Election 2006 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2006-10-17 Version:1

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	23
Rep	8
Ind	2
Non	17

Confidence States Won

		25 \|	33 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	8
Ind	2
Tos	3
Non	17

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+6	+1	+7	0	-1	-1	14	2	16	+6
Rep	0	0	0	-6	-1	-7	8	0	8	-7
Ind	0	+1	+1	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1

Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	23	27	50
Republican	8	40	48
Independent	2	0	2

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
45	32	13

Comments
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Member Comments

By: cnbpjb (--GA) - 2006-10-17 @ 22:16:55

This is my map exactly, except I feel more confident on Missouri and Tennessee for McCaskill and Ford, respectively, and I see Lieberman being a more certain winner in Connecticut.

By: db099221 (--CA) - 2006-10-17 @ 22:39:21

I would wait till the next poll on CT; Schlesinger performed very strongly in the debate, according to Political Wire and various other sources I have seen.

By: padfoot714 (D-OH) - 2006-10-18 @ 02:14:40

Yes but Lamont continues to falter. I think that any gains Schlesinger makes will be compensated by Lamont's losses. Lieberman will cruise to victory.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%	4	27	178	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	12/33	42/66	63.6%	5	9	316	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	2	173	152	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	21/52	1/52	22/104	21.2%	1	-	192	T	271
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	32	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	13/33	45/66	68.2%	1	21	278	T	465
2006 Governor	33/36	19/36	52/72	72.2%	1	21	107	T	312
2004 President	51/56	23/56	74/112	66.1%	1	2	1527	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	233/280	115/280	348/560	62.1%

Links

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