PredictionsMock2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Predictions - WinstonOBoogie (D-ON) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2020-08-10 Version:26

Prediction Map
WinstonOBoogie MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
WinstonOBoogie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Warren0
 
Biden41
 
Sanders11
 
Buttigieg0
 
Harris0
 
Klobuchar0
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Warren0
 
Biden34
 
Sanders7
 
Buttigieg0
 
Harris0
 
Klobuchar0
 
Other0
 
Tossup11
 

Analysis

We are a week away from the opening of the Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee. However, there is still one primary remaining for the Democratic nomination. Joe Biden currently has 2,627 delegates of the 1,991 needed to secure the nomination, so the Connecticut primary tomorrow is completely superfluous. For the August 11th primary: In Connecticut, Biden 74%, Sanders 22%. As a result, Connecticut is rated Solid Biden. There has been no nationwide polling in the past four months, so we must assume that it remains with Biden leading with 86% of the vote. POST-PRIMARY UPDATE, AUGUST 12th 2020: Since the primary is over, I decided to look back at my record. Before Bernie Sanders dropped out on April 8th, I picked 23/28 (82%) statewide winners correctly, and 7/28 (25%) vote shares correctly. After Mr. Sanders dropped out on April 8th, I picked 24/24 (100%) statewide winners correctly, and 10/24 (42%) vote shares correctly. Overall, I picked 47/52 (90%) statewide winners correctly, and 17/52 (33%) vote shares correctly. This gives me an overall accuracy of 64/104 (62%). FINAL PLEDGED DELEGATE RESULTS: Biden: 2,695, Sanders: 1,117, Warren: 79, Bloomberg: 51, Buttigieg: 26, Klobuchar: 7, Gabbard: 2, Uncommitted: 2


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 244
P 2023 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 5 2 1T115
P 2022 Senate 35/35 29/35 64/70 91.4% pie 23 1 7T305
P 2022 Governor 35/36 28/36 63/72 87.5% pie 39 1 11T272
P 2021 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 2 11 48T118
P 2020 President 53/56 40/56 93/112 83.0% pie 14 6 260T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 22/35 53/70 75.7% pie 14 4 137T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 11 6 51T293
P 2019 Governor 2/3 2/3 4/6 66.7% pie 4 4 35T192
P 2018 Senate 32/35 26/35 58/70 82.9% pie 9 1 15T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 29/36 61/72 84.7% pie 12 3 6T372
P 2016 President 51/56 33/56 84/112 75.0% pie 13 1 87T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 21/34 53/68 77.9% pie 11 1 16T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 4/12 13/24 54.2% pie 6 1 119T279
Aggregate Predictions 327/354 245/354 572/708 80.8% pie


Alabama Alabama Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Arizona Arkansas California California California California Colorado Connecticut Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Louisiana Maine Maryland Maryland Maryland Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts Michigan Michigan Michigan Michigan Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York New York North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Virginia Washington Washington Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wisconsin Wyoming Puerto Rico Puerto Rico Puerto Rico

Back to 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved