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Date of Prediction: 2020-11-02 Version:3
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
11/2/2020: Final map. Biden has maintained a steady lead. Despite the media narrative, he is safe in Pennsylvania (absent any shenanigans, of course). Biden will win Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Georgia, but probably fall short in Texas and Ohio. But that Texas is a tossup is a boon for Democrats--that is resources (time, $$) that could not be spent in the midwest. If there are any surprises, it would be GOP edging it out Florida (like 2018), and/or the Democrats taking Texas and/or Ohio. This may be the last election where the GOP wins Texas; I think that, going forward, Democrats should be more optimistic about Texas than Florida.
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