PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - stirling (R-GBR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-05-09 Version:1

Prediction Map
stirling MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
stirling MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind0
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem8
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Tos9
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem000-3-1-412113-4
Rep+3+2+500014115+5
Ind0000-1-1000-1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic132740
Republican204060
Independent000
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
25214
piepiepie

Comments
No Comments Entered

Member Comments

 By: cnbpjb (--GA) - 2006-05-09 @ 16:51:29

This is a Republican wet-dream, that is not at all going to come true. Move on.prediction Map

 By: ryer (R-VA) - 2006-05-15 @ 01:28:04

So cnbpjb, stirling's prediction "is a Republican wet-dream?" Sounds like a little pot and kettle name-calling is going on here. You've got the Democrats carrying Arizona, Missouri, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and Virginia. I'm betting you had to change the sheets when you made your prediction.

Last Edit: 2006-05-15 @ 14:00:28
prediction Map

 By: KCBrady (D-NY) - 2006-05-15 @ 08:47:04

Hate to be able to split the difference between the two of you, but you both seem a little trigger happy. I think we all wish that the American people might be more decisive in the coming elections, given the nation's need for leadership of ANY kind right now. With that said, Georgia seems to have the more rational forecast out of the two of you. But Arizona and Virginia - that forecast takes balls. I wish I could say I thought that would happen. Ryer in Virginia's map COULD happen, given some kind of mishap with the Iranians in the President's favor, but otherwise, nah uh.prediction Map

 By: downwithbush (D-CO) - 2006-05-28 @ 04:42:46

Only way you would have gotten North Dakota was if Hoeven ran, and he didn't. Harris is battered by everyone who tried to get her out of the primary, knowing she had no chance, and Bernie Sanders is as much of a shoo-in as they come.prediction Map

 By: gumball machine (L-CA) - 2006-06-25 @ 19:00:24

North Dakota? Nebraska? Florida? Can I have whatever you are smoking?prediction Map

 By: gumball machine (L-CA) - 2006-06-25 @ 19:00:59

North Dakota? Nebraska? Florida? Vermont? Can I have whatever you are smoking?prediction Map

 By: polpro (R-NV) - 2006-06-26 @ 12:37:25

I like to be optimistic--but this map seems to be too much of a stretch. Both Nelsons will win re-election, Ben because the President likes having him around for "bipartisan" purposes (putting Ben's strongest possible opponent in the cabinet was rather blatant) and Bill because the GOP has a seriously flawed candidate who can't win.

Likewise, Kent Conrad is unbeatable in North Dakota and Bernie Sanders is unbeatable in Vermont because their opponents are second or even third tier.

I called Khirkhib's Democratic map delusional/optimistic (depending on your point of view) because it was unrealistic. This map is THAT map's Republican counterpart. They both are smoking the same thing.

Last Edit: 2006-06-26 @ 23:55:55
prediction Map

 By: downwithdaleft (R-NJ) - 2006-06-30 @ 13:22:46

I travelled to VT last year, and those people are off the wall liberals, but they did elect Jim Douglass. I wouldn't count Tarrant out yet.

NE is so conservative u can't count Ricketts out, I just think in a wave like this NJ and WA would go GOP.
prediction Map

 By: downwithdaleft (R-NJ) - 2006-06-30 @ 13:23:30

This map was also made before the FL deadline, around the time there was speculation another GOP candidate other than HArris would run.prediction Map

 By: cm04g (I-FL) - 2006-07-24 @ 00:59:25

I live in FL and I guarantee that Bill Nelson will prevail.ND,NE,PA,and VT come on man Vermont is liberal you have no chance there.ND,and NE the dems have strong candidates and in PA you would have a chance but Santorum is way outside of the mainstream of pennsylvanians the only place he would be able to win is Utah.Let me know what planet are you on.prediction Map

 By: gumball machine (L-CA) - 2006-09-23 @ 22:54:19

Attention: Please change CT to Lieberman if you want to get rid of Down/U. Lib.!prediction Map

 By: Olawakandi (G-CA) - 2006-09-23 @ 23:21:37

In what way?prediction Map

 By: cnbpjb (--GA) - 2006-10-01 @ 10:00:33

Again, someone is passing the weed around if they think Ben Nelson is going to lose in Nebraska.prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 31/35 20/35 51/70 72.9% pie 1 79 211T483
P 2018 Governor 29/36 15/36 44/72 61.1% pie 1 81 311T372
P 2016 President 51/56 34/56 85/112 75.9% pie 1 540 66T678
P 2016 Senate 32/34 22/34 54/68 79.4% pie 1 540 6T362
P 2014 Senate 30/36 15/36 45/72 62.5% pie 1 412 282T382
P 2014 Governor 25/36 12/36 37/72 51.4% pie 2 412 271T300
P 2010 Senate 32/37 15/37 47/74 63.5% pie 1 147 280T456
P 2010 Governor 24/37 12/37 36/74 48.6% pie 1 147 262T312
P 2008 President 47/56 22/56 69/112 61.6% pie 2 49 1031T1,505
P 2006 U.S. Senate 21/33 4/33 25/66 37.9% pie 1 182 464465
P 2006 Governor 23/36 9/36 32/72 44.4% pie 1 182 301T312
P 2004 President 49/56 35/56 84/112 75.0% pie 13 10 834T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 394/488 215/488 609/976 62.4% pie


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