Election 2024 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2023-06-01 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	247
Rep	291
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	221
Rep	202
Ind	0
Tos	115

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+1	+1	+17	-6	0	-72	20	1	230	-55
Rep	+6	0	+72	-1	-1	-17	24	3	219	+55
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

June 2023 update: Things are looking slightly better for Biden with an approval rating similar to where Trump was around election day in 2020. The GOP is still slightly favored over economic concerns but Biden is in a better place than he was last month.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%					148
2022 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%	12	0	147	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	28/36	60/72	83.3%	12	0	66	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	65	48	T	118
2020 President	51/56	44/56	95/112	84.8%	4	7	179	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	22/35	53/70	75.7%	3	5	137	T	423
Aggregate Predictions	146/164	120/164	266/328	81.1%

Links

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