Predictions2024 Presidential Predictions - PoliticalWatch (I-CA) Polls
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Date of Prediction: 2023-05-25 Version:2

Prediction Map
PoliticalWatch MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
PoliticalWatch MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem319
 
Rep219
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem266
 
Rep219
 
Ind0
 
Tos53
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+1+1+17000261302+17
Rep000-1-1-17243219-17
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Now that Trump appears to be the GOP frontrunner, I think Biden wins easily.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 280
P 2023 Governor 3/3 3/3 6/6 100.0% pie 1 272 1T115
P 2022 Senate 32/35 26/35 58/70 82.9% pie 5 13 97T305
P 2022 Governor 31/36 27/36 58/72 80.6% pie 7 13 104T272
P 2020 President 52/56 46/56 98/112 87.5% pie 4 16 74T684
P 2020 Senate 31/35 25/35 56/70 80.0% pie 4 112 44T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 3/11 14/22 63.6% pie 3 16 264T293
P 2019 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 1 9 130T192
Aggregate Predictions 161/179 131/179 292/358 81.6% pie


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