loses the election

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					244
2023 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%	25	22	108	T	115
2022 Senate	25/35	12/35	37/70	52.9%	271	0	298	T	305
2022 Governor	27/36	14/36	41/72	56.9%	281	0	265	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	11	41	48	T	118
2020 President	45/56	26/56	71/112	63.4%	443	5	670	T	684
2020 Senate	24/35	8/35	32/70	45.7%	339	3	422		423
2020 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%	127	5	264	T	293
2019 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	61	4	104	T	192
2018 Senate	28/35	15/35	43/70	61.4%	201	1	417	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	13/36	42/72	58.3%	212	3	330	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%	1	99	98	T	149
2016 President	47/56	20/56	67/112	59.8%	337	3	597	T	678
2016 Senate	26/34	12/34	38/68	55.9%	344	2	352	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	5/12	12/24	50.0%	127	3	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%	72	0	57	T	112
2014 Senate	28/36	12/36	40/72	55.6%	435	0	337	T	382
2014 Governor	25/36	6/36	31/72	43.1%	402	0	293	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	0/2	2/4	50.0%	19	1	98	T	153
2012 President	55/56	25/56	80/112	71.4%	291	1	681	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	19/33	50/66	75.8%	171	1	111	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	4/11	15/22	68.2%	103	1	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	29/52	8/52	37/104	35.6%	116	-	121	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%	18	186	12	T	106
2010 Senate	34/37	15/37	49/74	66.2%	281	1	242	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	8/37	42/74	56.8%	280	1	230	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	26	40	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	29/56	81/112	72.3%	129	1	474	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	16/33	49/66	74.2%	95	1	144	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	39	3	27	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	47/52	20/52	67/104	64.4%	55	-	23	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	39/49	14/49	53/98	54.1%	23	-	36	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	8	24	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	24/33	57/66	86.4%	117	0	20	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	28/36	63/72	87.5%	114	0	10	T	312
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	167	1	1036	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	833/994	407/994	1240/1988	62.4%

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