Election 2020 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2020-08-28 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	318
Rep	220
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	228
Rep	203
Ind	0
Tos	107

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+5	0	+86	0	0	0	21	1	232	+86
Rep	0	0	0	-5	0	-86	25	4	220	-86
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
99	49	43	4	3

Analysis

Forgot ME-2 for Trump - other predictions stand. Polls will regress to the mean and Biden's lead will wane unless Trump does something particularly crazy.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					246
2020 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%	2	72	48	T	684
Aggregate Predictions	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%

Links

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