PredictionsMock2020 Presidential Predictions - MattVT (D-MA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-02 Version:1

Prediction Map
MattVT MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
MattVT MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem368
 
Rep170
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem258
 
Rep131
 
Ind0
 
Tos149
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+8+1+136000211232+136
Rep000-8-1-136223170-136
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I think the Republicans are going to be in for a rude election night awakening as both the blue wall defects back to the Democrats, while at the same time, multiple sunbelt states also flip to the Democratic side. If this election was held at this time last year, I would predict an easy victory for Trump, however the emergence of the division created by the pandemic era has led to many first time votes as well as independent voters who swung to the GOP last time now rallying behind the idea of sending Trump back to Mar-a-lago. If my prediction is in fact correct, team Trump will only have themselves to blame as the Republican Party will likely face a Democratic controlled Senate in addition to the House and White House.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 682
P 2016 President 49/56 31/56 80/112 71.4% pie 4 15 246T678
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 1 168 1T153
Aggregate Predictions 51/58 33/58 84/116 72.4% pie


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