Predictions2024 Presidential Predictions - Sorenroy (D-NC) Polls
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Date of Prediction: 2024-06-07 Version:1

Prediction Map
Sorenroy MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Sorenroy MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem276
 
Rep262
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem225
 
Rep251
 
Ind0
 
Tos62
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem0+1+1-20-27241275-26
Rep+20+270-1-1253235+26
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I've been consistent in thinking that Biden has been and continues to be the (narrow) favorite to winning the 2024 election, but I had yet to put that down as an actual prediction map on the Atlas. If I had to make a guess at where I'd put the popular vote, it would probably be around a repeat of 2016. Biden 48%, Trump 46%, Kennedy 4%, other 2%.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2024 President /56 /56 /112 % pie 281
P 2022 Senate 34/35 31/35 65/70 92.9% pie 6 0 3T305
P 2022 Governor 33/36 31/36 64/72 88.9% pie 6 0 5T272
P 2020 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 15 5 179T684
P 2020 Senate 32/35 22/35 54/70 77.1% pie 13 3 101T423
P 2020 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 6 5 51T293
P 2018 Senate 32/35 25/35 57/70 81.4% pie 3 1 24T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 28/36 61/72 84.7% pie 2 3 6T372
P 2016 President 49/56 30/56 79/112 70.5% pie 25 1 280T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 21/34 53/68 77.9% pie 4 0 16T362
P 2016 Governor 9/12 7/12 16/24 66.7% pie 7 0 25T279
Aggregate Predictions 320/346 242/346 562/692 81.2% pie


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