Predictions2020 Presidential Predictions - Ernest (D-SC) Polls
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Date of Prediction: 2019-11-12 Version:2

Prediction Map
Ernest MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Ernest MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem334
 
Rep204
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem239
 
Rep182
 
Ind0
 
Tos117
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+6+1+102000211232+102
Rep000-6-1-102243204-102
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Prediction 2 has a slightly larger R->D shift combined with removing any McMullin 2.0-style candidacy. Still essentially a placeholder prediction until we have an idea of who will be the Democratic nominee.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 264
P 2018 Senate 29/35 17/35 46/70 65.7% pie 1 356 362T483
P 2016 President 50/56 28/56 78/112 69.6% pie 14 10 325T678
P 2016 Senate 30/34 19/34 49/68 72.1% pie 1 73 120T362
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T153
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T760
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T231
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T312
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T103
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T312
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 486/536 347/536 833/1072 77.7% pie


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