Election 2020 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-03 Version:10

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	319
Rep	219
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	258
Rep	125
Ind	0
Tos	155

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+5	+1	+87	0	0	0	21	1	232	+87
Rep	0	0	0	-5	-1	-87	25	3	219	-87
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
98	49	42	5	2

Analysis

Today is the big day. These are the close-to-final results of my election calculator. I used a popular vote margin of 6.1 for Biden, which is about 2 points less than Trump's current 538 approval rating of -8.1 points. <br /> <br /> Here's hoping for this and more!

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2022 Senate	34/35	27/35	61/70	87.1%	1	70	37	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	25/36	58/72	80.6%	1	70	104	T	272
2020 President	54/56	44/56	98/112	87.5%	10	5	74	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	19/35	51/70	72.9%	8	3	241	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	1	42	147	T	293
Aggregate Predictions	164/173	121/173	285/346	82.4%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
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