Election 2024 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2023-05-25 Version:2

Prediction Map

PoliticalWatch Map

Prediction Key

Confidence Map

PoliticalWatch Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	319
Rep	219
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	266
Rep	219
Ind	0
Tos	53

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	+1	+17	0	0	0	26	1	302	+17
Rep	0	0	0	-1	-1	-17	24	3	219	-17
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Now that Trump appears to be the GOP frontrunner, I think Biden wins easily.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						148
2023 Governor	/3	/3	/6	%						87
2022 Senate	32/35	26/35	58/70	82.9%		5	13	97	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	27/36	58/72	80.6%		7	13	104	T	272
2020 President	52/56	46/56	98/112	87.5%		4	16	74	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%		4	112	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	3/11	14/22	63.6%		3	16	264	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	9	130	T	192
Aggregate Predictions	158/176	128/176	286/352	81.3%

Links

	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent
	Presidential Predictions - Most Recent Comments
	Presidential Predictions Home
	Update My 2024 Presidential Prediction Map

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