PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - tmcusa (G-PA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-09-20 Version:1

Prediction Map
tmcusa MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
tmcusa MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem24
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind1
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind1
 
Tos10
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+7+1+8-10-113316+7
Rep+10+1-7-1-8707-7
Ind0000000110


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic242751
Republican84048
Independent101
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
392910
piepiepie

Comments

I predicted New Jersey and Nevada switching because there is always the possibilty for surprises.

Most of all these predictions are really guesses, but based on the rasmussmen polls.


Member Comments

 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-09-20 @ 10:08:31

Rasmussen has Ford and Allen trailing.prediction Map

 By: tmcusa (G-PA) - 2006-09-20 @ 16:53:53

Ford is in the toss up category and Allen in the leaning. Of the states in the relatively safe columns I only predicted an upset in one: Nevada.prediction Map

 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-09-20 @ 17:22:45

tmcusa

Nebraska and Florida - and probably Washington (though I can see your point about Washington) - aren't tossups. While I feel it is entirely possible for Ford and Lamont to win, I don't see where the confidence is coming from.

Last Edit: 2006-09-20 @ 17:23:29
prediction Map

 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-09-20 @ 17:38:41

Ensign is up 20 pts and Zogby has him up 12 I doubt that Carter has the ability to catch up and he has no money.prediction Map

 By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-09-23 @ 13:00:47

EVERYONE

downwithdaleft (R-NJ) and Ultra Liberal (G-SAU) are one and the same. Please condemn this disgraceful practice of double identities.
prediction Map

 By: gumball machine (L-CA) - 2006-09-24 @ 00:22:49

Attention: Please change CT to Lieberman if you want to get rid of Down/U. Lib.!prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2008 President 51/56 23/56 74/112 66.1% pie 4 159 734T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 48 393T465
P 2004 President 55/56 33/56 88/112 78.6% pie 40 7 359T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 135/145 66/145 201/290 69.3% pie


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